ScoreProb
Professional League Oman Round 7 2026

Dhofar vs Saham

Dhofar Home · Elo 1,453
Thu 5 Nov
UTC
Not started
Saham Away · Elo 1,448
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 30 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Saham win
Dhofar win
37.3%
Draw
24.5%
Saham winPick
38.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.3%
No49.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.8%
Under 2.548.2%

How much we know

Dhofar history36 matches
Saham history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    30 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 13 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 19:23 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    5 Nov · 15:20 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Saham are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,453 against 1,448. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Saham score more

    0.89 goals a game over 36 matches for Dhofar, against 1.14 over 43 for Saham.

  • Dhofar concede fewer

    Dhofar concede 1.22 a game, Saham 1.72.

  • Saham games more often go over 2.5 goals

    39% of Dhofar matches, against 56% for Saham. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dhofar
Saham
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1452.9
ELO
1447.6
36
ELO · Matches
43
1452.9
Current Team ELO
1447.6
1447.6
Current Opponent ELO
1452.9
5.28
Current ELO Difference
-5.28
0.51
Expected score
0.49
36
History Matches
43
-0.07
Residual Mean
-0.06
45.26
Overperformance
45.70
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.14
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
0.60
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.70
0.90
Goals for per game
0.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.60
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.80
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.63
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.22
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.17
Overall performance9 signals
90
36
Matches
43
1.00
PPG
1.14
25.0%
Win rate
30.2%
25.0%
Draw rate
23.3%
50.0%
Loss rate
46.5%
63.9%
Over 1.5 rate
69.8%
38.9%
Over 2.5 rate
55.8%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
39.5%
1.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
Venue performance10 signals
100
16
Matches
22
1.31
PPG
1.23
37.5%
Win rate
31.8%
18.8%
Draw rate
27.3%
43.8%
Loss rate
40.9%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
59.1%
43.8%
Over 2.5 rate
59.1%
6.3%
Over 3.5 rate
40.9%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
16
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.89
Goals for per game
1.14
55.6%
Scoring rate
65.1%
44.4%
BTTS rate
48.8%
1.13
Goals for per game
1.18
68.8%
Scoring rate
68.2%
50.0%
BTTS rate
54.5%
36
History Matches
43
0.89
Goals Mean
1.14
0.99
Goals Std
1.00
55.6%
Scored 1+ rate
65.1%
22.2%
Scored 2+ rate
39.5%
11.1%
Scored 3+ rate
9.3%
1.13
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.22
Goals against per game
1.72
77.8%
Conceding rate
76.7%
1.13
Goals against per game
1.73
75.0%
Conceding rate
72.7%
36
History Matches
43
1.22
Conceded Mean
1.72
0.92
Conceded Std
1.35
36.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
58.1%
5.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.9%
1.13
Venue Conceded Mean
1.73
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
44.4%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
44.4%
Failed-to-score rate
34.9%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
31.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
36
History Matches
43
0.95
Result entropy
0.96
1.39
Goal Difference Std
1.59
5.36
Stability score
3.80
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
36
Eligible Matches
43
7
Lead Matches
10
42.9%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.52
Lead Points Retention
0.70
10
Trailing Matches
15
20.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
36
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.36
First Half Goals For Mean
0.44
0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
0.53
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
166.0
Rest days
166.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
17
Normal Rest History Matches
19
0.71
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.95
18
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.58
Portability PPG Std
0.28
1.42
Portability PPG Range
0.67
46.37
Portability Score
64.40
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
36
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO5.28
PPG-0.14
GF-0.25
GA-0.50
PPG0.09
PPG0.20
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate9.6%
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-7
Goals Mean-0.25
Goals Std-0.01
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate1.8%
Venue Goals Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.03
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean-0.50
Conceded Std-0.44
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.39
History Matches-7
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score1.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.05
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.18
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate6.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.30
Portability PPG Range0.75
Portability Score-18.03
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.24
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.12
Current Team ELO5.28
Current Opponent ELO-5.28
Current ELO Difference10.56
Expected score0.02
History Matches-7
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dhofar

D
Dhofar1–1Fanja24 Oct · home
Pick: Dhofar 57% · missed
W
Ibri2–3Dhofar18 Oct · away
Pick: Dhofar 35% · hit
L
Oman Club2–0Dhofar31 Aug · away
Pick: Oman Club 46% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Saham

L
Saham0–1Al-Nahda23 Oct · home
Pick: Al-Nahda 46% · hit
L
Fanja3–1Saham17 Oct · away
Pick: Saham 38% · missed
L
Smail1–0Saham31 Aug · away
Pick: Saham 46% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dhofar and Saham meet in Professional League on Thursday 5 November 2026, kickoff 15:20 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 30 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Dhofar win 37.3%, draw 24.5%, Saham win 38.3%. The pick is Saham win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.8%. Both teams to score: 50.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.