Viktoria Plzeň W vs Horní Heršpice W
Match result probability Model pick: Horní Heršpice W win
Viktoria Plzeň W win
33.1%
Draw
17.6%
Horní Heršpice W winPick
49.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes51.8%
No48.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.566.2%
Under 2.533.8%
How much we know
Viktoria Plzeň W history31 matches
Horní Heršpice W history29 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Horní Heršpice W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 10:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 11:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Horní Heršpice W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,426 against 1,450. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Viktoria Plzeň W score far more
1.39 goals a game over 31 matches for Viktoria Plzeň W, against 0.90 over 29 for Horní Heršpice W.
-
Horní Heršpice W concede fewer
Viktoria Plzeň W concede 2.65 a game, Horní Heršpice W 2.31.
-
Viktoria Plzeň W games more often go over 2.5 goals
74% of Viktoria Plzeň W matches, against 55% for Horní Heršpice W. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Horní Heršpice W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1426.0
ELO
1449.7
31
ELO · Matches
29
1426.0
Current Team ELO
1449.7
1449.7
Current Opponent ELO
1426.0
-23.61
Current ELO Difference
23.61
0.47
Expected score
0.53
31
History Matches
29
-0.12
Residual Mean
-0.08
42.67
Overperformance
45.10
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.20
0.60
Goals for per game
1.00
2.60
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.50
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
2.50
Goals against per game
1.60
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.47
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.18
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
2.29
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.85
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
3.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.65
Overall performance9 signals 90
31
Matches
29
1.03
PPG
1.14
32.3%
Win rate
34.5%
6.5%
Draw rate
10.3%
61.3%
Loss rate
55.2%
83.9%
Over 1.5 rate
69.0%
74.2%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
54.8%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
3.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.92
Venue performance10 signals 100
15
Matches
14
1.20
PPG
0.93
40.0%
Win rate
28.6%
0.0%
Draw rate
7.1%
60.0%
Loss rate
64.3%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
86.7%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
53.3%
Over 3.5 rate
35.7%
2.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.09
15
History Matches
14
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.39
Goals for per game
0.90
58.1%
Scoring rate
51.7%
45.2%
BTTS rate
31.0%
1.73
Goals for per game
0.71
60.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
46.7%
BTTS rate
28.6%
0.00
Goals for per game
0.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
31
History Matches
29
1.39
Goals Mean
0.90
1.66
Goals Std
1.09
58.1%
Scored 1+ rate
51.7%
35.5%
Scored 2+ rate
24.1%
22.6%
Scored 3+ rate
10.3%
1.73
Venue Goals Mean
0.71
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.65
Goals against per game
2.31
83.9%
Conceding rate
72.4%
2.07
Goals against per game
2.57
86.7%
Conceding rate
78.6%
4.50
Goals against per game
1.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
31
History Matches
29
2.65
Conceded Mean
2.31
2.40
Conceded Std
2.39
54.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.3%
48.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
37.9%
2.07
Venue Conceded Mean
2.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
16.1%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
41.9%
Failed-to-score rate
48.3%
13.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
16.1%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
41.9%
Failed-to-score rate
48.3%
13.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
16.1%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
31
History Matches
29
0.77
Result entropy
0.85
3.40
Goal Difference Std
2.92
23.37
Stability score
15.35
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
31
Eligible Matches
29
10
Lead Matches
4
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.83
14
Trailing Matches
13
0.0%
Non-loss rate
7.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
31
Halftime Coverage Matches
29
0.61
First Half Goals For Mean
0.28
1.42
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
0.77
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
1.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.28
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
78.08
Rest days
78.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
11
Normal Rest History Matches
15
0.91
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.47
19
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.16
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.77
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
3.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-4.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.02
0.61
Portability PPG Range
0.04
62.30
Portability Score
96.20
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
31
Clean History Matches
29
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-23.61
PPG-0.11
GF0.49
GA0.33
PPG0.00
PPG0.27
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.49
Goals Std0.57
Scored 1+ rate6.3%
Scored 2+ rate11.3%
Scored 3+ rate12.2%
Venue Goals Mean1.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.29
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.33
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate6.6%
Conceded 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.44
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.48
Stability score8.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.38
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate5.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.28
Portability PPG Range0.57
Portability Score-33.91
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.56
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.39
Current Team ELO-23.61
Current Opponent ELO23.61
Current ELO Difference-47.22
Expected score-0.07
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.12
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Viktoria Plzeň W
D
Baník Ostrava W0–0Viktoria Plzeň W31 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Ostrava W 50% · missed W
Viktoria Plzeň W3–0Prague Raptors W25 Oct · home
Pick: Prague Raptors W 46% · missed L
Viktoria Plzeň W0–3Slavia Praha W17 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha W 89% · hit W
Viktoria Plzeň W1–0Baník Ostrava W29 Aug · home
Pick: Baník Ostrava W 51% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Horní Heršpice W
L
Horní Heršpice W1–4Slavia Praha W31 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha W 85% · hit L
Slovácko W2–0Horní Heršpice W25 Oct · away
Pick: Slovácko W 61% · hit L
Horní Heršpice W0–2Slovan Liberec W17 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Liberec W 50% · hit L
Slavia Praha W9–0Horní Heršpice W29 Aug · away
Pick: Slavia Praha W 89% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Viktoria Plzeň W and Horní Heršpice W meet in 1. Liga Women on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Viktoria Plzeň W win 33.1%, draw 17.6%, Horní Heršpice W win 49.3%. The pick is Horní Heršpice W win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.2%. Both teams to score: 51.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.