ScoreProb
League Jordan Round 8 2026

Doqarah vs Al Arabi

Doqarah Home · Elo 1,491
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Arabi Away · Elo 1,498
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Doqarah win
Doqarah winPick
52.8%
Draw
22.9%
Al Arabi win
24.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes44.5%
No55.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%

How much we know

Doqarah history1 match
Al Arabi history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Doqarah are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,491 against 1,498. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Al Arabi score far more

    0.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Doqarah, against 2.00 over 1 for Al Arabi.

  • Doqarah concede fewer

    Doqarah concede 1.00 a game, Al Arabi 2.00.

  • Al Arabi games more often go over 2.5 goals

    0% of Doqarah matches, against 100% for Al Arabi. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 20 Oct 2025 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Doqarah
Al Arabi@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1491.4
ELO
1498.2
1
ELO · Matches
1
1491.4
Current Team ELO
1498.2
1498.2
Current Opponent ELO
1491.4
-6.75
Current ELO Difference
6.75
0.49
Expected score
0.51
1
History Matches
1
-0.52
Residual Mean
0.00
47.51
Overperformance
50.00
-0.52
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Recent 10 Goals StdRecent 10 Conceded StdRecent 10 Goal Difference Std
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
Venue performance10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
0
0
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals StdVenue Goals Mean
0.00
Goals for per game
2.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
0.00
Goals Mean
2.00
0.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rateGoals against per gameConceding rateConceded StdVenue Conceded Mean
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
1.00
Conceded Mean
2.00
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal Difference Std
1
History Matches
1
0.00
Result entropy
0.00
100.0
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points Retention
1
Eligible Matches
1
0
Lead Matches
0
1
Trailing Matches
1
0.0%
Non-loss rate
100.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
2.00
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
384.0
Rest days
383.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals StdVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-6.75
PPG-1.00
GF-2.00
GA-1.00
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate100.0%
History Matches0
History Matches0
Goals Mean-2.00
Scored 1+ rate-1.00
Scored 2+ rate-1.00
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Recent 10 Goals Mean-2.00
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-1.00
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-1.00
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-1.00
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-2.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.00
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO-6.75
Current Opponent ELO6.75
Current ELO Difference-13.49
Expected score-0.02
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.52
Overperformance-2.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.52

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Doqarah

L
Al Hussein1–0Doqarah22 Oct · away
Pick: Al Hussein 64% · hit
L
Doqarah1–5Al Jazeera16 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Arabi

W
Al Wihdat0–1Al Arabi30 Oct · away
Pick: Al Wihdat 75% · missed
L
Al Arabi0–2Al Buqa'a24 Oct · home
Pick: Al Buqa'a 42% · hit
W
Al Arabi1–0Shabab Al Ordon15 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Doqarah and Al Arabi meet in League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Doqarah win 52.8%, draw 22.9%, Al Arabi win 24.3%. The pick is Doqarah win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.0%. Both teams to score: 44.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.