ScoreProb
Damallsvenskan Sweden Round 25 2026

Vittsjö W vs Brommapojkarna W

Vittsjö W Home · Elo 1,521
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Brommapojkarna W Away · Elo 1,470
Vittsjo Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Vittsjö W win
Vittsjö W winPick
53.8%
Draw
22.1%
Brommapojkarna W win
24.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.4%
No42.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.2%
Under 2.535.8%

How much we know

Vittsjö W history48 matches
Brommapojkarna W history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Vittsjö W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Vittsjö W are rated 51 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,521 against 1,470. On rating alone Vittsjö W would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Brommapojkarna W score more

    1.25 goals a game over 48 matches for Vittsjö W, against 1.60 over 50 for Brommapojkarna W.

  • Vittsjö W concede fewer

    Vittsjö W concede 1.67 a game, Brommapojkarna W 2.08.

  • Brommapojkarna W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    58% of Vittsjö W matches, against 74% for Brommapojkarna W. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vittsjö W
Brommapojkarna W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1520.7
ELO
1469.9
48
ELO · Matches
50
1520.7
Current Team ELO
1469.9
1469.9
Current Opponent ELO
1520.7
50.83
Current ELO Difference
-50.83
0.57
Expected score
0.43
48
History Matches
50
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.04
51.56
Overperformance
47.44
0.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
0.80
Goals against per game
2.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.30
1.30
Goals for per game
1.40
0.80
Goals against per game
2.10
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.46
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.45
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.81
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.24
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
50
1.31
PPG
1.10
35.4%
Win rate
34.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
8.0%
39.6%
Loss rate
58.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
86.0%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
74.0%
27.1%
Over 3.5 rate
46.0%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.53
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
27
1.42
PPG
0.81
37.5%
Win rate
22.2%
29.2%
Draw rate
14.8%
33.3%
Loss rate
63.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
45.8%
Over 2.5 rate
59.3%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
40.7%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
24
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.25
Goals for per game
1.60
81.3%
Scoring rate
70.0%
64.6%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.13
Goals for per game
1.19
83.3%
Scoring rate
59.3%
62.5%
BTTS rate
55.6%
1.07
Goals for per game
1.27
86.7%
Scoring rate
60.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
48
History Matches
50
1.25
Goals Mean
1.60
0.88
Goals Std
1.52
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
70.0%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
10.4%
Scored 3+ rate
22.0%
1.13
Venue Goals Mean
1.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.67
Goals against per game
2.08
81.3%
Conceding rate
90.0%
1.29
Goals against per game
2.07
75.0%
Conceding rate
96.3%
1.07
Goals against per game
2.13
73.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
48
History Matches
50
1.67
Conceded Mean
2.08
1.36
Conceded Std
1.59
52.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.0%
18.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.0%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
2.07
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
3.7%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
3.7%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
10.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
50
0.98
Result entropy
0.81
1.71
Goal Difference Std
2.53
1.60
Stability score
19.46
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
50
15
Lead Matches
15
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
73.3%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.73
16
Trailing Matches
21
37.5%
Non-loss rate
9.5%
18.8%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.72
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
1.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.12
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
78.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
20
1.54
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.10
23
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.07
Competition & season17 signals
170
15
Matches
15
1.47
PPG
1.07
40.0%
Win rate
33.3%
26.7%
Draw rate
6.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
60.0%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
15
Current Competition Matches
15
1.47
Current Competition PPG
1.07
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.87
4
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.19
1.13
Portability PPG Range
0.46
52.70
Portability Score
72.22
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO50.83
PPG0.21
GF-0.35
GA-0.41
PPG0.40
PPG0.60
PPG1.00
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate21.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.24
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.35
Goals Std-0.65
Scored 1+ rate11.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.74
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.41
Conceded Std-0.23
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Conceded Mean-0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.85
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.18
Goal Difference Std-0.83
Stability score-17.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.43
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate28.0%
Trailing Win Rate9.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.36
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.87
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.26
Portability PPG Range0.67
Portability Score-19.52
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.44
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.06
Current Team ELO50.83
Current Opponent ELO-50.83
Current ELO Difference101.7
Expected score0.15
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Vittsjö W

L
Djurgården W2–0Vittsjö W31 Oct · away
Pick: Djurgården W 44% · hit
L
Vittsjö W0–2Piteå W25 Oct · home
Pick: Vittsjö W 47% · missed
L
Rosengård W2–0Vittsjö W17 Oct · away
Pick: Rosengård W 42% · hit
L
Hammarby W3–1Vittsjö W29 Aug · away
Pick: Hammarby W 75% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Brommapojkarna W

L
Brommapojkarna W2–5AIK W31 Oct · home
Pick: Brommapojkarna W 38% · missed
L
Eskilstuna United W2–1Brommapojkarna W24 Oct · away
Pick: Eskilstuna United W 59% · hit
W
Brommapojkarna W2–1Växjö W17 Oct · home
Pick: Brommapojkarna W 41% · hit
W
Enskede W1–2Brommapojkarna W8 Oct · away
Pick: Brommapojkarna W 45% · hit
L
Hammarby W2–0Brommapojkarna W4 Oct · away
Pick: Hammarby W 83% · hit

About this match

Vittsjö W and Brommapojkarna W meet in Damallsvenskan on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Vittsjo. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Vittsjö W win 53.8%, draw 22.1%, Brommapojkarna W win 24.1%. The pick is Vittsjö W win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.2%. Both teams to score: 57.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.