ScoreProb
Premier League Kuwait Round 8 2026

Al Sahel vs Al Kuwait

Al Sahel Home · Elo 1,546
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Kuwait Away · Elo 1,696
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Kuwait win
Al Sahel win
29.5%
Draw
23.1%
Al Kuwait winPick
47.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.4%
No48.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%

How much we know

Al Sahel history37 matches
Al Kuwait history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:40 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Al Kuwait are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Kuwait are rated 150 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,696 against 1,546. On rating alone Al Kuwait would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Al Kuwait score far more

    1.19 goals a game over 37 matches for Al Sahel, against 2.57 over 58 for Al Kuwait.

  • Al Kuwait concede fewer

    Al Sahel concede 0.89 a game, Al Kuwait 0.79.

  • Al Kuwait games more often go over 2.5 goals

    35% of Al Sahel matches, against 62% for Al Kuwait. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Sahel
Al Kuwait@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1546.1
ELO
1696.2
37
ELO · Matches
58
1546.1
Current Team ELO
1696.2
1696.2
Current Opponent ELO
1546.1
-150.1
Current ELO Difference
150.1
0.30
Expected score
0.70
37
History Matches
58
0.06
Residual Mean
0.19
53.89
Overperformance
64.29
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.80
0.00
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.80
1.10
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
0.90
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.55
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
1.41
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.22
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
58
1.54
PPG
2.36
40.5%
Win rate
69.0%
32.4%
Draw rate
29.3%
27.0%
Loss rate
1.7%
67.6%
Over 1.5 rate
84.5%
35.1%
Over 2.5 rate
62.1%
18.9%
Over 3.5 rate
44.8%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals
100
18
Matches
19
1.33
PPG
1.89
33.3%
Win rate
47.4%
33.3%
Draw rate
47.4%
33.3%
Loss rate
5.3%
72.2%
Over 1.5 rate
84.2%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.2%
22.2%
Over 3.5 rate
42.1%
1.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
18
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.19
Goals for per game
2.57
67.6%
Scoring rate
89.7%
43.2%
BTTS rate
51.7%
1.11
Goals for per game
2.11
61.1%
Scoring rate
78.9%
55.6%
BTTS rate
68.4%
—
Goals for per game
3.00
—
Scoring rate
100.0%
—
BTTS rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
58
1.19
Goals Mean
2.57
1.14
Goals Std
1.71
67.6%
Scored 1+ rate
89.7%
32.4%
Scored 2+ rate
69.0%
13.5%
Scored 3+ rate
50.0%
1.11
Venue Goals Mean
2.11
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.89
Goals against per game
0.79
56.8%
Conceding rate
53.4%
1.17
Goals against per game
1.16
72.2%
Conceding rate
73.7%
—
Goals against per game
3.00
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
58
0.89
Conceded Mean
0.79
1.01
Conceded Std
0.91
21.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
19.0%
8.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.9%
1.17
Venue Conceded Mean
1.16
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
43.2%
Clean-sheet rate
46.6%
32.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.3%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
38.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
43.2%
Clean-sheet rate
46.6%
32.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.3%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
38.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
43.2%
Clean-sheet rate
46.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
58
0.99
Result entropy
0.62
1.59
Goal Difference Std
1.89
1.26
Stability score
37.56
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
27
Eligible Matches
57
3
Lead Matches
32
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
93.8%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.96
12
Trailing Matches
6
16.7%
Non-loss rate
100.0%
8.3%
Trailing Win Rate
50.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
27
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.30
First Half Goals For Mean
1.23
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.33
0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
82.98
Rest days
75.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
3
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
17
Normal Rest History Matches
39
1.59
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.46
17
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.35
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.20
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
1
—
PPG
1.00
—
Win rate
0.0%
—
Draw rate
100.0%
—
Loss rate
0.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0
Current Competition Matches
1
—
Current Competition PPG
1.00
—
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
6
Competition Season Count
10
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.68
Portability PPG Std
0.25
1.35
Portability PPG Range
0.75
42.48
Portability Score
66.62
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-150.1
PPG-0.82
GF-1.38
GA0.10
PPG-0.56
PPG0.80
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-21
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate22.1%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate1.5%
Failed-to-score rate17.8%
History Matches-21
Goals Mean-1.38
Goals Std-0.58
Scored 1+ rate-0.22
Scored 2+ rate-0.37
Scored 3+ rate-0.36
Venue Goals Mean-0.99
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.61
History Matches-21
Conceded Mean0.10
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate2.7%
Conceded 3+ rate1.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.19
History Matches-21
Result entropy0.36
Goal Difference Std-0.30
Stability score-36.31
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.29
Eligible Matches-30
Lead Matches-29
Lead Win Rate-0.27
Lead Points Retention-0.18
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.83
Trailing Win Rate-0.42
Halftime Coverage Matches-30
First Half Goals For Mean-0.93
First Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Current Competition Matches-1
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Portability PPG Std0.43
Portability PPG Range0.60
Portability Score-24.14
Rest days7.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-22
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.87
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.85
Current Team ELO-150.1
Current Opponent ELO150.1
Current ELO Difference-300.2
Expected score-0.41
History Matches-21
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-10.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Sahel

L
Al Tadhamon3–2Al Sahel31 Oct · away
Pick: Al Sahel 44% · missed
L
Al Sahel0–3Al Nasar24 Oct · home
Pick: Al Sahel 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Kuwait

W
Nasaf0–1Al Kuwait28 Oct · away
Pick: Nasaf 39% · missed
W
Al Tadhamon2–6Al Kuwait23 Oct · away
Pick: Al Kuwait 56% · hit
W
Al Kuwait7–0Al Sulaibikhat19 Oct · home
Pick: Al Kuwait 68% · hit
W
Al Qadsia0–1Al Kuwait31 Aug · away
Pick: Al Qadsia 51% · missed
D
Al Kuwait3–3Al Arabi25 Aug · home
Pick: Al Kuwait 44% · missed

About this match

Al Sahel and Al Kuwait meet in Premier League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:40 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Al Sahel win 29.5%, draw 23.1%, Al Kuwait win 47.4%. The pick is Al Kuwait win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.3%. Both teams to score: 51.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.