Baicoi vs Corona Braşov
Match result probability Model pick: Baicoi win
Baicoi winPick
56.4%
Draw
21.1%
Corona Braşov win
22.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes54.2%
No45.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
How much we know
Baicoi history39 matches
Corona Braşov history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Baicoi
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Baicoi are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Corona Braşov are rated 37 Elo points higher
Elo 1,534 against 1,496. On rating alone Corona Braşov would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
Corona Braşov score far more
1.26 goals a game over 39 matches for Baicoi, against 2.75 over 4 for Corona Braşov.
-
Corona Braşov concede fewer
Baicoi concede 1.54 a game, Corona Braşov 1.00.
-
Corona Braşov games more often go over 2.5 goals
51% of Baicoi matches, against 100% for Corona Braşov. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 20 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Corona Braşov@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1496.3
ELO
1533.7
39
ELO · Matches
4
1496.3
Current Team ELO
1533.7
1533.7
Current Opponent ELO
1496.3
-37.38
Current ELO Difference
37.38
0.45
Expected score
0.55
39
History Matches
4
0.00
Residual Mean
0.51
50.17
Overperformance
58.55
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.51
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
4
1.80
PPG
3.00
2.60
Goals for per game
2.75
2.60
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
4
1.80
PPG
3.00
2.00
Goals for per game
2.75
2.10
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
100.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.75
1.18
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.43
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.51
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.71
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.83
Overall performance9 signals 90
39
Matches
4
1.38
PPG
3.00
41.0%
Win rate
100.0%
15.4%
Draw rate
0.0%
43.6%
Loss rate
0.0%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
51.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
28.2%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.83
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
0
1.43
PPG
—
42.9%
Win rate
—
14.3%
Draw rate
—
42.9%
Loss rate
—
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
—
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
21
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.26
Goals for per game
2.75
71.8%
Scoring rate
100.0%
48.7%
BTTS rate
75.0%
1.48
Goals for per game
—
71.4%
Scoring rate
—
52.4%
BTTS rate
—
39
History Matches
4
1.26
Goals Mean
2.75
1.10
Goals Std
0.43
71.8%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
35.9%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
12.8%
Scored 3+ rate
75.0%
1.48
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.54
Goals against per game
1.00
76.9%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.52
Goals against per game
—
81.0%
Conceding rate
—
39
History Matches
4
1.54
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.24
Conceded Std
0.71
43.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.0%
25.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
28.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
—
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
28.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
—
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
39
History Matches
4
0.92
Result entropy
0.00
1.80
Goal Difference Std
0.83
7.57
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
29
Eligible Matches
4
8
Lead Matches
1
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
1.00
9
Trailing Matches
1
11.1%
Non-loss rate
100.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
100.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
29
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.72
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
0.66
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.75
0.86
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.25
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
86.90
Rest days
79.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
22
Normal Rest History Matches
3
1.64
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
16
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
1
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.29
Portability PPG Std
—
0.68
Portability PPG Range
—
63.54
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
39
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateVenue Goals MeanVenue Conceded MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-37.38
PPG-1.62
GF-1.49
GA0.54
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches35
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate28.2%
History Matches21
History Matches35
Goals Mean-1.49
Goals Std0.67
Scored 1+ rate-0.28
Scored 2+ rate-0.64
Scored 3+ rate-0.62
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std0.75
History Matches35
Conceded Mean0.54
Conceded Std0.53
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate18.6%
Conceded 3+ rate25.6%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.81
History Matches35
Result entropy0.92
Goal Difference Std0.97
Stability score-92.43
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.61
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.43
Eligible Matches25
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.89
Trailing Win Rate-1.00
Halftime Coverage Matches25
First Half Goals For Mean-0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.61
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches19
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.36
Long Rest History Matches16
Current Team ELO-37.38
Current Opponent ELO37.38
Current ELO Difference-74.75
Expected score-0.11
History Matches35
Residual Mean-0.51
Overperformance-8.39
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.38
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Baicoi
L
Săcele4–2Baicoi31 Oct · away
Pick: Baicoi 47% · missed W
Baicoi4–2Valenii de Munte24 Oct · home
Pick: Baicoi 58% · hit W
Tricolorul Breaza0–5Baicoi17 Oct · away
Pick: Baicoi 41% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Corona Braşov
D
Valenii de Munte1–1Corona Braşov31 Oct · away
Pick: Valenii de Munte 45% · missed L
Corona Braşov0–3Arges Pitesti28 Oct · home
Pick: Arges Pitesti 47% · hit W
Corona Braşov8–0Olimpic Zărneşti24 Oct · home
Pick: Corona Braşov 45% · hit W
Sepsi II0–2Corona Braşov16 Oct · away
Pick: Sepsi II 56% · missed D
Corona Braşov2–2Bihor Oradea1 Sep · home
Pick: Bihor Oradea 45% · missed About this match
Baicoi and Corona Braşov meet in Liga III - Serie 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Baicoi win 56.4%, draw 21.1%, Corona Braşov win 22.5%. The pick is Baicoi win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.5%. Both teams to score: 54.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.