ScoreProb
Botola Pro Morocco Round 7 2026

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara

CR Khemis Zemamra Home · Elo 1,474
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Widad Témara Away · Elo 1,552
Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri, Zemamra Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: CR Khemis Zemamra win
CR Khemis Zemamra winPick
44.2%
Draw
31.3%
Widad Témara win
24.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.542.4%
Under 2.557.6%

How much we know

CR Khemis Zemamra history43 matches
Widad Témara history27 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why CR Khemis Zemamra are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Widad Témara are rated 78 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,552 against 1,474. On rating alone Widad Témara would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Widad Témara score more

    0.88 goals a game over 43 matches for CR Khemis Zemamra, against 1.19 over 27 for Widad Témara.

  • Widad Témara concede fewer

    CR Khemis Zemamra concede 1.33 a game, Widad Témara 0.89.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    44% of CR Khemis Zemamra matches, against 37% for Widad Témara. The model puts this match at 42% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
CR Khemis Zemamra
Widad Témara
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1474.2
ELO
1551.8
43
ELO · Matches
27
1474.2
Current Team ELO
1551.8
1551.8
Current Opponent ELO
1474.2
-77.61
Current ELO Difference
77.61
0.39
Expected score
0.61
43
History Matches
27
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.10
47.70
Overperformance
55.57
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.60
0.60
Goals for per game
1.00
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.70
1.00
Goals for per game
1.30
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.63
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
0.75
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.64
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
27
1.02
PPG
1.78
25.6%
Win rate
44.4%
25.6%
Draw rate
44.4%
48.8%
Loss rate
11.1%
69.8%
Over 1.5 rate
63.0%
44.2%
Over 2.5 rate
37.0%
9.3%
Over 3.5 rate
14.8%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.76
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
13
1.15
PPG
1.77
25.0%
Win rate
38.5%
40.0%
Draw rate
61.5%
35.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
65.0%
Over 1.5 rate
69.2%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
38.5%
5.0%
Over 3.5 rate
15.4%
1.07
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.49
20
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.88
Goals for per game
1.19
60.5%
Scoring rate
77.8%
46.5%
BTTS rate
63.0%
1.05
Goals for per game
1.23
75.0%
Scoring rate
76.9%
55.0%
BTTS rate
69.2%
43
History Matches
27
0.88
Goals Mean
1.19
0.89
Goals Std
0.86
60.5%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
20.9%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
7.0%
Scored 3+ rate
7.4%
1.05
Venue Goals Mean
1.23
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.33
Goals against per game
0.89
74.4%
Conceding rate
70.4%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.85
60.0%
Conceding rate
69.2%
43
History Matches
27
1.33
Conceded Mean
0.89
1.07
Conceded Std
0.74
39.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
14.8%
16.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.7%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
0.85
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
29.6%
39.5%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
29.6%
39.5%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
29.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
27
0.95
Result entropy
0.88
1.40
Goal Difference Std
0.76
4.65
Stability score
12.17
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
26
8
Lead Matches
8
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.92
17
Trailing Matches
2
23.5%
Non-loss rate
100.0%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
0.30
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.19
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
126.0
Rest days
126.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.20
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
13
1.14
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.62
15
Long Rest History Matches
13
0.87
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.10
Portability PPG Std
—
0.19
Portability PPG Range
—
83.97
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
27
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-77.61
PPG-0.75
GF-0.30
GA0.44
PPG-0.62
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate17.3%
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate9.2%
Failed-to-score rate1.9%
History Matches16
Goals Mean-0.30
Goals Std0.03
Scored 1+ rate-0.17
Scored 2+ rate-0.12
Scored 3+ rate0.00
Venue Goals Mean-0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.22
History Matches16
Conceded Mean0.44
Conceded Std0.34
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate24.7%
Conceded 3+ rate12.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.35
History Matches16
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.64
Stability score-7.51
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.11
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches15
Non-loss rate-0.76
Trailing Win Rate5.9%
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean-0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean0.37
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.04
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.48
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.13
Current Team ELO-77.61
Current Opponent ELO77.61
Current ELO Difference-155.2
Expected score-0.22
History Matches16
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-7.86
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.07

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

CR Khemis Zemamra

L
Ittihad Tanger1–0CR Khemis Zemamra1 Nov · away
Pick: Draw 37% · missed
L
CR Khemis Zemamra0–1FUS Rabat25 Oct · home
Pick: FUS Rabat 36% · hit
D
Renaissance Berkane2–2CR Khemis Zemamra13 Oct · away
Pick: Renaissance Berkane 61% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Widad Témara

W
Widad Témara1–0Maghreb Fès1 Nov · home
Pick: Maghreb Fès 38% · missed
W
Moghreb Tetouan0–3Widad Témara24 Oct · away
Pick: Moghreb Tetouan 50% · missed
L
Widad Témara0–1Kawkab Marrakech18 Oct · home
Pick: Kawkab Marrakech 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara meet in Botola Pro on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri, Zemamra. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: CR Khemis Zemamra win 44.2%, draw 31.3%, Widad Témara win 24.5%. The pick is CR Khemis Zemamra win. Over 2.5 goals: 42.4%. Both teams to score: 46.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.