ScoreProb
2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 11 2026

Viktoria Berlin W vs Hertha Berlin W

Viktoria Berlin W Home · Elo 1,557
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hertha Berlin W Away · Elo 1,512
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Viktoria Berlin W win
Viktoria Berlin W winPick
61.5%
Draw
21.2%
Hertha Berlin W win
17.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.4%
No52.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.4%
Under 2.546.6%

How much we know

Viktoria Berlin W history32 matches
Hertha Berlin W history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.5%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Viktoria Berlin W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Viktoria Berlin W are rated 45 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,557 against 1,512. On rating alone Viktoria Berlin W would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.66 goals a game over 32 matches for Viktoria Berlin W, against 1.80 over 5 for Hertha Berlin W.

  • Defences are close

    Viktoria Berlin W concede 0.91 a game, Hertha Berlin W 1.00.

  • Hertha Berlin W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of Viktoria Berlin W matches, against 60% for Hertha Berlin W. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Viktoria Berlin W
Hertha Berlin W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1557.1
ELO
1512.2
32
ELO · Matches
5
1557.1
Current Team ELO
1512.2
1512.2
Current Opponent ELO
1557.1
44.98
Current ELO Difference
-44.98
0.56
Expected score
0.44
32
History Matches
5
0.09
Residual Mean
0.07
55.77
Overperformance
51.34
0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.80
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
5
2.30
PPG
1.80
1.90
Goals for per game
1.80
0.60
Goals against per game
1.00
70.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.83
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.66
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.71
Overall performance9 signals
90
32
Matches
5
1.78
PPG
1.80
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
28.1%
Draw rate
0.0%
21.9%
Loss rate
40.0%
78.1%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
4
1.59
PPG
1.50
41.2%
Win rate
50.0%
35.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
23.5%
Loss rate
50.0%
70.6%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
41.2%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
17.6%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.96
17
History Matches
4
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.66
Goals for per game
1.80
78.1%
Scoring rate
60.0%
46.9%
BTTS rate
20.0%
1.47
Goals for per game
1.75
76.5%
Scoring rate
50.0%
47.1%
BTTS rate
25.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
32
History Matches
5
1.66
Goals Mean
1.80
1.43
Goals Std
1.83
78.1%
Scored 1+ rate
60.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
60.0%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
1.47
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.91
Goals against per game
1.00
59.4%
Conceding rate
60.0%
0.88
Goals against per game
1.25
58.8%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
32
History Matches
5
0.91
Conceded Mean
1.00
0.91
Conceded Std
1.10
25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
20.0%
6.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
0.88
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
21.9%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
21.9%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
32
History Matches
5
0.94
Result entropy
0.61
1.87
Goal Difference Std
2.71
5.72
Stability score
38.74
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
32
Eligible Matches
5
13
Lead Matches
1
84.6%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
1.00
6
Trailing Matches
2
16.7%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.69
First Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.20
0.41
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.20
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
20
Normal Rest History Matches
2
1.50
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
11
Long Rest History Matches
2
2.18
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
2.00
66.7%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
4
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.13
Portability PPG Std
—
0.27
Portability PPG Range
—
78.79
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
32
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO44.98
PPG-0.02
GF-0.14
GA-0.09
PPG0.00
PPG0.09
PPG0.60
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches27
Clean-sheet rate0.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate16.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.26
History Matches27
Goals Mean-0.14
Goals Std-0.41
Scored 1+ rate18.1%
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate5.0%
Venue Goals Mean-0.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.79
History Matches27
Conceded Mean-0.09
Conceded Std-0.18
Clean-sheet rate0.6%
Conceded 2+ rate5.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-0.37
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.43
History Matches27
Result entropy0.33
Goal Difference Std-0.84
Stability score-33.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.44
Eligible Matches27
Lead Matches12
Lead Win Rate-0.15
Lead Points Retention-0.13
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate16.7%
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches27
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches18
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Long Rest History Matches9
Long Rest Points Per Match0.68
Current Team ELO44.98
Current Opponent ELO-44.98
Current ELO Difference89.95
Expected score0.13
History Matches27
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance4.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Viktoria Berlin W

W
Carl Zeiss Jena W0–2Viktoria Berlin W25 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 56% · hit
W
Viktoria Berlin W1–0Ingolstadt W18 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 50% · hit
W
Borussia Monchengladbach W0–2Viktoria Berlin W4 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 53% · hit
W
FC Koln II W0–2Viktoria Berlin W30 Aug · away
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 72% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hertha Berlin W

D
Hertha Berlin W1–1Andernach W25 Oct · home
Pick: Hertha Berlin W 41% · missed
D
SC Sand W2–2Hertha Berlin W18 Oct · away
Pick: SC Sand W 66% · missed
W
Hertha Berlin W3–1Hoffenheim II W4 Oct · home
Pick: Hertha Berlin W 67% · hit
W
Hertha Berlin W2–1Ingolstadt W30 Aug · home
Pick: Hertha Berlin W 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Viktoria Berlin W and Hertha Berlin W meet in 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Viktoria Berlin W win 61.5%, draw 21.2%, Hertha Berlin W win 17.4%. The pick is Viktoria Berlin W win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.4%. Both teams to score: 47.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.