ScoreProb
V.League 2 Vietnam Round 7 2027

Long An vs Dong Thap

Long An Home · Elo 1,372
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dong Thap Away · Elo 1,450
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dong Thap win
Long An win
32.6%
Draw
32.5%
Dong Thap winPick
34.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes42.6%
No57.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.537.1%
Under 2.562.9%

How much we know

Long An history41 matches
Dong Thap history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 08:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (34.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Dong Thap are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Dong Thap are rated 78 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,450 against 1,372. On rating alone Dong Thap would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Dong Thap score far more

    0.49 goals a game over 41 matches for Long An, against 0.82 over 38 for Dong Thap.

  • Dong Thap concede fewer

    Long An concede 1.37 a game, Dong Thap 1.05.

  • Long An games more often go over 2.5 goals

    37% of Long An matches, against 26% for Dong Thap. The model puts this match at 37% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Long An
Dong Thap
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1372.4
ELO
1450.3
41
ELO · Matches
38
1372.4
Current Team ELO
1450.3
1450.3
Current Opponent ELO
1372.4
-77.86
Current ELO Difference
77.86
0.39
Expected score
0.61
41
History Matches
38
-0.15
Residual Mean
-0.08
39.90
Overperformance
44.87
-0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
1.40
0.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.80
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
1.50
0.50
Goals for per game
0.90
1.50
Goals against per game
0.70
10.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
0.67
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.25
Overall performance9 signals
90
41
Matches
38
0.68
PPG
0.97
12.2%
Win rate
23.7%
31.7%
Draw rate
26.3%
56.1%
Loss rate
50.0%
58.5%
Over 1.5 rate
52.6%
36.6%
Over 2.5 rate
26.3%
7.3%
Over 3.5 rate
13.2%
1.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
22
0.90
PPG
0.82
19.0%
Win rate
18.2%
33.3%
Draw rate
27.3%
47.6%
Loss rate
54.5%
52.4%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
27.3%
4.8%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
0.90
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.34
21
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.49
Goals for per game
0.82
43.9%
Scoring rate
52.6%
34.1%
BTTS rate
34.2%
0.67
Goals for per game
0.68
57.1%
Scoring rate
45.5%
42.9%
BTTS rate
31.8%
41
History Matches
38
0.49
Goals Mean
0.82
0.59
Goals Std
0.91
43.9%
Scored 1+ rate
52.6%
4.9%
Scored 2+ rate
23.7%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
5.3%
0.67
Venue Goals Mean
0.68
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.37
Goals against per game
1.05
70.7%
Conceding rate
71.1%
1.05
Goals against per game
1.23
66.7%
Conceding rate
72.7%
41
History Matches
38
1.37
Conceded Mean
1.05
1.14
Conceded Std
1.00
46.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.7%
14.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.3%
1.05
Venue Conceded Mean
1.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.9%
56.1%
Failed-to-score rate
47.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
54.5%
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.9%
56.1%
Failed-to-score rate
47.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
54.5%
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
28.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
41
History Matches
38
0.86
Result entropy
0.95
1.27
Goal Difference Std
1.38
13.97
Stability score
5.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
41
Eligible Matches
37
3
Lead Matches
4
0.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.11
Lead Points Retention
0.83
16
Trailing Matches
9
12.5%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.22
First Half Goals For Mean
0.27
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.27
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.02
Rest days
76.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
20
Normal Rest History Matches
18
0.80
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.11
20
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.60
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.89
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.25
Portability PPG Std
0.20
0.61
Portability PPG Range
0.49
66.35
Portability Score
71.54
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
41
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-77.86
PPG-0.29
GF-0.33
GA0.31
PPG0.09
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate0.3%
Failed-to-score rate8.7%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate6.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches3
Goals Mean-0.33
Goals Std-0.32
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.19
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.16
History Matches3
Conceded Mean0.31
Conceded Std0.14
Clean-sheet rate0.3%
Conceded 2+ rate22.7%
Conceded 3+ rate9.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.18
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.50
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.09
Goal Difference Std-0.11
Stability score8.55
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.23
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.75
Lead Points Retention-0.72
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.30
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.05
Portability PPG Range0.12
Portability Score-5.18
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.31
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Current Team ELO-77.86
Current Opponent ELO77.86
Current ELO Difference-155.7
Expected score-0.22
History Matches3
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-4.98
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Long An

D
Binh Dinh0–0Long An1 Nov · away
Pick: Long An 37% · missed
D
Long An1–1Thai Nguyen28 Oct · home
Pick: Long An 64% · missed
L
Hung Yen3–1Long An24 Oct · away
Pick: Hung Yen 38% · hit
L
Long An0–1Sanna Khanh Hoa18 Oct · home
Pick: Long An 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dong Thap

W
Dong Thap2–1Hung Yen1 Nov · home
Pick: Dong Thap 61% · hit
W
Sanna Khanh Hoa0–1Dong Thap27 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
L
Văn Hiến3–2Dong Thap22 Oct · away
Pick: Văn Hiến 33% · hit
W
Dong Thap3–1Binh Dinh16 Oct · home
Pick: Dong Thap 39% · hit
L
Bình Phước4–3Dong Thap6 Oct · away
Pick: Bình Phước 47% · hit

About this match

Long An and Dong Thap meet in V.League 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 08:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Long An win 32.6%, draw 32.5%, Dong Thap win 34.9%. The pick is Dong Thap win. Over 2.5 goals: 37.1%. Both teams to score: 42.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.