ScoreProb
Druha Liga Ukraine Round 14 2026

Vilkhivtsi vs Dinaz Vyshhorod

Vilkhivtsi Home · Elo 1,492
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dinaz Vyshhorod Away · Elo 1,355
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Vilkhivtsi win
Vilkhivtsi winPick
60.8%
Draw
20.2%
Dinaz Vyshhorod win
19.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.0%
No39.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.9%
Under 2.535.1%

How much we know

Vilkhivtsi history40 matches
Dinaz Vyshhorod history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.8%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Vilkhivtsi are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Vilkhivtsi are rated 137 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,492 against 1,355. On rating alone Vilkhivtsi would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Vilkhivtsi score far more

    1.60 goals a game over 40 matches for Vilkhivtsi, against 0.93 over 40 for Dinaz Vyshhorod.

  • Vilkhivtsi concede fewer

    Vilkhivtsi concede 1.60 a game, Dinaz Vyshhorod 2.28.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    60% of Vilkhivtsi matches, against 60% for Dinaz Vyshhorod. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vilkhivtsi
Dinaz Vyshhorod
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1492.2
ELO
1354.9
40
ELO · Matches
40
1492.2
Current Team ELO
1354.9
1354.9
Current Opponent ELO
1492.2
137.3
Current ELO Difference
-137.3
0.69
Expected score
0.31
40
History Matches
40
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.17
49.43
Overperformance
38.74
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.80
1.40
Goals against per game
3.60
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
0.70
2.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.10
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.78
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.36
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.78
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.39
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.09
Overall performance9 signals
90
40
Matches
40
1.28
PPG
0.50
35.0%
Win rate
7.5%
22.5%
Draw rate
27.5%
42.5%
Loss rate
65.0%
85.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.5%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
45.0%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
18
1.40
PPG
0.44
40.0%
Win rate
5.6%
20.0%
Draw rate
27.8%
40.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
90.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
65.0%
Over 2.5 rate
61.1%
35.0%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
2.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.74
20
History Matches
18
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.60
Goals for per game
0.93
75.0%
Scoring rate
57.5%
57.5%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.70
Goals for per game
0.78
75.0%
Scoring rate
55.6%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.33
Goals for per game
2.33
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
100.0%
40
History Matches
40
1.60
Goals Mean
0.93
1.45
Goals Std
0.98
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
57.5%
42.5%
Scored 2+ rate
27.5%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
5.0%
1.70
Venue Goals Mean
0.78
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.60
Goals against per game
2.28
82.5%
Conceding rate
87.5%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.39
75.0%
Conceding rate
88.9%
2.33
Goals against per game
3.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
40
History Matches
40
1.60
Conceded Mean
2.28
1.20
Conceded Std
1.50
45.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
67.5%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.0%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
2.39
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.5%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
42.5%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
17.5%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
42.5%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
17.5%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
40
History Matches
40
0.97
Result entropy
0.75
2.10
Goal Difference Std
1.81
2.90
Stability score
24.51
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
35
Eligible Matches
37
14
Lead Matches
5
78.6%
Lead Win Rate
20.0%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.40
13
Trailing Matches
17
23.1%
Non-loss rate
5.9%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.08
0.89
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.46
1.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.30
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.92
Rest days
84.98
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
22
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.27
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.39
17
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.35
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.62
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.33
PPG
0.67
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
66.7%
66.7%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.33
Current Competition PPG
0.67
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.33
5
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.47
Portability PPG Std
0.08
1.00
Portability PPG Range
0.17
51.76
Portability Score
86.42
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
40
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO137.3
PPG0.78
GF0.68
GA-0.68
PPG-0.33
PPG0.96
PPG1.00
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate13.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.68
Goals Std0.46
Scored 1+ rate17.5%
Scored 2+ rate15.0%
Scored 3+ rate20.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.92
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.42
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.68
Conceded Std-0.30
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.23
Conceded 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Conceded Mean-0.89
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.73
History Matches0
Result entropy0.22
Goal Difference Std0.29
Stability score-21.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.30
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate58.6%
Lead Points Retention0.46
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate17.2%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.33
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.39
Portability PPG Range0.83
Portability Score-34.66
Rest days-8.06
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.88
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.73
Current Team ELO137.3
Current Opponent ELO-137.3
Current ELO Difference274.7
Expected score0.38
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance10.69
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Vilkhivtsi

D
Vilkhivtsi1–1Nyva Vinnytsya25 Oct · home
Pick: Nyva Vinnytsya 44% · missed
D
Bratslav Vinnytsia0–0Vilkhivtsi18 Oct · away
Pick: Bratslav Vinnytsia 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dinaz Vyshhorod

L
Dinaz Vyshhorod0–3Podillya Khmelnytskyi1 Nov · home
Pick: Podillya Khmelnytskyi 48% · hit
D
Ruh Lviv1–1Dinaz Vyshhorod25 Oct · away
Pick: Ruh Lviv 73% · missed
L
Dinaz Vyshhorod1–4Skala 1911 Stryi17 Oct · home
Pick: Skala 1911 Stryi 41% · hit
D
Podillya Khmelnytskyi1–1Dinaz Vyshhorod29 Aug · away
Pick: Podillya Khmelnytskyi 61% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Vilkhivtsi and Dinaz Vyshhorod meet in Druha Liga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Vilkhivtsi win 60.8%, draw 20.2%, Dinaz Vyshhorod win 19.0%. The pick is Vilkhivtsi win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.9%. Both teams to score: 61.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.