CD Samper W vs Valencia W
Match result probability Model pick: Valencia W win
CD Samper W win
34.9%
Draw
27.4%
Valencia W winPick
37.7%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes53.2%
No46.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.552.6%
Under 2.547.4%
How much we know
CD Samper W history0 matches
Valencia W history14 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead30 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 13 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 19:23 UTC
- Kickoff5 Nov · 19:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.7%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Valencia W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,500 against 1,499. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Valencia W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1498.7
0
ELO · Matches
14
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1498.7
1498.7
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
1.30
Current ELO Difference
-1.30
0.50
Expected score
0.50
0
History Matches
14
—
Residual Mean
-0.02
—
Overperformance
49.28
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
1.60
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.50
—
Goals for per game
1.50
—
Goals against per game
1.40
—
Win rate
40.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.92
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
14
—
PPG
1.21
—
Win rate
28.6%
—
Draw rate
35.7%
—
Loss rate
35.7%
—
Over 1.5 rate
92.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
8
—
PPG
1.00
—
Win rate
25.0%
—
Draw rate
25.0%
—
Loss rate
50.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
—
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
0
History Matches
8
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.36
—
Scoring rate
92.9%
—
BTTS rate
71.4%
—
Goals for per game
1.00
—
Scoring rate
87.5%
—
BTTS rate
62.5%
0
History Matches
14
—
Goals Mean
1.36
—
Goals Std
0.89
—
Scored 1+ rate
92.9%
—
Scored 2+ rate
28.6%
—
Scored 3+ rate
7.1%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.50
—
Conceding rate
78.6%
—
Goals against per game
1.75
—
Conceding rate
75.0%
0
History Matches
14
—
Conceded Mean
1.50
—
Conceded Std
1.18
—
Conceded 2+ rate
42.9%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
21.4%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.75
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
—
Failed-to-score rate
7.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
—
Failed-to-score rate
7.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
14
—
Result entropy
1.00
—
Goal Difference Std
1.73
—
Stability score
0.48
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
14
0
Lead Matches
6
—
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.67
0
Trailing Matches
5
—
Non-loss rate
40.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
14
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
536.4
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
6
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.17
0
Long Rest History Matches
7
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.29
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
14
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
History Matches-8
History Matches-14
History Matches-14
History Matches-14
Eligible Matches-14
Lead Matches-6
Trailing Matches-5
Halftime Coverage Matches-14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest History Matches-7
Current Team ELO1.30
Current Opponent ELO-1.30
Current ELO Difference2.59
Expected score0.00
History Matches-14
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
CD Samper W
No earlier results with our pick yet
Valencia W
W
Valencia W2–1Eibar W31 Oct · home
Pick: Valencia W 41% · hit L
Atletico Madrid W4–0Valencia W23 Oct · away
Pick: Atletico Madrid W 69% · hit L
Athletic Club W1–0Valencia W17 Oct · away
Pick: Athletic Club W 53% · hit L
Valencia W0–1Real Sociedad W4 Oct · home
Pick: Real Sociedad W 47% · hit L
Deportivo Alavés W2–0Valencia W30 Aug · away
Pick: Valencia W 38% · missed About this match
CD Samper W and Valencia W were due to play in Copa de la Reina on Thursday 5 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.