Veres Rivne U19 vs Kolos Kovalivka U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Veres Rivne U19 win
Veres Rivne U19 winPick Result
64.1%
Draw
19.0%
Kolos Kovalivka U19 win
16.9%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickVeres Rivne U19 win · 64.1%
What happenedVeres Rivne U19 win · we gave it 64.1%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 58.4%
What happenedUnder · 2 goals
Missed Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 52.6%
What happenedNo · 2–0
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Veres Rivne U19 win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
64%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.6
on average A pick at 64% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes52.6%
No47.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.4%
Under 2.541.6%
How much we know
Veres Rivne U19 history45 matches
Kolos Kovalivka U19 history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 11:00 UTC
- Full time: 2–0One of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (64.1%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why Veres Rivne U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Veres Rivne U19 are rated 113 Elo points higher
Elo 1,603 against 1,490. On rating alone Veres Rivne U19 would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.53 goals a game over 45 matches for Veres Rivne U19, against 1.67 over 45 for Kolos Kovalivka U19.
-
Veres Rivne U19 concede fewer
Veres Rivne U19 concede 0.91 a game, Kolos Kovalivka U19 1.36.
-
Kolos Kovalivka U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals
44% of Veres Rivne U19 matches, against 56% for Kolos Kovalivka U19. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 19 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kolos Kovalivka U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1603.2
ELO
1490.1
45
ELO · Matches
45
1603.2
Current Team ELO
1490.1
1490.1
Current Opponent ELO
1603.2
113.1
Current ELO Difference
-113.1
0.66
Expected score
0.34
45
History Matches
45
0.10
Residual Mean
-0.01
57.14
Overperformance
49.63
0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.17
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.40
Goals against per game
3.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.50
PPG
1.00
1.90
Goals for per game
1.30
0.80
Goals against per game
2.10
80.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.49
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.51
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.40
Overall performance9 signals 90
45
Matches
45
1.84
PPG
1.49
53.3%
Win rate
44.4%
24.4%
Draw rate
15.6%
22.2%
Loss rate
40.0%
62.2%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals 100
20
Matches
21
1.85
PPG
1.24
55.0%
Win rate
38.1%
20.0%
Draw rate
9.5%
25.0%
Loss rate
52.4%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
35.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.44
20
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.53
Goals for per game
1.67
77.8%
Scoring rate
71.1%
40.0%
BTTS rate
48.9%
1.90
Goals for per game
1.29
80.0%
Scoring rate
61.9%
40.0%
BTTS rate
28.6%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
45
History Matches
45
1.53
Goals Mean
1.67
1.29
Goals Std
1.51
77.8%
Scored 1+ rate
71.1%
42.2%
Scored 2+ rate
42.2%
22.2%
Scored 3+ rate
35.6%
1.90
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.91
Goals against per game
1.36
51.1%
Conceding rate
73.3%
0.95
Goals against per game
1.48
55.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
3.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
45
History Matches
45
0.91
Conceded Mean
1.36
1.17
Conceded Std
1.20
24.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.2%
8.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.3%
0.95
Venue Conceded Mean
1.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
48.9%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.9%
45.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
48.9%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.9%
45.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
48.9%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
45
History Matches
45
0.92
Result entropy
0.93
1.75
Goal Difference Std
2.14
7.71
Stability score
7.49
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
44
Eligible Matches
44
15
Lead Matches
16
86.7%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.92
10
Trailing Matches
14
60.0%
Non-loss rate
7.1%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.86
0.48
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.04
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.84
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
24
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.64
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
0.00
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.67
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.28
Portability PPG Std
0.84
0.67
Portability PPG Range
2.00
63.89
Portability Score
37.33
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
45
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO113.1
PPG0.36
GF-0.13
GA-0.44
PPG1.33
PPG0.61
PPG1.40
PPG1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate22.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate11.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.13
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate6.7%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Goals Mean0.61
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.35
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.44
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate22.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.53
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.64
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.38
Stability score0.23
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.24
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.36
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.01
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate52.9%
Trailing Win Rate12.9%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.56
Portability PPG Range-1.33
Portability Score26.57
Rest days0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.65
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.11
Current Team ELO113.1
Current Opponent ELO-113.1
Current ELO Difference226.2
Expected score0.31
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance7.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.40
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Veres Rivne U19
L
Veres Rivne U191–2Dynamo Kyiv U1921 Oct · home
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 54% · hit W
Zhytomyr U192–3Veres Rivne U1914 Oct · away
Pick: Veres Rivne U19 39% · hit D
Livyi Bereh U191–1Veres Rivne U199 Sep · away
Pick: Livyi Bereh U19 38% · missed L
Rukh Vynnyky U193–0Veres Rivne U1926 Aug · away
Pick: Rukh Vynnyky U19 54% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Kolos Kovalivka U19
L
Kolos Kovalivka U190–1Karpaty Lviv U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Karpaty Lviv U19 40% · hit L
Kolos Kovalivka U191–3Lviv U1921 Oct · home
Pick: Kolos Kovalivka U19 57% · missed L
Metalist 1925 U192–0Kolos Kovalivka U1914 Oct · away
Pick: Metalist 1925 U19 39% · hit L
Kolos Kovalivka U191–2Dynamo Kyiv U197 Oct · home
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv U19 69% · hit L
Shakhtar Donetsk U192–1Kolos Kovalivka U199 Sep · away
Pick: Shakhtar Donetsk U19 73% · hit Match report
Veres Rivne U19 and Kolos Kovalivka U19 finished 2–0 in U19 League on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 2–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Veres Rivne U19 win 64.1%, draw 19.0%, Kolos Kovalivka U19 win 16.9%. One of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.