Sporting Huelva W vs FC Levante Badalona
Match result probability Model pick: Sporting Huelva W win
Sporting Huelva W winPick
37.3%
Draw
31.0%
FC Levante Badalona win
31.7%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes50.8%
No49.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.550.4%
Under 2.549.6%
How much we know
Sporting Huelva W history0 matches
FC Levante Badalona history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead30 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 13 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 19:23 UTC
- Kickoff5 Nov · 19:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Sporting Huelva W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Sporting Huelva W are rated 25 Elo points higher
Elo 1,500 against 1,475. On rating alone Sporting Huelva W would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC Levante Badalona@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1474.5
0
ELO · Matches
44
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1474.5
1474.5
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
25.46
Current ELO Difference
-25.46
0.54
Expected score
0.46
0
History Matches
44
—
Residual Mean
-0.03
—
Overperformance
48.13
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
0.80
—
Goals for per game
0.80
—
Goals against per game
2.00
—
Win rate
20.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.30
—
Goals for per game
1.50
—
Goals against per game
2.50
—
Win rate
40.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.63
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.80
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.86
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
44
—
PPG
1.11
—
Win rate
27.3%
—
Draw rate
29.5%
—
Loss rate
43.2%
—
Over 1.5 rate
65.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
36.4%
—
Over 3.5 rate
27.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.93
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
22
—
PPG
1.23
—
Win rate
31.8%
—
Draw rate
27.3%
—
Loss rate
40.9%
—
Over 1.5 rate
68.2%
—
Over 2.5 rate
40.9%
—
Over 3.5 rate
31.8%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.19
0
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
0.84
—
Scoring rate
50.0%
—
BTTS rate
36.4%
—
Goals for per game
1.00
—
Scoring rate
54.5%
—
BTTS rate
36.4%
0
History Matches
44
—
Goals Mean
0.84
—
Goals Std
1.09
—
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
—
Scored 2+ rate
22.7%
—
Scored 3+ rate
6.8%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.57
—
Conceding rate
70.5%
—
Goals against per game
1.59
—
Conceding rate
68.2%
0
History Matches
44
—
Conceded Mean
1.57
—
Conceded Std
1.54
—
Conceded 2+ rate
43.2%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
20.5%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.59
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
—
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
44
—
Result entropy
0.98
—
Goal Difference Std
1.93
—
Stability score
1.95
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
44
0
Lead Matches
11
—
Lead Win Rate
81.8%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.88
0
Trailing Matches
15
—
Non-loss rate
13.3%
—
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.43
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.41
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
158.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
17
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
0
Long Rest History Matches
25
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.04
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.29
—
Portability PPG Range
0.59
—
Portability Score
63.06
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO25.46
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-44
History Matches-22
History Matches-44
History Matches-44
History Matches-44
Eligible Matches-44
Lead Matches-11
Trailing Matches-15
Halftime Coverage Matches-44
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-17
Long Rest History Matches-25
Current Team ELO25.46
Current Opponent ELO-25.46
Current ELO Difference50.92
Expected score0.07
History Matches-44
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Sporting Huelva W
No earlier results with our pick yet
FC Levante Badalona
L
FC Levante Badalona0–4Barcelona W1 Nov · home
Pick: Barcelona W 60% · hit L
Edf Logrono W1–0FC Levante Badalona24 Oct · away
Pick: FC Levante Badalona 48% · missed L
FC Levante Badalona0–4Granad. Tenerife W17 Oct · home
Pick: Granad. Tenerife W 46% · hit L
Athletic Club W3–1FC Levante Badalona30 Aug · away
Pick: Athletic Club W 41% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Sporting Huelva W and FC Levante Badalona were due to play in Copa de la Reina on Thursday 5 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.