ScoreProb
V.League 2 Vietnam Round 7 2027

Binh Duong vs Pho Hien

Binh Duong Home · Elo 1,454
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Pho Hien Away · Elo 1,497
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Binh Duong win
Binh Duong winPick
44.8%
Draw
23.4%
Pho Hien win
31.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.1%
No41.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%

How much we know

Binh Duong history46 matches
Pho Hien history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Binh Duong are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Pho Hien are rated 43 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,497 against 1,454. On rating alone Pho Hien would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.24 goals a game over 46 matches for Binh Duong, against 1.21 over 43 for Pho Hien.

  • Pho Hien concede fewer

    Binh Duong concede 1.72 a game, Pho Hien 1.30.

  • Binh Duong games more often go over 2.5 goals

    63% of Binh Duong matches, against 53% for Pho Hien. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Binh Duong
Pho Hien
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1454.2
ELO
1496.9
46
ELO · Matches
43
1454.2
Current Team ELO
1496.9
1496.9
Current Opponent ELO
1454.2
-42.65
Current ELO Difference
42.65
0.44
Expected score
0.56
46
History Matches
43
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.00
46.69
Overperformance
49.86
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.30
1.40
Goals for per game
1.10
1.70
Goals against per game
1.40
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
0.92
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.27
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.11
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.49
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.85
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
43
1.07
PPG
1.35
28.3%
Win rate
34.9%
21.7%
Draw rate
30.2%
50.0%
Loss rate
34.9%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
69.8%
63.0%
Over 2.5 rate
53.5%
32.6%
Over 3.5 rate
30.2%
1.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
21
1.04
PPG
1.29
26.1%
Win rate
38.1%
26.1%
Draw rate
14.3%
47.8%
Loss rate
47.6%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
69.6%
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.65
23
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.24
Goals for per game
1.21
82.6%
Scoring rate
67.4%
67.4%
BTTS rate
48.8%
1.22
Goals for per game
1.10
82.6%
Scoring rate
66.7%
73.9%
BTTS rate
47.6%
46
History Matches
43
1.24
Goals Mean
1.21
0.79
Goals Std
1.11
82.6%
Scored 1+ rate
67.4%
37.0%
Scored 2+ rate
34.9%
4.3%
Scored 3+ rate
16.3%
1.22
Venue Goals Mean
1.10
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.72
Goals against per game
1.30
80.4%
Conceding rate
72.1%
1.65
Goals against per game
1.52
87.0%
Conceding rate
81.0%
46
History Matches
43
1.72
Conceded Mean
1.30
1.25
Conceded Std
1.13
52.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.2%
30.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.3%
1.65
Venue Conceded Mean
1.52
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
32.6%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
19.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
43
0.94
Result entropy
1.00
1.54
Goal Difference Std
1.70
5.75
Stability score
0.20
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
43
9
Lead Matches
14
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.76
13
Trailing Matches
13
15.4%
Non-loss rate
46.2%
7.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.80
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.03
Rest days
148.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
25
Normal Rest History Matches
22
0.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.14
20
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.68
0.28
Portability PPG Range
1.36
78.31
Portability Score
42.38
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-42.65
PPG-0.28
GF0.03
GA0.42
PPG-0.24
PPG0.20
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.03
Goals Std-0.33
Scored 1+ rate15.2%
Scored 2+ rate2.1%
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean0.12
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.22
History Matches3
Conceded Mean0.42
Conceded Std0.11
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate15.0%
Conceded 3+ rate14.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.13
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.16
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.15
Stability score5.55
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.36
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.31
Trailing Win Rate7.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.54
Portability PPG Range-1.08
Portability Score35.94
Rest days-71.97
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.18
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.40
Current Team ELO-42.65
Current Opponent ELO42.65
Current ELO Difference-85.29
Expected score-0.12
History Matches3
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Binh Duong

W
Xuan Thien Phu Tho1–2Binh Duong31 Oct · away
Pick: Binh Duong 46% · hit
W
Binh Duong4–0Than Quang Ninh27 Oct · home
Pick: Binh Duong 53% · hit
L
Binh Duong2–3Thai Nguyen23 Oct · home
Pick: Binh Duong 66% · missed
W
Ho Chi Minh1–2Binh Duong18 Oct · away
Pick: Ho Chi Minh 63% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Pho Hien

L
Pho Hien0–1Ho Chi Minh1 Nov · home
Pick: Ho Chi Minh 50% · hit
W
Lam Dong1–2Pho Hien27 Oct · away
Pick: Lam Dong 36% · missed
W
Xuan Thien Phu Tho2–3Pho Hien22 Oct · away
Pick: Pho Hien 48% · hit
D
Pho Hien1–1Hung Yen17 Oct · home
Pick: Pho Hien 66% · missed
W
Pho Hien4–1Bóng đá Huế6 Oct · home
Pick: Pho Hien 62% · hit

About this match

Binh Duong and Pho Hien meet in V.League 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Binh Duong win 44.8%, draw 23.4%, Pho Hien win 31.9%. The pick is Binh Duong win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.4%. Both teams to score: 58.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.