ScoreProb
Second Division Qatar Round 6 2026

Al Rayyan SC B vs Al Kharaitiyat

Al Rayyan SC B Home · Elo 1,492
Thu 5 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Kharaitiyat Away · Elo 1,495
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 30 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Rayyan SC B win
Al Rayyan SC B winPick
38.4%
Draw
24.5%
Al Kharaitiyat win
37.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes44.6%
No55.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.545.6%
Under 2.554.4%

How much we know

Al Rayyan SC B history1 match
Al Kharaitiyat history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    30 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 13 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 19:23 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    5 Nov · 16:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.4%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Al Rayyan SC B are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,492 against 1,495. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Al Kharaitiyat score far more

    0.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Al Rayyan SC B, against 1.45 over 38 for Al Kharaitiyat.

  • Al Rayyan SC B concede fewer

    Al Rayyan SC B concede 1.00 a game, Al Kharaitiyat 1.47.

  • Al Kharaitiyat games more often go over 2.5 goals

    0% of Al Rayyan SC B matches, against 58% for Al Kharaitiyat. The model puts this match at 46% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Rayyan SC B
Al Kharaitiyat
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1491.5
ELO
1495.1
1
ELO · Matches
38
1491.5
Current Team ELO
1495.1
1495.1
Current Opponent ELO
1491.5
-3.59
Current ELO Difference
3.59
0.49
Expected score
0.51
1
History Matches
38
-0.52
Residual Mean
-0.02
47.54
Overperformance
48.95
-0.52
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
1
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.30
0.00
Goals for per game
0.90
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals
90
1
Matches
38
0.00
PPG
1.34
0.0%
Win rate
36.8%
0.0%
Draw rate
23.7%
100.0%
Loss rate
39.5%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
84.2%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.9%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.18
Venue performance10 signals
100
0
Matches
21
—
PPG
1.19
—
Win rate
33.3%
—
Draw rate
19.0%
—
Loss rate
47.6%
—
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
—
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
—
Over 3.5 rate
23.8%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
0
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.00
Goals for per game
1.45
0.0%
Scoring rate
68.4%
0.0%
BTTS rate
52.6%
—
Goals for per game
1.19
—
Scoring rate
66.7%
—
BTTS rate
52.4%
0.00
Goals for per game
0.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
38
0.00
Goals Mean
1.45
—
Goals Std
1.39
0.0%
Scored 1+ rate
68.4%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
44.7%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
15.8%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.00
Goals against per game
1.47
100.0%
Conceding rate
76.3%
—
Goals against per game
1.43
—
Conceding rate
81.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
38
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.47
—
Conceded Std
1.27
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
39.5%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.1%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.43
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
—
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
—
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
1
History Matches
38
0.00
Result entropy
0.98
—
Goal Difference Std
2.18
100.0
Stability score
2.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
37
0
Lead Matches
11
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
1
Trailing Matches
13
0.0%
Non-loss rate
23.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.89
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
72.00
Rest days
73.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
13
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
0
Long Rest History Matches
24
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
1
Competition Season Count
7
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.29
—
Portability PPG Range
0.64
—
Portability Score
62.95
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals StdVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-3.59
PPG-1.34
GF-1.45
GA-0.47
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-37
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Failed-to-score rate68.4%
History Matches-21
History Matches-37
Goals Mean-1.45
Scored 1+ rate-0.68
Scored 2+ rate-0.45
Scored 3+ rate-0.16
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
History Matches-37
Conceded Mean-0.47
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Conceded 2+ rate-0.39
Conceded 3+ rate-0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
History Matches-37
Result entropy-0.98
Stability score97.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.99
Eligible Matches-36
Lead Matches-11
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches-36
First Half Goals For Mean-0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean0.32
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.89
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.76
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count-6
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-13
Long Rest History Matches-24
Current Team ELO-3.59
Current Opponent ELO3.59
Current ELO Difference-7.18
Expected score-0.01
History Matches-37
Residual Mean-0.50
Overperformance-1.41
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.50

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Rayyan SC B

L
Al Rayyan SC B1–4Al-Khor15 Oct · home
Pick: Al Rayyan SC B 53% · missed
L
Muaither SC5–1Al Rayyan SC B31 Aug · away
Pick: Muaither SC 55% · hit
L
Al Waab1–0Al Rayyan SC B25 Aug · away
Pick: Al Waab 69% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Kharaitiyat

W
Al Waab0–1Al Kharaitiyat29 Oct · away
Pick: Al Waab 46% · missed
W
Al Kharaitiyat5–2Al Bidda SC15 Oct · home
Pick: Al Kharaitiyat 45% · hit
W
Al Kharaitiyat3–1Al-Khor30 Aug · home
Pick: Al Kharaitiyat 56% · hit
D
Al Shamal II0–0Al Kharaitiyat24 Aug · away
Pick: Al Shamal II 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al Rayyan SC B and Al Kharaitiyat meet in Second Division on Thursday 5 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 30 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Al Rayyan SC B win 38.4%, draw 24.5%, Al Kharaitiyat win 37.1%. The pick is Al Rayyan SC B win. Over 2.5 goals: 45.6%. Both teams to score: 44.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.