ScoreProb
Ligue 2 Algeria Round 9 2026

CA Batna vs Paradou AC

CA Batna Home · Elo 1,598
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Paradou AC Away · Elo 1,435
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: CA Batna win
CA Batna winPick
55.2%
Draw
22.1%
Paradou AC win
22.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.1%
No49.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%

How much we know

CA Batna history47 matches
Paradou AC history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why CA Batna are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • CA Batna are rated 163 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,598 against 1,435. On rating alone CA Batna would be expected to take 72% of the points on offer.

  • CA Batna score more

    1.62 goals a game over 47 matches for CA Batna, against 1.27 over 48 for Paradou AC.

  • CA Batna concede fewer

    CA Batna concede 0.87 a game, Paradou AC 1.58.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    45% of CA Batna matches, against 52% for Paradou AC. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
CA Batna
Paradou AC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1597.8
ELO
1435.1
47
ELO · Matches
48
1597.8
Current Team ELO
1435.1
1435.1
Current Opponent ELO
1597.8
162.7
Current ELO Difference
-162.7
0.72
Expected score
0.28
47
History Matches
48
0.12
Residual Mean
-0.07
58.14
Overperformance
45.31
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.20
2.00
Goals for per game
1.80
0.80
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
0.70
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
0.50
Goals against per game
2.10
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.47
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
0.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.14
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.58
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.45
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
48
1.91
PPG
1.04
55.3%
Win rate
29.2%
25.5%
Draw rate
16.7%
19.1%
Loss rate
54.2%
68.1%
Over 1.5 rate
77.1%
44.7%
Over 2.5 rate
52.1%
23.4%
Over 3.5 rate
29.2%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.46
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
24
2.33
PPG
0.67
70.4%
Win rate
16.7%
22.2%
Draw rate
16.7%
7.4%
Loss rate
66.7%
74.1%
Over 1.5 rate
79.2%
51.9%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
29.6%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.98
27
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.62
Goals for per game
1.27
80.9%
Scoring rate
72.9%
46.8%
BTTS rate
52.1%
2.07
Goals for per game
1.21
96.3%
Scoring rate
75.0%
55.6%
BTTS rate
66.7%
47
History Matches
48
1.62
Goals Mean
1.27
1.44
Goals Std
1.08
80.9%
Scored 1+ rate
72.9%
40.4%
Scored 2+ rate
39.6%
17.0%
Scored 3+ rate
10.4%
2.07
Venue Goals Mean
1.21
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.87
Goals against per game
1.58
55.3%
Conceding rate
72.9%
0.81
Goals against per game
1.92
59.3%
Conceding rate
91.7%
47
History Matches
48
0.87
Conceded Mean
1.58
0.96
Conceded Std
1.27
25.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.2%
4.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.9%
0.81
Venue Conceded Mean
1.92
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
44.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.1%
19.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.1%
40.7%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
3.7%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
44.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.1%
19.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.1%
40.7%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
3.7%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
44.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
48
0.90
Result entropy
0.90
1.76
Goal Difference Std
1.46
9.65
Stability score
9.88
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
48
18
Lead Matches
15
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.69
9
Trailing Matches
21
11.1%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.70
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.40
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
173.9
Rest days
153.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
28
Normal Rest History Matches
24
2.07
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.92
18
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.61
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.17
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.18
Portability PPG Std
0.64
0.43
Portability PPG Range
1.53
73.85
Portability Score
43.79
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO162.7
PPG0.87
GF0.35
GA-0.71
PPG1.67
PPG0.40
PPG1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate17.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate32.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.35
Goals Std0.36
Scored 1+ rate7.9%
Scored 2+ rate0.8%
Scored 3+ rate6.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.87
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.19
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean-0.71
Conceded Std-0.31
Clean-sheet rate17.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.29
Conceded 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.46
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.30
Stability score-0.23
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.13
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate16.7%
Lead Points Retention0.18
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.41
Second Half Goals For Mean0.31
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.30
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.46
Portability PPG Range-1.10
Portability Score30.06
Rest days20.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.15
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.44
Current Team ELO162.7
Current Opponent ELO-162.7
Current ELO Difference325.3
Expected score0.44
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.18
Overperformance12.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.27

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

CA Batna

W
CA Batna2–0US Chaouia24 Oct · home
Pick: CA Batna 43% · hit
W
CA Batna1–0Khroub13 Oct · home
Pick: CA Batna 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Paradou AC

W
Paradou AC5–2MO Constantine30 Oct · home
Pick: Paradou AC 47% · hit
L
MO Bejaia2–1Paradou AC24 Oct · away
Pick: MO Bejaia 41% · hit
L
US Chaouia1–0Paradou AC13 Oct · away
Pick: US Chaouia 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

CA Batna and Paradou AC meet in Ligue 2 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: CA Batna win 55.2%, draw 22.1%, Paradou AC win 22.7%. The pick is CA Batna win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.6%. Both teams to score: 50.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.