ScoreProb
Pro League U23 United Arab Emirates Round 8 2026

Al Wasl U23 vs Al Jazira U23

Al Wasl U23 Home · Elo 1,487
Mon 9 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Jazira U23 Away · Elo 1,502
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 3 Nov, 08:36 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Wasl U23 win
Al Wasl U23 winPick
38.8%
Draw
24.6%
Al Jazira U23 win
36.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.5%
No41.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%

How much we know

Al Wasl U23 history15 matches
Al Jazira U23 history14 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    3 Nov · 08:36 UTC
  2. Re-published 4 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 08:08 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    9 Nov · 12:55 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Al Wasl U23 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,487 against 1,502. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.47 goals a game over 15 matches for Al Wasl U23, against 1.50 over 14 for Al Jazira U23.

  • Al Wasl U23 concede fewer

    Al Wasl U23 concede 1.40 a game, Al Jazira U23 2.00.

  • Al Jazira U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    47% of Al Wasl U23 matches, against 71% for Al Jazira U23. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Wasl U23
Al Jazira U23
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1487.4
ELO
1502.4
15
ELO · Matches
14
1487.4
Current Team ELO
1502.4
1502.4
Current Opponent ELO
1487.4
-15.04
Current ELO Difference
15.04
0.48
Expected score
0.52
15
History Matches
14
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.01
48.46
Overperformance
50.37
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.20
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.30
Goals for per game
1.50
1.40
Goals against per game
1.90
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.42
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.64
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.20
Overall performance9 signals
90
15
Matches
14
1.27
PPG
1.29
33.3%
Win rate
28.6%
26.7%
Draw rate
42.9%
40.0%
Loss rate
28.6%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
46.7%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
57.1%
1.44
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
Venue performance10 signals
100
8
Matches
7
1.13
PPG
1.29
25.0%
Win rate
28.6%
37.5%
Draw rate
42.9%
37.5%
Loss rate
28.6%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
57.1%
1.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.40
8
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.47
Goals for per game
1.50
80.0%
Scoring rate
71.4%
60.0%
BTTS rate
71.4%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.43
75.0%
Scoring rate
85.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
85.7%
0.50
Goals for per game
1.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
15
History Matches
14
1.47
Goals Mean
1.50
1.26
Goals Std
1.35
80.0%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
40.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
13.3%
Scored 3+ rate
14.3%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.43
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
80.0%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.13
Goals against per game
1.86
75.0%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
15
History Matches
14
1.40
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.08
Conceded Std
1.51
40.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
64.3%
13.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.4%
1.13
Venue Conceded Mean
1.86
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
15
History Matches
14
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.44
Goal Difference Std
2.10
1.22
Stability score
1.79
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
13
Eligible Matches
12
2
Lead Matches
3
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.78
6
Trailing Matches
4
33.3%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
13
Halftime Coverage Matches
12
0.46
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.85
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
0.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.08
0.62
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.42
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
78.95
Rest days
76.95
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
5
Normal Rest History Matches
5
1.60
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.80
9
Long Rest History Matches
8
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
0.50
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.50
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
2
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
15
Clean History Matches
14
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-15.04
PPG-0.02
GF-0.03
GA-0.60
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.16
PPG0.40
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate5.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate10.7%
Failed-to-score rate10.7%
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.03
Goals Std-0.09
Scored 1+ rate8.6%
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean-0.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.01
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.60
Conceded Std-0.43
Clean-sheet rate5.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.24
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.84
History Matches1
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.66
Stability score-0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.06
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate33.3%
Lead Points Retention0.22
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate8.3%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.80
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days2.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.80
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Current Team ELO-15.04
Current Opponent ELO15.04
Current ELO Difference-30.07
Expected score-0.04
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-1.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Wasl U23

L
Al Dhafra U231–0Al Wasl U2331 Oct · away
Pick: Al Wasl U23 44% · missed
D
Al Wasl U230–0Bani Yas U2317 Oct · home
Pick: Al Wasl U23 54% · missed
D
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U234–4Al Wasl U2329 Aug · away
Pick: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Jazira U23

W
Bani Yas U230–1Al Jazira U232 Nov · away
Pick: Al Jazira U23 40% · hit
W
Al Jazira U233–1Ittihad Kalba U2319 Oct · home
Pick: Al Jazira U23 45% · hit
D
Ajman U231–1Al Jazira U2330 Aug · away
Pick: Ajman U23 62% · missed
D
Al Jazira U230–0Al Sharjah U2324 Aug · home
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 55% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al Wasl U23 and Al Jazira U23 meet in Pro League U23 on Monday 9 November 2026, kickoff 12:55 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 3 Nov, 08:36 UTC: Al Wasl U23 win 38.8%, draw 24.6%, Al Jazira U23 win 36.6%. The pick is Al Wasl U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.1%. Both teams to score: 58.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.