ScoreProb
1st League - FBiH Bosnia & Herzegovina FBiH - 13 2026

Budućnost Banovići vs Posušje

Budućnost Banovići Home · Elo 1,467
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Posušje Away · Elo 1,457
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Posušje win
Budućnost Banovići win
29.0%
Draw
26.0%
Posušje winPick
45.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.8%
No51.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%

How much we know

Budućnost Banovići history43 matches
Posušje history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Posušje are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,467 against 1,457. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Budućnost Banovići score far more

    1.30 goals a game over 43 matches for Budućnost Banovići, against 0.78 over 63 for Posušje.

  • Defences are close

    Budućnost Banovići concede 1.33 a game, Posušje 1.25.

  • Budućnost Banovići games more often go over 2.5 goals

    53% of Budućnost Banovići matches, against 33% for Posušje. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Budućnost Banovići
Posušje
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1467.1
ELO
1456.5
43
ELO · Matches
63
1467.1
Current Team ELO
1456.5
1456.5
Current Opponent ELO
1467.1
10.58
Current ELO Difference
-10.58
0.52
Expected score
0.48
43
History Matches
63
-0.03
Residual Mean
-0.03
47.82
Overperformance
47.95
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.80
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.30
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.42
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.08
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
63
1.23
PPG
0.95
32.6%
Win rate
22.2%
25.6%
Draw rate
28.6%
41.9%
Loss rate
49.2%
72.1%
Over 1.5 rate
61.9%
53.5%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
30.2%
Over 3.5 rate
14.3%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
30
1.61
PPG
0.63
43.5%
Win rate
13.3%
30.4%
Draw rate
23.3%
26.1%
Loss rate
63.3%
78.3%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
56.5%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
34.8%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
23
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.30
Goals for per game
0.78
67.4%
Scoring rate
54.0%
51.2%
BTTS rate
38.1%
1.65
Goals for per game
0.63
73.9%
Scoring rate
46.7%
52.2%
BTTS rate
36.7%
0.50
Goals for per game
1.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
43
History Matches
63
1.30
Goals Mean
0.78
1.29
Goals Std
0.88
67.4%
Scored 1+ rate
54.0%
37.2%
Scored 2+ rate
19.0%
14.0%
Scored 3+ rate
3.2%
1.65
Venue Goals Mean
0.63
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.33
Goals against per game
1.25
74.4%
Conceding rate
73.0%
1.09
Goals against per game
1.43
65.2%
Conceding rate
80.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
43
History Matches
63
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.25
1.16
Conceded Std
1.10
34.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.9%
16.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.7%
1.09
Venue Conceded Mean
1.43
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
32.6%
Failed-to-score rate
46.0%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
53.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
32.6%
Failed-to-score rate
46.0%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
53.3%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
63
0.98
Result entropy
0.95
1.87
Goal Difference Std
1.50
1.82
Stability score
5.23
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
61
9
Lead Matches
11
55.6%
Lead Win Rate
81.8%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.88
13
Trailing Matches
18
23.1%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
15.4%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.49
First Half Goals For Mean
0.39
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.34
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.79
Rest days
77.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
4
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
22
Normal Rest History Matches
33
1.23
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.64
20
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.15
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.40
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.50
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
4
Competition Season Count
6
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.05
0.31
Portability PPG Range
0.13
76.47
Portability Score
90.14
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO10.58
PPG0.28
GF0.52
GA0.07
PPG-1.50
PPG0.98
PPG-0.40
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-20
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate14.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.27
History Matches-20
Goals Mean0.52
Goals Std0.40
Scored 1+ rate13.5%
Scored 2+ rate18.2%
Scored 3+ rate10.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches-20
Conceded Mean0.07
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate0.00
Conceded 3+ rate3.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.35
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.32
History Matches-20
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std0.37
Stability score-3.41
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.34
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.26
Lead Points Retention-0.21
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate12.0%
Trailing Win Rate15.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.10
Portability PPG Range0.17
Portability Score-13.67
Rest days-1.06
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest History Matches-11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.59
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.25
Current Team ELO10.58
Current Opponent ELO-10.58
Current ELO Difference21.16
Expected score0.03
History Matches-20
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Budućnost Banovići

L
Tomislav2–0Budućnost Banovići31 Oct · away
Pick: Budućnost Banovići 43% · missed
L
Budućnost Banovići1–2Vitez24 Oct · home
Pick: Budućnost Banovići 46% · missed
D
Rudar Kakanj1–1Budućnost Banovići17 Oct · away
Pick: Budućnost Banovići 49% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Posušje

W
Posušje3–1Vitez28 Oct · home
Pick: Posušje 57% · hit
W
Tomislav1–3Posušje24 Oct · away
Pick: Posušje 46% · hit
D
Igman Konjic1–1Posušje29 Aug · away
Pick: Igman Konjic 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Budućnost Banovići and Posušje meet in 1st League - FBiH on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Budućnost Banovići win 29.0%, draw 26.0%, Posušje win 45.0%. The pick is Posušje win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.4%. Both teams to score: 48.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.