ScoreProb
2. Lig Türkiye 2. Lig Red Group - 10 2026

12 Bingölspor vs Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

12 Bingölspor Home · Elo 1,576
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Away · Elo 1,564
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win
12 Bingölspor win
28.4%
Draw
23.5%
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı winPick
48.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.7%
Under 2.549.3%

How much we know

12 Bingölspor history33 matches
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,576 against 1,564. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • 12 Bingölspor score far more

    2.03 goals a game over 33 matches for 12 Bingölspor, against 1.30 over 60 for Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı.

  • Defences are close

    12 Bingölspor concede 1.03 a game, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 0.98.

  • 12 Bingölspor games more often go over 2.5 goals

    48% of 12 Bingölspor matches, against 35% for Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
12 Bingölspor
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1576.4
ELO
1564.2
33
ELO · Matches
60
1576.4
Current Team ELO
1564.2
1564.2
Current Opponent ELO
1576.4
12.21
Current ELO Difference
-12.21
0.52
Expected score
0.48
33
History Matches
60
0.11
Residual Mean
0.05
56.85
Overperformance
53.46
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.27
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
2.20
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
0.60
Goals against per game
0.60
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
2.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
1.10
Goals against per game
0.60
30.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.66
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
1.49
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.77
Overall performance9 signals
90
33
Matches
60
1.94
PPG
1.53
54.5%
Win rate
40.0%
30.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
15.2%
Loss rate
26.7%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
63.3%
48.5%
Over 2.5 rate
35.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
21.7%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
16
Matches
32
2.19
PPG
1.44
62.5%
Win rate
37.5%
31.3%
Draw rate
31.3%
6.3%
Loss rate
31.3%
81.3%
Over 1.5 rate
71.9%
43.8%
Over 2.5 rate
40.6%
31.3%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
16
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.03
Goals for per game
1.30
87.9%
Scoring rate
75.0%
54.5%
BTTS rate
46.7%
2.25
Goals for per game
1.34
87.5%
Scoring rate
78.1%
43.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
33
History Matches
60
2.03
Goals Mean
1.30
1.71
Goals Std
1.14
87.9%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
54.5%
Scored 2+ rate
36.7%
21.2%
Scored 3+ rate
11.7%
2.25
Venue Goals Mean
1.34
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.03
Goals against per game
0.98
60.6%
Conceding rate
56.7%
0.69
Goals against per game
1.16
50.0%
Conceding rate
59.4%
33
History Matches
60
1.03
Conceded Mean
0.98
1.14
Conceded Std
1.16
24.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.3%
12.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.3%
0.69
Venue Conceded Mean
1.16
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
39.4%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
12.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.6%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
39.4%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
12.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.6%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
39.4%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
33
History Matches
60
0.89
Result entropy
0.99
2.04
Goal Difference Std
1.50
10.95
Stability score
1.22
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
33
Eligible Matches
60
16
Lead Matches
15
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
93.3%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.96
5
Trailing Matches
15
60.0%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
33
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
1.12
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
204.0
Rest days
196.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
25
Normal Rest History Matches
48
1.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
7
Long Rest History Matches
10
1.71
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.80
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.33
Portability PPG Std
0.12
0.67
Portability PPG Range
0.25
60.00
Portability Score
80.93
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
33
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO12.21
PPG0.41
GF0.73
GA0.05
PPG0.75
PPG0.00
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-27
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-16
Clean-sheet rate9.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-27
Goals Mean0.73
Goals Std0.57
Scored 1+ rate12.9%
Scored 2+ rate17.9%
Scored 3+ rate9.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.91
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.36
History Matches-27
Conceded Mean0.05
Conceded Std-0.02
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate0.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean-0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.34
History Matches-27
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.55
Stability score9.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.71
Eligible Matches-27
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate-0.06
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate20.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches-27
First Half Goals For Mean0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.22
Portability PPG Range0.42
Portability Score-20.93
Rest days7.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-23
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.29
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.91
Current Team ELO12.21
Current Opponent ELO-12.21
Current ELO Difference24.41
Expected score0.04
History Matches-27
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance3.39
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.33

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

12 Bingölspor

W
İskenderunspor0–112 Bingölspor1 Nov · away
Pick: İskenderunspor 41% · missed
L
Alanyaspor4–112 Bingölspor27 Oct · away
Pick: Alanyaspor 55% · hit
D
12 Bingölspor0–0Kırklarelispor25 Oct · home
Pick: 12 Bingölspor 45% · missed
D
Kütahyaspor2–212 Bingölspor18 Oct · away
Pick: Kütahyaspor 61% · missed
L
Adana 01 FK1–012 Bingölspor4 Oct · away
Pick: Adana 01 FK 52% · hit

Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı

D
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı1–1Ankara Demirspor1 Nov · home
Pick: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 54% · missed
L
Silivrispor3–2Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı28 Oct · away
Pick: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 41% · missed
L
Yeni Orduspor5–4Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı24 Oct · away
Pick: Yeni Orduspor 43% · hit
L
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı1–2Sakaryaspor18 Oct · home
Pick: Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı 49% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

12 Bingölspor and Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı meet in 2. Lig on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: 12 Bingölspor win 28.4%, draw 23.5%, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win 48.1%. The pick is Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.7%. Both teams to score: 51.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.