ScoreProb
1. Liga Promotion Switzerland Round 15 2026

Basel II vs FC Schaffhausen

Basel II Home · Elo 1,520
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
FC Schaffhausen Away · Elo 1,546
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: FC Schaffhausen win
Basel II win
28.7%
Draw
22.2%
FC Schaffhausen winPick
49.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%

How much we know

Basel II history58 matches
FC Schaffhausen history64 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why FC Schaffhausen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FC Schaffhausen are rated 27 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,546 against 1,520. On rating alone FC Schaffhausen would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Basel II score more

    1.79 goals a game over 58 matches for Basel II, against 1.55 over 64 for FC Schaffhausen.

  • Defences are close

    Basel II concede 1.55 a game, FC Schaffhausen 1.66.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    67% of Basel II matches, against 61% for FC Schaffhausen. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Basel II
FC Schaffhausen
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1519.7
ELO
1546.2
58
ELO · Matches
64
1519.7
Current Team ELO
1546.2
1546.2
Current Opponent ELO
1519.7
-26.55
Current ELO Difference
26.55
0.46
Expected score
0.54
58
History Matches
64
0.03
Residual Mean
0.03
51.92
Overperformance
52.51
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
3.00
2.00
Goals for per game
2.80
2.40
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
2.20
1.70
Goals for per game
2.50
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.50
1.19
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.98
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.51
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.49
Overall performance9 signals
90
58
Matches
64
1.53
PPG
1.38
43.1%
Win rate
40.6%
24.1%
Draw rate
15.6%
32.8%
Loss rate
43.8%
84.5%
Over 1.5 rate
81.3%
67.2%
Over 2.5 rate
60.9%
43.1%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
1.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
34
1.63
PPG
1.38
46.9%
Win rate
41.2%
21.9%
Draw rate
14.7%
31.3%
Loss rate
44.1%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
82.4%
71.9%
Over 2.5 rate
64.7%
40.6%
Over 3.5 rate
38.2%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
32
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.79
Goals for per game
1.55
82.8%
Scoring rate
79.7%
67.2%
BTTS rate
57.8%
1.88
Goals for per game
1.59
81.3%
Scoring rate
79.4%
62.5%
BTTS rate
61.8%
1.75
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
58
History Matches
64
1.79
Goals Mean
1.55
1.34
Goals Std
1.18
82.8%
Scored 1+ rate
79.7%
55.2%
Scored 2+ rate
48.4%
27.6%
Scored 3+ rate
17.2%
1.88
Venue Goals Mean
1.59
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.55
Goals against per game
1.66
79.3%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.53
Goals against per game
1.76
75.0%
Conceding rate
79.4%
2.50
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
58
History Matches
64
1.55
Conceded Mean
1.66
1.21
Conceded Std
1.45
44.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.9%
22.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.1%
1.53
Venue Conceded Mean
1.76
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
20.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.6%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.6%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
17.2%
Failed-to-score rate
20.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.6%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.6%
20.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
58
History Matches
64
0.98
Result entropy
0.93
1.82
Goal Difference Std
1.90
2.47
Stability score
7.37
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
56
Eligible Matches
63
24
Lead Matches
20
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
90.0%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.92
16
Trailing Matches
18
25.0%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.96
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.87
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.25
32
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.72
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.34
22
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.32
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
3.00
25.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.86
0.99
Portability PPG Range
2.29
54.94
Portability Score
36.80
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
58
Clean History Matches
64
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-26.55
PPG0.16
GF0.25
GA-0.10
PPG-2.25
PPG0.24
PPG-1.80
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.25
Goals Std0.15
Scored 1+ rate3.1%
Scored 2+ rate6.7%
Scored 3+ rate10.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.29
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.02
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean-0.10
Conceded Std-0.24
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.06
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score-4.89
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.03
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate8.3%
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.75
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.45
Portability PPG Range-1.31
Portability Score18.14
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.38
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.02
Current Team ELO-26.55
Current Opponent ELO26.55
Current ELO Difference-53.10
Expected score-0.08
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.58
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Basel II

L
Breitenrain2–0Basel II31 Oct · away
Pick: Breitenrain 52% · hit
L
Amical Saint-Prex2–0Basel II24 Oct · away
Pick: Amical Saint-Prex 43% · hit
W
Basel II3–1Bavois17 Oct · home
Pick: Bavois 41% · missed
W
YF Juventus2–3Basel II29 Aug · away
Pick: YF Juventus 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

FC Schaffhausen

W
FC Schaffhausen1–0Amical Saint-Prex31 Oct · home
Pick: FC Schaffhausen 67% · hit
L
Zürich II3–1FC Schaffhausen30 Aug · away
Pick: FC Schaffhausen 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Basel II and FC Schaffhausen meet in 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Basel II win 28.7%, draw 22.2%, FC Schaffhausen win 49.1%. The pick is FC Schaffhausen win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.7%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.