ScoreProb
2. Bundesliga Germany Round 11 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus

Eintracht Braunschweig Home · Elo 1,465
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Energie Cottbus Away · Elo 1,549
Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eintracht Braunschweig win
Eintracht Braunschweig winPick
51.0%
Draw
19.0%
Energie Cottbus win
30.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.9%
No42.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%

How much we know

Eintracht Braunschweig history62 matches
Energie Cottbus history70 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 17:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Eintracht Braunschweig are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Energie Cottbus are rated 84 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,549 against 1,465. On rating alone Energie Cottbus would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Energie Cottbus score more

    1.31 goals a game over 62 matches for Eintracht Braunschweig, against 1.60 over 70 for Energie Cottbus.

  • Defences are close

    Eintracht Braunschweig concede 1.61 a game, Energie Cottbus 1.61.

  • Energie Cottbus games more often go over 2.5 goals

    52% of Eintracht Braunschweig matches, against 66% for Energie Cottbus. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eintracht Braunschweig
Energie Cottbus
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1465.2
ELO
1548.9
62
ELO · Matches
70
1465.2
Current Team ELO
1548.9
1548.9
Current Opponent ELO
1465.2
-83.66
Current ELO Difference
83.66
0.38
Expected score
0.62
62
History Matches
70
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.04
48.44
Overperformance
53.26
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
1.40
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.30
2.00
Goals for per game
1.40
1.10
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
2.41
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.11
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.60
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.74
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.23
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
70
1.16
PPG
1.57
30.6%
Win rate
45.7%
24.2%
Draw rate
20.0%
45.2%
Loss rate
34.3%
82.3%
Over 1.5 rate
81.4%
51.6%
Over 2.5 rate
65.7%
27.4%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
Venue performance10 signals
100
33
Matches
32
1.18
PPG
1.44
30.3%
Win rate
43.8%
27.3%
Draw rate
12.5%
42.4%
Loss rate
43.8%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
84.4%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
65.6%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.1%
1.60
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
33
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.31
Goals for per game
1.60
75.8%
Scoring rate
81.4%
59.7%
BTTS rate
64.3%
1.18
Goals for per game
1.34
78.8%
Scoring rate
78.1%
63.6%
BTTS rate
59.4%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
62
History Matches
70
1.31
Goals Mean
1.60
1.30
Goals Std
1.20
75.8%
Scored 1+ rate
81.4%
32.3%
Scored 2+ rate
47.1%
9.7%
Scored 3+ rate
24.3%
1.18
Venue Goals Mean
1.34
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.61
Goals against per game
1.61
80.6%
Conceding rate
77.1%
1.73
Goals against per game
1.56
81.8%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
62
History Matches
70
1.61
Conceded Mean
1.61
1.25
Conceded Std
1.38
46.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.3%
22.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.9%
1.73
Venue Conceded Mean
1.56
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.9%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
18.6%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.9%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
18.6%
18.2%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
21.9%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
22.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
70
0.97
Result entropy
0.95
1.93
Goal Difference Std
1.88
3.08
Stability score
4.72
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
69
15
Lead Matches
22
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
68.2%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.79
23
Trailing Matches
18
13.0%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
69
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.17
Rest days
76.27
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
45
1.23
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.49
29
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.50
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
7
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.32
Portability PPG Std
0.34
0.75
Portability PPG Range
0.89
60.98
Portability Score
59.29
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
70
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-83.66
PPG-0.41
GF-0.29
GA0.00
PPG0.00
PPG-0.26
PPG-0.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate5.6%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-8
Goals Mean-0.29
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Goals Mean-0.16
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std1.29
History Matches-8
Conceded Mean0.00
Conceded Std-0.13
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate2.5%
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean0.16
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.56
History Matches-8
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.05
Stability score-1.64
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.51
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches-7
Lead Win Rate11.8%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate-0.15
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean-0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.02
Portability PPG Range-0.15
Portability Score1.68
Rest days-1.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Normal Rest History Matches-15
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.26
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.61
Current Team ELO-83.66
Current Opponent ELO83.66
Current ELO Difference-167.3
Expected score-0.24
History Matches-8
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.82
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.16

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eintracht Braunschweig

L
Arminia Bielefeld3–1Eintracht Braunschweig30 Oct · away
Pick: Arminia Bielefeld 48% · hit
W
Eintracht Braunschweig2–0Hannover 9625 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Braunschweig 49% · hit
L
SpVgg Greuther Fürth2–0Eintracht Braunschweig17 Oct · away
Pick: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Energie Cottbus

L
Energie Cottbus1–2VfL Bochum30 Oct · home
Pick: Energie Cottbus 40% · missed
D
1. FC Heidenheim1–1Energie Cottbus24 Oct · away
Pick: Energie Cottbus 44% · missed
D
Energie Cottbus1–11. FC Nürnberg16 Oct · home
Pick: 1. FC Nürnberg 45% · missed
L
Energie Cottbus3–4SpVgg Greuther Fürth29 Aug · home
Pick: Energie Cottbus 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Eintracht Braunschweig and Energie Cottbus meet in 2. Bundesliga on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 17:30 UTC. The match is played at Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Eintracht Braunschweig win 51.0%, draw 19.0%, Energie Cottbus win 30.0%. The pick is Eintracht Braunschweig win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.9%. Both teams to score: 57.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.