ScoreProb
1st League - FBiH Bosnia & Herzegovina FBiH - 13 2026

GOŠK Gabela vs Čapljina

GOŠK Gabela Home · Elo 1,511
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Čapljina Away · Elo 1,492
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: GOŠK Gabela win
GOŠK Gabela winPick
84.7%
Draw
8.4%
Čapljina win
6.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes43.6%
No56.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.580.2%
Under 2.519.8%

How much we know

GOŠK Gabela history49 matches
Čapljina history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (84.7%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why GOŠK Gabela are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,511 against 1,492. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • GOŠK Gabela score more

    1.37 goals a game over 49 matches for GOŠK Gabela, against 1.00 over 2 for Čapljina.

  • GOŠK Gabela concede fewer

    GOŠK Gabela concede 1.39 a game, Čapljina 3.50.

  • Čapljina games more often go over 2.5 goals

    59% of GOŠK Gabela matches, against 100% for Čapljina. The model puts this match at 80% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
GOŠK Gabela
Čapljina
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1510.6
ELO
1491.9
49
ELO · Matches
2
1510.6
Current Team ELO
1491.9
1491.9
Current Opponent ELO
1510.6
18.72
Current ELO Difference
-18.72
0.53
Expected score
0.47
49
History Matches
2
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.20
51.05
Overperformance
48.18
0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.20
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
2.60
PPG
0.50
3.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.00
Goals against per game
3.50
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
2
2.00
PPG
0.50
2.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
3.50
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.50
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
1.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
2
1.20
PPG
0.50
32.7%
Win rate
0.0%
22.4%
Draw rate
50.0%
44.9%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.5%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
59.2%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
24.5%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
1
1.32
PPG
0.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
12.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
48.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
76.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
25
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.37
Goals for per game
1.00
73.5%
Scoring rate
50.0%
57.1%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.44
Goals for per game
0.00
76.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
56.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
3.50
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
49
History Matches
2
1.37
Goals Mean
1.00
1.22
Goals Std
1.00
73.5%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
36.7%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
18.4%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.44
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.39
Goals against per game
3.50
75.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.28
Goals against per game
5.00
72.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
3.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
2
1.39
Conceded Mean
3.50
1.08
Conceded Std
1.50
46.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
12.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
1.28
Venue Conceded Mean
5.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.5%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
28.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
24.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
24.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.5%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
28.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
24.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
24.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
2
0.97
Result entropy
0.63
1.67
Goal Difference Std
2.50
3.48
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
2
12
Lead Matches
0
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.75
Lead Points Retention
—
19
Trailing Matches
1
26.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
10.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.37
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.92
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
28
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.04
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
19
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.53
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
0.50
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.50
3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.50
5
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.40
Portability PPG Std
—
0.98
Portability PPG Range
—
55.61
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO18.72
PPG0.70
GF0.37
GA-2.11
PPG2.50
PPG1.32
PPG2.10
PPG1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches47
Clean-sheet rate24.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches24
Clean-sheet rate28.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.76
History Matches47
Goals Mean0.37
Goals Std0.22
Scored 1+ rate23.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.13
Scored 3+ rate18.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.44
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.17
History Matches47
Conceded Mean-2.11
Conceded Std-0.42
Clean-sheet rate24.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.53
Conceded 3+ rate-0.38
Venue Conceded Mean-3.72
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.75
History Matches47
Result entropy0.33
Goal Difference Std-0.83
Stability score-33.43
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.02
Eligible Matches47
Lead Matches12
Trailing Matches18
Non-loss rate26.3%
Trailing Win Rate10.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches47
First Half Goals For Mean-0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.93
Second Half Goals For Mean0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.18
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.50
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days-0.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches27
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.04
Long Rest History Matches19
Current Team ELO18.72
Current Opponent ELO-18.72
Current ELO Difference37.43
Expected score0.05
History Matches47
Residual Mean0.22
Overperformance2.88
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.44

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

GOŠK Gabela

L
Igman Konjic1–0GOŠK Gabela31 Oct · away
Pick: GOŠK Gabela 48% · missed
W
GOŠK Gabela2–0Bratstvo Gračanica25 Oct · home
Pick: GOŠK Gabela 56% · hit
D
Stupčanica Olovo1–1GOŠK Gabela18 Oct · away
Pick: Stupčanica Olovo 47% · missed
W
TOŠK Tešanj0–1GOŠK Gabela30 Aug · away
Pick: GOŠK Gabela 49% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Čapljina

L
Čapljina1–2Radnik Hadžići31 Oct · home
Pick: Radnik Hadžići 57% · hit
W
Slavija0–1Čapljina28 Oct · away
Pick: Slavija 77% · missed
L
Zvijezda Gradačac4–1Čapljina24 Oct · away
Pick: Zvijezda Gradačac 75% · hit
D
Čapljina1–1TOŠK Tešanj17 Oct · home
Pick: TOŠK Tešanj 47% · missed
W
Čapljina2–1Bratstvo Gračanica29 Aug · home
Pick: Čapljina 39% · hit

About this match

GOŠK Gabela and Čapljina meet in 1st League - FBiH on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: GOŠK Gabela win 84.7%, draw 8.4%, Čapljina win 6.9%. The pick is GOŠK Gabela win. Over 2.5 goals: 80.2%. Both teams to score: 43.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.