ScoreProb
Super Liga Slovakia Round 14 2026

Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice

Dunajska Streda Home · Elo 1,632
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
FK Košice Away · Elo 1,580
Venue to be confirmed Referee: M. Choren Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dunajska Streda win
Dunajska Streda winPick
55.1%
Draw
22.1%
FK Košice win
22.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.2%
No43.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%

How much we know

Dunajska Streda history77 matches
FK Košice history76 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.1%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Dunajska Streda are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Dunajska Streda are rated 52 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,632 against 1,580. On rating alone Dunajska Streda would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.88 goals a game over 77 matches for Dunajska Streda, against 1.97 over 76 for FK Košice.

  • Dunajska Streda concede fewer

    Dunajska Streda concede 1.05 a game, FK Košice 1.63.

  • FK Košice games more often go over 2.5 goals

    57% of Dunajska Streda matches, against 68% for FK Košice. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dunajska Streda
FK Košice
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1632.1
ELO
1579.9
77
ELO · Matches
76
1632.1
Current Team ELO
1579.9
1579.9
Current Opponent ELO
1632.1
52.29
Current ELO Difference
-52.29
0.57
Expected score
0.43
77
History Matches
76
0.09
Residual Mean
0.04
56.89
Overperformance
53.04
0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.60
4.80
Goals for per game
3.40
1.80
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
1.60
3.30
Goals for per game
2.60
1.10
Goals against per game
2.30
70.0%
Win rate
40.0%
3.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
3.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.36
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
1.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.95
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
4.53
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.37
Overall performance9 signals
90
77
Matches
76
1.84
PPG
1.45
51.9%
Win rate
40.8%
28.6%
Draw rate
22.4%
19.5%
Loss rate
36.8%
83.1%
Over 1.5 rate
86.8%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
29.9%
Over 3.5 rate
52.6%
2.32
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
40
Matches
44
2.15
PPG
1.32
65.0%
Win rate
36.4%
20.0%
Draw rate
22.7%
15.0%
Loss rate
40.9%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
81.8%
65.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.6%
32.5%
Over 3.5 rate
47.7%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
40
History Matches
44
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.88
Goals for per game
1.97
84.4%
Scoring rate
85.5%
53.2%
BTTS rate
68.4%
2.05
Goals for per game
1.80
87.5%
Scoring rate
81.8%
57.5%
BTTS rate
65.9%
2.75
Goals for per game
3.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
77
History Matches
76
1.88
Goals Mean
1.97
1.77
Goals Std
1.58
84.4%
Scored 1+ rate
85.5%
51.9%
Scored 2+ rate
56.6%
29.9%
Scored 3+ rate
26.3%
2.05
Venue Goals Mean
1.80
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.05
Goals against per game
1.63
62.3%
Conceding rate
80.3%
0.98
Goals against per game
1.61
65.0%
Conceding rate
79.5%
0.25
Goals against per game
2.75
25.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
77
History Matches
76
1.05
Conceded Mean
1.63
1.14
Conceded Std
1.28
27.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
10.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.7%
0.98
Venue Conceded Mean
1.61
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
37.7%
Clean-sheet rate
19.7%
15.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.5%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
75.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
37.7%
Clean-sheet rate
19.7%
15.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.5%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
37.7%
Clean-sheet rate
19.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
77
History Matches
76
0.93
Result entropy
0.97
2.32
Goal Difference Std
2.17
7.45
Stability score
2.73
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
76
Eligible Matches
76
33
Lead Matches
27
87.9%
Lead Win Rate
81.5%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.85
13
Trailing Matches
27
38.5%
Non-loss rate
25.9%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
76
Halftime Coverage Matches
76
0.93
First Half Goals For Mean
0.97
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
0.95
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.62
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
76.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
8
2.17
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.38
47
Normal Rest History Matches
41
1.94
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.39
23
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.61
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.58
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.50
PPG
1.25
75.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.09
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.50
Current Competition PPG
1.25
2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.25
8
Competition Season Count
9
7
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.49
Portability PPG Std
0.49
1.50
Portability PPG Range
1.63
50.31
Portability Score
50.37
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
77
Clean History Matches
76
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO52.29
PPG0.40
GF-0.09
GA-0.58
PPG1.25
PPG0.83
PPG0.40
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate17.9%
Failed-to-score rate1.1%
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate14.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std0.18
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate3.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std2.14
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.58
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate17.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.23
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.64
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.08
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std0.15
Stability score4.72
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.17
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate6.4%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches-14
Non-loss rate12.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.34
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.25
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.00
Portability PPG Range-0.13
Portability Score-0.05
Rest days0.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.79
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.55
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.03
Current Team ELO52.29
Current Opponent ELO-52.29
Current ELO Difference104.6
Expected score0.15
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.86
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dunajska Streda

W
Dukla Banská Bystrica0–2Dunajska Streda1 Nov · away
Pick: Dunajska Streda 65% · hit
W
FK Košice0–1Dunajska Streda28 Oct · away
Pick: Dunajska Streda 50% · hit
W
Dunajska Streda5–0Ružomberok24 Oct · home
Pick: Dunajska Streda 72% · hit
W
Žilina2–3Dunajska Streda18 Oct · away
Pick: Dunajska Streda 53% · hit
W
Skalica1–6Dunajska Streda30 Aug · away
Pick: Dunajska Streda 47% · hit

FK Košice

W
AS Trencin0–5FK Košice31 Oct · away
Pick: FK Košice 47% · hit
L
FK Košice0–1Dunajska Streda28 Oct · home
Pick: Dunajska Streda 50% · hit
D
FK Košice2–2Žilina25 Oct · home
Pick: FK Košice 41% · missed
D
Zemplín Michalovce1–1FK Košice18 Oct · away
Pick: FK Košice 48% · missed
W
Považská Bystrica0–2FK Košice14 Oct · away
Pick: FK Košice 49% · hit

About this match

Dunajska Streda and FK Košice meet in Super Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Dunajska Streda win 55.1%, draw 22.1%, FK Košice win 22.8%. The pick is Dunajska Streda win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.2%. Both teams to score: 56.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.