ScoreProb
Regionalliga - Nord Germany North - 17 2026

Atlas Delmenhorst vs Schöningen

Atlas Delmenhorst Home · Elo 1,621
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Schöningen Away · Elo 1,509
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Schöningen win
Atlas Delmenhorst win
36.3%
Draw
19.2%
Schöningen winPick
44.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.7%
No39.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.3%
Under 2.528.7%

How much we know

Atlas Delmenhorst history51 matches
Schöningen history71 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Schöningen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Atlas Delmenhorst are rated 113 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,621 against 1,509. On rating alone Atlas Delmenhorst would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Atlas Delmenhorst score more

    2.18 goals a game over 51 matches for Atlas Delmenhorst, against 1.73 over 71 for Schöningen.

  • Atlas Delmenhorst concede fewer

    Atlas Delmenhorst concede 1.14 a game, Schöningen 2.01.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of Atlas Delmenhorst matches, against 70% for Schöningen. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Atlas Delmenhorst
Schöningen
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1621.5
ELO
1508.6
51
ELO · Matches
71
1621.5
Current Team ELO
1508.6
1508.6
Current Opponent ELO
1621.5
112.9
Current ELO Difference
-112.9
0.66
Expected score
0.34
51
History Matches
71
0.12
Residual Mean
0.00
58.67
Overperformance
49.79
0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.23
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
2.60
1.40
Goals for per game
1.80
1.20
Goals against per game
0.40
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.90
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
1.10
Goals against per game
2.10
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.48
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.43
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.01
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
71
2.04
PPG
1.34
60.8%
Win rate
38.0%
21.6%
Draw rate
19.7%
17.6%
Loss rate
42.3%
84.3%
Over 1.5 rate
90.1%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
70.4%
47.1%
Over 3.5 rate
50.7%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
39
1.78
PPG
1.51
51.9%
Win rate
43.6%
22.2%
Draw rate
20.5%
25.9%
Loss rate
35.9%
96.3%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
74.1%
Over 2.5 rate
74.4%
51.9%
Over 3.5 rate
53.8%
1.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
27
History Matches
39
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.18
Goals for per game
1.73
94.1%
Scoring rate
73.2%
56.9%
BTTS rate
60.6%
2.15
Goals for per game
1.97
100.0%
Scoring rate
76.9%
74.1%
BTTS rate
61.5%
1.25
Goals for per game
1.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
51
History Matches
71
2.18
Goals Mean
1.73
1.29
Goals Std
1.46
94.1%
Scored 1+ rate
73.2%
64.7%
Scored 2+ rate
53.5%
35.3%
Scored 3+ rate
29.6%
2.15
Venue Goals Mean
1.97
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.14
Goals against per game
2.01
58.8%
Conceding rate
81.7%
1.44
Goals against per game
1.90
74.1%
Conceding rate
82.1%
1.25
Goals against per game
0.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
51
History Matches
71
1.14
Conceded Mean
2.01
1.19
Conceded Std
1.71
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.1%
19.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.4%
1.44
Venue Conceded Mean
1.90
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.3%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.8%
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
17.9%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.3%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.8%
25.9%
Clean-sheet rate
17.9%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
71
0.86
Result entropy
0.96
1.86
Goal Difference Std
2.38
14.48
Stability score
4.26
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
70
27
Lead Matches
24
77.8%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.79
7
Trailing Matches
23
57.1%
Non-loss rate
17.4%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
8.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
70
0.94
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
1.24
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.97
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.26
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.08
Rest days
83.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
7
1.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.71
26
Normal Rest History Matches
44
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
21
Long Rest History Matches
19
2.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.75
PPG
2.50
50.0%
Win rate
75.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.83
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.75
Current Competition PPG
2.50
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.25
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.17
Portability PPG Std
0.51
0.42
Portability PPG Range
1.50
74.72
Portability Score
49.51
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
71
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO112.9
PPG0.70
GF0.44
GA-0.88
PPG-0.75
PPG0.26
PPG-0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-20
Clean-sheet rate22.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate8.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches-20
Goals Mean0.44
Goals Std-0.17
Scored 1+ rate20.9%
Scored 2+ rate11.2%
Scored 3+ rate5.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.08
History Matches-20
Conceded Mean-0.88
Conceded Std-0.52
Clean-sheet rate22.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.19
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.45
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.29
History Matches-20
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std-0.52
Stability score10.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.22
Eligible Matches-19
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate2.8%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-16
Non-loss rate39.8%
Trailing Win Rate5.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches-19
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.51
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.25
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.34
Portability PPG Range-1.08
Portability Score25.21
Rest days0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match0.95
Normal Rest History Matches-18
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.50
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.88
Current Team ELO112.9
Current Opponent ELO-112.9
Current ELO Difference225.7
Expected score0.31
History Matches-20
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance8.87
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Atlas Delmenhorst

D
Atlas Delmenhorst1–1VfB Oldenburg30 Oct · home
Pick: VfB Oldenburg 44% · missed
D
Phönix Lübeck2–2Atlas Delmenhorst25 Oct · away
Pick: Phönix Lübeck 53% · missed
W
Atlas Delmenhorst2–0Bremer SV16 Oct · home
Pick: Atlas Delmenhorst 56% · hit
L
Weiche Flensburg1–0Atlas Delmenhorst29 Aug · away
Pick: Weiche Flensburg 55% · hit
D
Atlas Delmenhorst3–3Kickers Emden26 Aug · home
Pick: Atlas Delmenhorst 62% · missed

Schöningen

L
Schöningen0–3Phönix Lübeck31 Oct · home
Pick: Schöningen 50% · missed
L
Hannover 96 II4–2Schöningen17 Oct · away
Pick: Hannover 96 II 41% · hit
L
HSC Hannover2–0Schöningen4 Oct · away
Pick: Schöningen 48% · missed
D
Bremer SV2–2Schöningen30 Aug · away
Pick: Schöningen 49% · missed
W
Schöningen3–2St. Pauli II26 Aug · home
Pick: Schöningen 60% · hit

About this match

Atlas Delmenhorst and Schöningen meet in Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Atlas Delmenhorst win 36.3%, draw 19.2%, Schöningen win 44.5%. The pick is Schöningen win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.3%. Both teams to score: 60.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.