Vatolakkos vs Anagennisi Artas
Vatolakkos
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Anagennisi Artas
Match result probability Model pick: Anagennisi Artas win
Vatolakkos win
32.6%
Draw
29.6%
Anagennisi Artas winPick
37.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes50.8%
No49.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.551.3%
Under 2.548.7%
How much we know
Vatolakkos history0 matches
Anagennisi Artas history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Anagennisi Artas
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Anagennisi Artas are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Vatolakkos are rated 34 Elo points higher
Elo 1,500 against 1,466. On rating alone Vatolakkos would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vatolakkos
Anagennisi Artas
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1466.1
0
ELO · Matches
40
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1466.1
1466.1
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
33.89
Current ELO Difference
-33.89
0.55
Expected score
0.45
0
History Matches
40
—
Residual Mean
-0.04
—
Overperformance
47.53
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.20
—
Goals for per game
2.80
—
Goals against per game
3.00
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.00
—
Goals for per game
1.70
—
Goals against per game
2.10
—
Win rate
20.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.79
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.92
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.96
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
40
—
PPG
1.23
—
Win rate
32.5%
—
Draw rate
25.0%
—
Loss rate
42.5%
—
Over 1.5 rate
72.5%
—
Over 2.5 rate
42.5%
—
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
19
—
PPG
0.89
—
Win rate
21.1%
—
Draw rate
26.3%
—
Loss rate
52.6%
—
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
—
Over 2.5 rate
42.1%
—
Over 3.5 rate
31.6%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.43
0
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.25
—
Scoring rate
65.0%
—
BTTS rate
42.5%
—
Goals for per game
1.26
—
Scoring rate
57.9%
—
BTTS rate
42.1%
0
History Matches
40
—
Goals Mean
1.25
—
Goals Std
1.32
—
Scored 1+ rate
65.0%
—
Scored 2+ rate
35.0%
—
Scored 3+ rate
12.5%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.26
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.45
—
Conceding rate
70.0%
—
Goals against per game
1.68
—
Conceding rate
73.7%
0
History Matches
40
—
Conceded Mean
1.45
—
Conceded Std
1.52
—
Conceded 2+ rate
37.5%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
40
—
Result entropy
0.98
—
Goal Difference Std
1.89
—
Stability score
2.10
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
37
0
Lead Matches
12
—
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.83
0
Trailing Matches
10
—
Non-loss rate
10.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.76
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
214.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.33
0
Normal Rest History Matches
25
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.32
0
Long Rest History Matches
11
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.27
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.11
—
Portability PPG Range
0.22
—
Portability Score
82.01
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO33.89
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-40
History Matches-19
History Matches-40
History Matches-40
History Matches-40
Eligible Matches-37
Lead Matches-12
Trailing Matches-10
Halftime Coverage Matches-37
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-25
Long Rest History Matches-11
Current Team ELO33.89
Current Opponent ELO-33.89
Current ELO Difference67.78
Expected score0.10
History Matches-40
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Vatolakkos
L
PAS Giannina4–0Vatolakkos31 Oct · away
Pick: PAS Giannina 62% · hit D
Vatolakkos0–0Doxa Mascholouriou25 Oct · home
Pick: Vatolakkos 50% · missed L
Alexandros Florinas5–1Vatolakkos18 Oct · away
Pick: Alexandros Florinas 50% · hit L
Veria4–0Vatolakkos4 Oct · away
Pick: Veria 59% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Anagennisi Artas
L
Doxa Mascholouriou1–0Anagennisi Artas1 Nov · away
Pick: Anagennisi Artas 38% · missed L
Anagennisi Artas2–3Makedonikos Siatista25 Oct · home
Pick: Anagennisi Artas 66% · missed D
Kastoria0–0Anagennisi Artas18 Oct · away
Pick: Anagennisi Artas 38% · missed W
Anagennisi Artas3–1Naousa4 Oct · home
Pick: Anagennisi Artas 66% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Vatolakkos and Anagennisi Artas meet in Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Vatolakkos win 32.6%, draw 29.6%, Anagennisi Artas win 37.8%. The pick is Anagennisi Artas win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.3%. Both teams to score: 50.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.