ScoreProb
2. Lig Türkiye 2. Lig White Group - 10 2026

Çorluspor 1947 vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor

Çorluspor 1947 Home · Elo 1,618
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
68 Aksaray Belediyespor Away · Elo 1,523
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Çorluspor 1947 win
Çorluspor 1947 winPick
48.4%
Draw
27.0%
68 Aksaray Belediyespor win
24.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.2%
No45.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%

How much we know

Çorluspor 1947 history52 matches
68 Aksaray Belediyespor history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Çorluspor 1947 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Çorluspor 1947 are rated 96 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,618 against 1,523. On rating alone Çorluspor 1947 would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • Çorluspor 1947 score more

    1.85 goals a game over 52 matches for Çorluspor 1947, against 1.58 over 53 for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor.

  • Çorluspor 1947 concede fewer

    Çorluspor 1947 concede 0.94 a game, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1.17.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    48% of Çorluspor 1947 matches, against 49% for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 17 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Çorluspor 1947
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1618.5
ELO
1522.8
52
ELO · Matches
53
1618.5
Current Team ELO
1522.8
1522.8
Current Opponent ELO
1618.5
95.70
Current ELO Difference
-95.70
0.63
Expected score
0.37
52
History Matches
53
0.11
Residual Mean
0.03
57.80
Overperformance
51.85
0.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.60
1.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.60
PPG
1.00
2.30
Goals for per game
0.90
0.60
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
0.66
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.56
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.68
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.05
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
53
1.88
PPG
1.47
53.8%
Win rate
35.8%
26.9%
Draw rate
39.6%
19.2%
Loss rate
24.5%
69.2%
Over 1.5 rate
73.6%
48.1%
Over 2.5 rate
49.1%
30.8%
Over 3.5 rate
35.8%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
25
2.12
PPG
1.32
60.0%
Win rate
28.0%
32.0%
Draw rate
48.0%
8.0%
Loss rate
24.0%
72.0%
Over 1.5 rate
72.0%
48.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
36.0%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.27
25
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.85
Goals for per game
1.58
78.8%
Scoring rate
77.4%
46.2%
BTTS rate
54.7%
1.84
Goals for per game
1.48
84.0%
Scoring rate
76.0%
52.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
52
History Matches
53
1.85
Goals Mean
1.58
1.79
Goals Std
1.56
78.8%
Scored 1+ rate
77.4%
46.2%
Scored 2+ rate
39.6%
23.1%
Scored 3+ rate
18.9%
1.84
Venue Goals Mean
1.48
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.94
Goals against per game
1.17
55.8%
Conceding rate
67.9%
0.76
Goals against per game
1.20
56.0%
Conceding rate
72.0%
52
History Matches
53
0.94
Conceded Mean
1.17
1.12
Conceded Std
1.24
21.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.3%
13.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.3%
0.76
Venue Conceded Mean
1.20
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
44.2%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
22.6%
44.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
44.2%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
22.6%
44.0%
Clean-sheet rate
28.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
44.2%
Clean-sheet rate
32.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
53
0.91
Result entropy
0.98
2.03
Goal Difference Std
2.12
8.64
Stability score
1.76
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
52
25
Lead Matches
18
84.0%
Lead Win Rate
61.1%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.72
8
Trailing Matches
13
50.0%
Non-loss rate
53.8%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.35
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
175.9
Rest days
203.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
40
Normal Rest History Matches
40
1.95
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.60
11
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.82
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.92
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.23
0.49
Portability PPG Range
0.46
71.27
Portability Score
68.67
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO95.70
PPG0.41
GF0.26
GA-0.23
PPG0.80
PPG1.60
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate12.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate16.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.26
Goals Std0.23
Scored 1+ rate1.5%
Scored 2+ rate6.5%
Scored 3+ rate4.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.36
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.57
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean-0.23
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate12.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate2.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.90
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score6.88
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.38
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate22.9%
Lead Points Retention0.16
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.04
Trailing Win Rate17.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range0.03
Portability Score2.60
Rest days-27.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.35
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.90
Current Team ELO95.70
Current Opponent ELO-95.70
Current ELO Difference191.4
Expected score0.27
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.94
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.35

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Çorluspor 1947

W
Somaspor0–2Çorluspor 19471 Nov · away
Pick: Çorluspor 1947 59% · hit
L
Kasımpaşa3–1Çorluspor 194729 Oct · away
Pick: Kasımpaşa 52% · hit
D
Çorluspor 19471–1Menemen FK24 Oct · home
Pick: Çorluspor 1947 63% · missed
W
Erbaaspor0–1Çorluspor 194718 Oct · away
Pick: Çorluspor 1947 44% · hit
W
Elazığspor2–3Çorluspor 19474 Oct · away
Pick: Elazığspor 49% · missed

68 Aksaray Belediyespor

L
68 Aksaray Belediyespor2–3Güzide Gebzespor1 Nov · home
Pick: 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 39% · missed
L
Anadolu Üniversitesi3–168 Aksaray Belediyespor28 Oct · away
Pick: 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 37% · missed
L
Aliağa FAŞ2–168 Aksaray Belediyespor24 Oct · away
Pick: Aliağa FAŞ 53% · hit
W
68 Aksaray Belediyespor2–0Adana Demirspor18 Oct · home
Pick: 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 74% · hit
L
68 Aksaray Belediyespor0–1Ankaraspor4 Oct · home
Pick: 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 38% · missed

About this match

Çorluspor 1947 and 68 Aksaray Belediyespor meet in 2. Lig on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Çorluspor 1947 win 48.4%, draw 27.0%, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor win 24.6%. The pick is Çorluspor 1947 win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.3%. Both teams to score: 54.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.