Wathba vs Foutoua
Match result probability Model pick: Wathba win
Wathba winPick
56.9%
Draw
27.4%
Foutoua win
15.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes45.1%
No54.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.0%
Under 2.542.0%
How much we know
Wathba history36 matches
Foutoua history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Wathba
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 3 d 4 h ahead4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Wathba are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Wathba are rated 212 Elo points higher
Elo 1,647 against 1,435. On rating alone Wathba would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.
-
Wathba score more
1.72 goals a game over 36 matches for Wathba, against 1.32 over 38 for Foutoua.
-
Wathba concede fewer
Wathba concede 0.47 a game, Foutoua 1.84.
-
Foutoua games more often go over 2.5 goals
44% of Wathba matches, against 55% for Foutoua. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 12 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Foutoua@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1646.6
ELO
1435.0
36
ELO · Matches
38
1646.6
Current Team ELO
1435.0
1435.0
Current Opponent ELO
1646.6
211.6
Current ELO Difference
-211.6
0.77
Expected score
0.23
36
History Matches
38
0.20
Residual Mean
-0.08
62.58
Overperformance
44.85
0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
0.60
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
0.20
Goals against per game
3.00
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.60
PPG
1.00
1.70
Goals for per game
1.30
0.30
Goals against per game
2.10
80.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.35
0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
0.46
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.37
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals 90
36
Matches
38
2.28
PPG
1.08
69.4%
Win rate
31.6%
19.4%
Draw rate
13.2%
11.1%
Loss rate
55.3%
61.1%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
55.3%
13.9%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals 100
17
Matches
18
2.29
PPG
0.61
70.6%
Win rate
16.7%
17.6%
Draw rate
11.1%
11.8%
Loss rate
72.2%
64.7%
Over 1.5 rate
61.1%
41.2%
Over 2.5 rate
44.4%
29.4%
Over 3.5 rate
27.8%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
17
History Matches
18
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.72
Goals for per game
1.32
83.3%
Scoring rate
57.9%
36.1%
BTTS rate
44.7%
2.06
Goals for per game
0.78
82.4%
Scoring rate
38.9%
29.4%
BTTS rate
33.3%
36
History Matches
38
1.72
Goals Mean
1.32
1.37
Goals Std
1.47
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
57.9%
47.2%
Scored 2+ rate
34.2%
22.2%
Scored 3+ rate
26.3%
2.06
Venue Goals Mean
0.78
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.47
Goals against per game
1.84
41.7%
Conceding rate
84.2%
0.41
Goals against per game
1.78
35.3%
Conceding rate
88.9%
36
History Matches
38
0.47
Conceded Mean
1.84
0.60
Conceded Std
1.27
5.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.6%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
36.8%
0.41
Venue Conceded Mean
1.78
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
58.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
64.7%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
61.1%
58.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
64.7%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
61.1%
58.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
36
History Matches
38
0.74
Result entropy
0.87
1.50
Goal Difference Std
1.77
25.74
Stability score
12.74
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
36
Eligible Matches
38
19
Lead Matches
11
89.5%
Lead Win Rate
81.8%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.82
3
Trailing Matches
14
66.7%
Non-loss rate
7.1%
66.7%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
36
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.84
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
87.92
Rest days
125.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
18
Normal Rest History Matches
23
2.39
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.09
14
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.93
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.08
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.19
0.60
Portability PPG Range
0.38
62.50
Portability Score
72.73
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
36
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO211.6
PPG1.20
GF0.41
GA-1.37
PPG1.68
PPG2.00
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate42.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.25
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate53.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.43
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.41
Goals Std-0.10
Scored 1+ rate25.4%
Scored 2+ rate13.0%
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean1.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.25
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-1.37
Conceded Std-0.67
Clean-sheet rate42.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.47
Conceded 3+ rate-0.37
Venue Conceded Mean-1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.92
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.13
Goal Difference Std-0.28
Stability score13.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.34
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate7.7%
Lead Points Retention0.11
Trailing Matches-11
Non-loss rate59.5%
Trailing Win Rate59.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.75
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.11
Portability PPG Range0.23
Portability Score-10.23
Rest days-38.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.30
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.85
Current Team ELO211.6
Current Opponent ELO-211.6
Current ELO Difference423.2
Expected score0.54
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.27
Overperformance17.73
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.28
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Wathba
W
Istiqlol0–2Wathba23 Oct · away
Pick: Istiqlol 48% · missed W
Wathba2–1Al Nejmeh20 Oct · home
Pick: Wathba 35% · hit W
Al Arabi0–1Wathba17 Oct · away
Pick: Al Arabi 56% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Foutoua
L
Shorta3–1Foutoua24 Oct · away
Pick: Shorta 37% · hit L
Foutoua0–1Al Wahda19 Oct · home
Pick: Al Wahda 54% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Wathba and Foutoua meet in Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 07:21 UTC: Wathba win 56.9%, draw 27.4%, Foutoua win 15.7%. The pick is Wathba win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.0%. Both teams to score: 45.1%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.