ScoreProb
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Germany NOFV- Sud - 11 2026

Einheit Wernigerode vs Empor Glauchau

Einheit Wernigerode Home · Elo 1,451
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Empor Glauchau Away · Elo 1,465
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Einheit Wernigerode win
Einheit Wernigerode winPick
52.7%
Draw
20.6%
Empor Glauchau win
26.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.9%
No37.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.571.9%
Under 2.528.1%

How much we know

Einheit Wernigerode history46 matches
Empor Glauchau history32 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Einheit Wernigerode are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,451 against 1,465. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.59 goals a game over 46 matches for Einheit Wernigerode, against 1.44 over 32 for Empor Glauchau.

  • Empor Glauchau concede fewer

    Einheit Wernigerode concede 2.02 a game, Empor Glauchau 1.78.

  • Einheit Wernigerode games more often go over 2.5 goals

    78% of Einheit Wernigerode matches, against 63% for Empor Glauchau. The model puts this match at 72% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Einheit Wernigerode
Empor Glauchau
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1451.3
ELO
1465.0
46
ELO · Matches
32
1451.3
Current Team ELO
1465.0
1465.0
Current Opponent ELO
1451.3
-13.63
Current ELO Difference
13.63
0.48
Expected score
0.52
46
History Matches
32
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.05
46.62
Overperformance
46.65
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.80
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
2.40
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.50
2.20
Goals against per game
1.60
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.81
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
32
1.22
PPG
1.19
34.8%
Win rate
31.3%
17.4%
Draw rate
25.0%
47.8%
Loss rate
43.8%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
78.3%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
45.7%
Over 3.5 rate
43.8%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
16
1.50
PPG
1.25
41.7%
Win rate
31.3%
25.0%
Draw rate
31.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
37.5%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
41.7%
Over 3.5 rate
56.3%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
24
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.59
Goals for per game
1.44
80.4%
Scoring rate
78.1%
73.9%
BTTS rate
62.5%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.56
87.5%
Scoring rate
81.3%
79.2%
BTTS rate
68.8%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
46
History Matches
32
1.59
Goals Mean
1.44
1.17
Goals Std
1.20
80.4%
Scored 1+ rate
78.1%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.5%
21.7%
Scored 3+ rate
18.8%
1.67
Venue Goals Mean
1.56
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.02
Goals against per game
1.78
93.5%
Conceding rate
81.3%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.63
91.7%
Conceding rate
87.5%
2.00
Goals against per game
3.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
46
History Matches
32
2.02
Conceded Mean
1.78
1.19
Conceded Std
1.19
60.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
59.4%
32.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
31.3%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.63
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
6.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
6.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
6.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
32
0.93
Result entropy
0.98
1.94
Goal Difference Std
1.76
6.76
Stability score
2.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
32
15
Lead Matches
8
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.63
17
Trailing Matches
10
17.6%
Non-loss rate
10.0%
11.8%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
32
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.56
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
0.87
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
1.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
85.02
Rest days
84.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
23
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.30
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
21
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.44
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
0.00
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.50
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.15
Portability PPG Std
—
0.30
Portability PPG Range
—
77.13
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
32
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-13.63
PPG0.03
GF0.15
GA0.24
PPG1.50
PPG0.25
PPG0.00
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches14
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches14
Goals Mean0.15
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate2.3%
Scored 2+ rate12.5%
Scored 3+ rate3.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.26
History Matches14
Conceded Mean0.24
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate1.5%
Conceded 3+ rate1.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.04
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches14
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std0.18
Stability score4.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.13
Eligible Matches13
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate30.0%
Lead Points Retention0.24
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate7.6%
Trailing Win Rate1.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches13
First Half Goals For Mean0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.30
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.34
Current Team ELO-13.63
Current Opponent ELO13.63
Current ELO Difference-27.27
Expected score-0.04
History Matches14
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Einheit Wernigerode

L
Einheit Wernigerode1–4FC Frankfurt31 Oct · home
Pick: Einheit Wernigerode 68% · missed
L
Auerbach4–1Einheit Wernigerode24 Oct · away
Pick: Auerbach 54% · hit
D
Einheit Wernigerode1–1Einheit Rudolstadt17 Oct · home
Pick: Einheit Wernigerode 46% · missed
D
Plauen2–2Einheit Wernigerode29 Aug · away
Pick: Plauen 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Empor Glauchau

L
Empor Glauchau0–2Auerbach1 Nov · home
Pick: Auerbach 52% · hit
W
Einheit Rudolstadt0–3Empor Glauchau25 Oct · away
Pick: Einheit Rudolstadt 57% · missed
W
Empor Glauchau3–1Eilenburg18 Oct · home
Pick: Eilenburg 51% · missed
L
VfL Halle2–1Empor Glauchau30 Aug · away
Pick: VfL Halle 61% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Einheit Wernigerode and Empor Glauchau meet in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Einheit Wernigerode win 52.7%, draw 20.6%, Empor Glauchau win 26.7%. The pick is Einheit Wernigerode win. Over 2.5 goals: 71.9%. Both teams to score: 62.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.