Cukaricki U19 vs Partizan U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Partizan U19 win
Cukaricki U19 winPick
72.1%
Draw
13.3%
Partizan U19 win Result
14.7%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickCukaricki U19 win · 72.1%
What happenedPartizan U19 win · we gave it 14.7%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 70.7%
What happenedUnder · 1 goal
Missed Both teams to score
Our pickNo · 52.2%
What happenedNo · 0–1
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Partizan U19 win. In our numbers it ranked second of the three.
15%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 6.8
on average A pick at 72% is expected to miss about 3 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes47.8%
No52.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.570.7%
Under 2.529.3%
How much we know
Cukaricki U19 history2 matches
Partizan U19 history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full time: 0–1One of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (72.1%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.
Why Cukaricki U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,500 against 1,492. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Cukaricki U19 score far more
2.00 goals a game over 2 matches for Cukaricki U19, against 0.00 over 1 for Partizan U19.
-
Cukaricki U19 concede fewer
Cukaricki U19 concede 2.00 a game, Partizan U19 4.00.
-
Partizan U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals
50% of Cukaricki U19 matches, against 100% for Partizan U19. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Partizan U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1499.6
ELO
1491.8
2
ELO · Matches
1
1499.6
Current Team ELO
1491.8
1491.8
Current Opponent ELO
1499.6
7.79
Current ELO Difference
-7.79
0.51
Expected score
0.49
2
History Matches
1
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.50
49.92
Overperformance
47.62
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.50
Recent form16 signals 160
2
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
2.00
Goals against per game
4.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
2.00
Goals against per game
4.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.00
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
4.00
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals 90
2
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
2
History Matches
1
2.00
Goals Mean
0.00
1.00
Goals Std
—
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
0.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2
History Matches
1
2.00
Conceded Mean
4.00
1.00
Conceded Std
—
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
100.0%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
4.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
2
History Matches
1
0.00
Result entropy
0.00
0.00
Goal Difference Std
—
100.0
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points Retention
2
Eligible Matches
1
0
Lead Matches
0
0
Trailing Matches
1
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
3.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
73.94
Rest days
75.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
1
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
Current Competition Matches
1
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-4.00
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
2
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO7.79
PPG1.00
GF2.00
GA-2.00
PPG1.00
PPG1.00
PPG1.00
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-1.00
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-1.00
History Matches1
Goals Mean2.00
Scored 1+ rate100.0%
Scored 2+ rate50.0%
Scored 3+ rate50.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.00
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-2.00
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.50
Conceded 3+ rate-0.50
Venue Conceded Mean-3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.00
History Matches1
Result entropy0.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches-1
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean-2.00
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-1.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches1
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO7.79
Current Opponent ELO-7.79
Current ELO Difference15.58
Expected score0.02
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.49
Overperformance2.30
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.49
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Cukaricki U19
L
Cukaricki U191–2IMT Novi Beograd U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Cukaricki U19 41% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Partizan U19
L
Sp. Subotica U193–2Partizan U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Sp. Subotica U19 75% · hit L
Partizan U191–2Vojvodina U194 Oct · home
Pick: Vojvodina U19 57% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Cukaricki U19 and Partizan U19 finished 0–1 in U19 league on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Cukaricki U19 win 72.1%, draw 13.3%, Partizan U19 win 14.7%. One of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.