ScoreProb
Elite Two Cameroon Round 3 2027

Avion Academy vs Bamboutos

Avion Academy Home · Elo 1,514
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Bamboutos Away · Elo 1,490
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Avion Academy win
35.7%
DrawPick
36.3%
Bamboutos win
28.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.4%
No54.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.1%
Under 2.555.9%

How much we know

Avion Academy history30 matches
Bamboutos history31 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,514 against 1,490. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Avion Academy score more

    1.20 goals a game over 30 matches for Avion Academy, against 0.97 over 31 for Bamboutos.

  • Bamboutos concede fewer

    Avion Academy concede 1.30 a game, Bamboutos 1.00.

  • Avion Academy games more often go over 2.5 goals

    43% of Avion Academy matches, against 29% for Bamboutos. The model puts this match at 44% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 21 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Avion Academy
Bamboutos@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1513.7
ELO
1490.1
30
ELO · Matches
31
1513.7
Current Team ELO
1490.1
1490.1
Current Opponent ELO
1513.7
23.50
Current ELO Difference
-23.50
0.53
Expected score
0.47
30
History Matches
31
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.02
51.38
Overperformance
48.90
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.50
1.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.40
Goals against per game
0.80
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.72
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.08
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.08
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.44
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.74
Overall performance9 signals
90
30
Matches
31
1.47
PPG
1.23
43.3%
Win rate
32.3%
16.7%
Draw rate
25.8%
40.0%
Loss rate
41.9%
70.0%
Over 1.5 rate
58.1%
43.3%
Over 2.5 rate
29.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
12.9%
2.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
Venue performance10 signals
100
15
Matches
16
1.53
PPG
0.88
46.7%
Win rate
18.8%
13.3%
Draw rate
31.3%
40.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
56.3%
46.7%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
6.3%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.45
15
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.20
Goals for per game
0.97
60.0%
Scoring rate
58.1%
33.3%
BTTS rate
35.5%
1.47
Goals for per game
0.69
66.7%
Scoring rate
50.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
31.3%
30
History Matches
31
1.20
Goals Mean
0.97
1.49
Goals Std
1.15
60.0%
Scored 1+ rate
58.1%
26.7%
Scored 2+ rate
19.4%
13.3%
Scored 3+ rate
12.9%
1.47
Venue Goals Mean
0.69
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.30
Goals against per game
1.00
63.3%
Conceding rate
64.5%
1.27
Goals against per game
1.06
66.7%
Conceding rate
62.5%
30
History Matches
31
1.30
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.32
Conceded Std
0.98
40.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.8%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.5%
1.27
Venue Conceded Mean
1.06
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.5%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
41.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.5%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
41.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
30
History Matches
31
0.94
Result entropy
0.98
2.21
Goal Difference Std
1.62
6.47
Stability score
1.79
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
26
Eligible Matches
27
7
Lead Matches
4
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
9
Trailing Matches
7
0.0%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
27
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
141.1
Rest days
140.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.86
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
9
Normal Rest History Matches
11
1.78
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.09
13
Long Rest History Matches
15
1.46
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.00
Portability PPG Std
0.27
0.01
Portability PPG Range
0.54
99.10
Portability Score
64.85
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
30
Clean History Matches
31
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO23.50
PPG0.24
GF0.23
GA0.30
PPG0.66
PPG0.20
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate1.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std0.34
Scored 1+ rate1.9%
Scored 2+ rate7.3%
Scored 3+ rate0.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.78
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.64
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.34
Clean-sheet rate1.2%
Conceded 2+ rate14.2%
Conceded 3+ rate10.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.20
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std0.60
Stability score4.68
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.70
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.29
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.27
Portability PPG Range-0.53
Portability Score34.25
Rest days1.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.64
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.69
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.13
Current Team ELO23.50
Current Opponent ELO-23.50
Current ELO Difference47.00
Expected score0.07
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Avion Academy

W
Les Astres0–2Avion Academy31 Oct · away
Pick: Les Astres 52% · missed
L
Avion Academy0–1Atlantic25 Oct · home
Pick: Avion Academy 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Bamboutos

W
Jeunes Fauves0–2Bamboutos24 Oct · away
Pick: Bamboutos 36% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Avion Academy and Bamboutos meet in Elite Two on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Avion Academy win 35.7%, draw 36.3%, Bamboutos win 28.0%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 44.1%. Both teams to score: 45.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.