Premier League
Certified pre-kickoff probability performance and current published predictions for this competition.
2026-08-24 → 2026-11-02
41Certified settled fixtures
43.9%1X2 accuracy
41.5%Over 2.5 accuracy
48.8%BTTS accuracy
4.0%1X2 calibration error
Current published predictions
2026-11-06 20:00 UTC
Everton – Coventry
50.8%Home
22.6%Draw
26.6%Away
55.0%Over 2.5
46.9%BTTS
2026-11-07 12:30 UTC
Leeds – Tottenham
51.0%Home
22.2%Draw
26.8%Away
58.9%Over 2.5
49.4%BTTS
2026-11-07 15:00 UTC
Arsenal – Hull City
59.4%Home
27.8%Draw
12.8%Away
50.0%Over 2.5
48.8%BTTS
2026-11-07 15:00 UTC
Fulham – Newcastle
31.0%Home
27.7%Draw
41.3%Away
58.6%Over 2.5
56.5%BTTS
2026-11-07 17:30 UTC
Nottingham Forest – Manchester City
20.7%Home
24.9%Draw
54.4%Away
52.2%Over 2.5
49.1%BTTS
2026-11-08 14:00 UTC
Sunderland – Chelsea
30.5%Home
23.5%Draw
46.0%Away
52.2%Over 2.5
52.6%BTTS
2026-11-08 14:00 UTC
Brighton – Brentford
46.9%Home
26.7%Draw
26.4%Away
54.0%Over 2.5
51.8%BTTS
2026-11-08 14:00 UTC
Crystal Palace – Liverpool
31.7%Home
28.3%Draw
40.0%Away
56.8%Over 2.5
56.5%BTTS
2026-11-08 14:00 UTC
Ipswich – Bournemouth
64.4%Home
17.9%Draw
17.7%Away
58.4%Over 2.5
58.0%BTTS
2026-11-08 16:30 UTC
Manchester United – Aston Villa
42.7%Home
24.5%Draw
32.8%Away
58.3%Over 2.5
56.8%BTTS
Teams covered
ArsenalAston VillaBournemouthBrentfordBrightonChelseaCoventryCrystal PalaceEvertonFulhamHull CityIpswichLeedsLiverpoolManchester CityManchester UnitedNewcastleNottingham ForestSunderlandTottenham
How these league metrics are calculated
Only the latest certified pre-kickoff prediction per settled fixture is counted. Competitions need at least 20 settled fixtures before they become indexable league pages.