ScoreProb
2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 11 2026

Bochum W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W

Bochum W Home · Elo 1,493
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Carl Zeiss Jena W Away · Elo 1,406
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Bochum W win
Bochum W winPick
67.0%
Draw
19.0%
Carl Zeiss Jena W win
13.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.1%
No47.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.6%
Under 2.534.4%

How much we know

Bochum W history43 matches
Carl Zeiss Jena W history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (67.0%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Bochum W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Bochum W are rated 87 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,493 against 1,406. On rating alone Bochum W would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Bochum W score far more

    1.53 goals a game over 43 matches for Bochum W, against 0.86 over 43 for Carl Zeiss Jena W.

  • Bochum W concede fewer

    Bochum W concede 1.51 a game, Carl Zeiss Jena W 2.35.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    58% of Bochum W matches, against 58% for Carl Zeiss Jena W. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bochum W
Carl Zeiss Jena W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1493.1
ELO
1405.7
43
ELO · Matches
43
1493.1
Current Team ELO
1405.7
1405.7
Current Opponent ELO
1493.1
87.33
Current ELO Difference
-87.33
0.62
Expected score
0.38
43
History Matches
43
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.11
49.37
Overperformance
42.80
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.20
3.20
Goals for per game
1.20
0.60
Goals against per game
3.00
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.80
1.70
Goals for per game
1.10
1.30
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.95
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.06
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.38
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
43
1.30
PPG
0.72
37.2%
Win rate
18.6%
18.6%
Draw rate
16.3%
44.2%
Loss rate
65.1%
83.7%
Over 1.5 rate
79.1%
58.1%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
32.6%
Over 3.5 rate
37.2%
2.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.03
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
21
1.05
PPG
0.95
28.6%
Win rate
28.6%
19.0%
Draw rate
9.5%
52.4%
Loss rate
61.9%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
52.4%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
2.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.19
21
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.53
Goals for per game
0.86
69.8%
Scoring rate
60.5%
51.2%
BTTS rate
51.2%
1.52
Goals for per game
0.90
61.9%
Scoring rate
61.9%
38.1%
BTTS rate
47.6%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
43
1.53
Goals Mean
0.86
1.56
Goals Std
0.93
69.8%
Scored 1+ rate
60.5%
41.9%
Scored 2+ rate
16.3%
20.9%
Scored 3+ rate
7.0%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
0.90
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.51
Goals against per game
2.35
76.7%
Conceding rate
86.0%
1.52
Goals against per game
2.48
71.4%
Conceding rate
81.0%
0.33
Goals against per game
1.67
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
43
1.51
Conceded Mean
2.35
1.35
Conceded Std
1.74
41.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.5%
18.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
44.2%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
2.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.0%
30.2%
Failed-to-score rate
39.5%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
38.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.0%
30.2%
Failed-to-score rate
39.5%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
38.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
43
0.95
Result entropy
0.81
2.39
Goal Difference Std
2.03
5.19
Stability score
19.19
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
43
14
Lead Matches
3
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
1.00
11
Trailing Matches
23
18.2%
Non-loss rate
4.3%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.81
First Half Goals For Mean
0.30
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.19
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.95
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.16
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
22
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.14
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.38
20
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.55
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.10
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
2.00
100.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
5
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.89
Portability PPG Std
0.83
2.00
Portability PPG Range
1.91
35.88
Portability Score
37.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO87.33
PPG0.58
GF0.67
GA-0.84
PPG1.00
PPG0.10
PPG1.20
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate9.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate9.5%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.67
Goals Std0.63
Scored 1+ rate9.3%
Scored 2+ rate25.6%
Scored 3+ rate14.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.62
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.82
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.84
Conceded Std-0.38
Clean-sheet rate9.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.19
Conceded 3+ rate-0.26
Venue Conceded Mean-0.95
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.71
History Matches0
Result entropy0.14
Goal Difference Std0.36
Stability score-14.01
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.53
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate-0.14
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate13.8%
Trailing Win Rate18.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.33
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.06
Portability PPG Range0.09
Portability Score-1.70
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.76
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.45
Current Team ELO87.33
Current Opponent ELO-87.33
Current ELO Difference174.7
Expected score0.25
History Matches0
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance6.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Bochum W

L
SGS Essen W6–0Bochum W24 Oct · away
Pick: Bochum W 48% · missed
W
Bochum W4–0Turbine Potsdam W18 Oct · home
Pick: Bochum W 73% · hit
D
Ingolstadt W3–3Bochum W4 Oct · away
Pick: Bochum W 44% · missed
W
SC Sand W0–3Bochum W30 Aug · away
Pick: SC Sand W 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Carl Zeiss Jena W

L
SC Freiburg W4–0Carl Zeiss Jena W1 Nov · away
Pick: SC Freiburg W 45% · hit
L
Carl Zeiss Jena W0–2Viktoria Berlin W25 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 56% · hit
D
Meppen W2–2Carl Zeiss Jena W17 Oct · away
Pick: Meppen W 73% · missed
L
Carl Zeiss Jena W0–1SC Sand W4 Oct · home
Pick: SC Sand W 52% · hit
W
Carl Zeiss Jena W3–1Turbine Potsdam W30 Aug · home
Pick: Carl Zeiss Jena W 52% · hit

About this match

Bochum W and Carl Zeiss Jena W meet in 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Bochum W win 67.0%, draw 19.0%, Carl Zeiss Jena W win 13.9%. The pick is Bochum W win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.6%. Both teams to score: 52.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.