ScoreProb
2. Division Cyprus Round 7 2026

Enosis vs Doxa

Enosis Home · Elo 1,324
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Doxa Away · Elo 1,474
Paralimni Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Enosis win
Enosis winPick
42.3%
Draw
25.1%
Doxa win
32.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.8%
No51.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.552.7%
Under 2.547.3%

How much we know

Enosis history54 matches
Doxa history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Enosis are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Doxa are rated 151 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,474 against 1,324. On rating alone Doxa would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Doxa score far more

    0.78 goals a game over 54 matches for Enosis, against 1.37 over 43 for Doxa.

  • Doxa concede fewer

    Enosis concede 2.09 a game, Doxa 1.47.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Enosis matches, against 53% for Doxa. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 15 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Enosis
Doxa
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1323.8
ELO
1474.5
54
ELO · Matches
43
1323.8
Current Team ELO
1474.5
1474.5
Current Opponent ELO
1323.8
-150.7
Current ELO Difference
150.7
0.30
Expected score
0.70
54
History Matches
43
-0.16
Residual Mean
-0.03
38.10
Overperformance
47.88
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
0.80
0.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.80
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
1.10
0.80
Goals for per game
1.00
2.10
Goals against per game
1.70
10.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.77
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.49
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
43
0.65
PPG
1.28
18.5%
Win rate
37.2%
9.3%
Draw rate
16.3%
72.2%
Loss rate
46.5%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
81.4%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
53.5%
29.6%
Over 3.5 rate
25.6%
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
22
0.54
PPG
1.23
15.4%
Win rate
36.4%
7.7%
Draw rate
13.6%
76.9%
Loss rate
50.0%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
95.5%
42.3%
Over 2.5 rate
68.2%
30.8%
Over 3.5 rate
36.4%
1.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
26
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.78
Goals for per game
1.37
50.0%
Scoring rate
72.1%
38.9%
BTTS rate
51.2%
0.81
Goals for per game
1.59
46.2%
Scoring rate
86.4%
34.6%
BTTS rate
68.2%
54
History Matches
43
0.78
Goals Mean
1.37
0.92
Goals Std
1.14
50.0%
Scored 1+ rate
72.1%
24.1%
Scored 2+ rate
46.5%
1.9%
Scored 3+ rate
11.6%
0.81
Venue Goals Mean
1.59
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.09
Goals against per game
1.47
87.0%
Conceding rate
74.4%
1.85
Goals against per game
1.86
88.5%
Conceding rate
81.8%
54
History Matches
43
2.09
Conceded Mean
1.47
1.31
Conceded Std
1.30
66.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.9%
37.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.6%
1.85
Venue Conceded Mean
1.86
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.9%
11.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
53.8%
Failed-to-score rate
13.6%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.9%
11.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
53.8%
Failed-to-score rate
13.6%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
43
0.70
Result entropy
0.93
1.76
Goal Difference Std
1.84
30.13
Stability score
7.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
43
6
Lead Matches
10
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.83
30
Trailing Matches
17
10.0%
Non-loss rate
17.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.33
First Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.94
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
0.44
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.86
1.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.90
Rest days
195.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
26
Normal Rest History Matches
21
0.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.14
24
Long Rest History Matches
18
0.42
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
6
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.82
Portability PPG Std
0.22
1.85
Portability PPG Range
0.45
37.81
Portability Score
69.05
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-150.7
PPG-0.63
GF-0.59
GA0.63
PPG-0.69
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate22.1%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate40.2%
History Matches11
Goals Mean-0.59
Goals Std-0.23
Scored 1+ rate-0.22
Scored 2+ rate-0.22
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean-0.78
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.03
History Matches11
Conceded Mean0.63
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate24.8%
Conceded 3+ rate18.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.35
History Matches11
Result entropy-0.23
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score22.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.52
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate3.3%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches13
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate-0.12
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean0.20
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.42
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.43
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.60
Portability PPG Range1.40
Portability Score-31.24
Rest days-111.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.33
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.18
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.92
Current Team ELO-150.7
Current Opponent ELO150.7
Current ELO Difference-301.4
Expected score-0.41
History Matches11
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-9.77
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Enosis

W
Iraklis Yerolakkou0–1Enosis24 Oct · away
Pick: Iraklis Yerolakkou 49% · missed
W
Enosis2–1ASIL Lysi16 Oct · home
Pick: Enosis 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Doxa

W
Doxa4–1Iraklis Yerolakkou30 Oct · home
Pick: Doxa 42% · hit
D
ASIL Lysi1–1Doxa24 Oct · away
Pick: Doxa 40% · missed
W
Doxa3–0Ayia Napa17 Oct · home
Pick: Doxa 37% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Enosis and Doxa meet in 2. Division on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. The match is played at Paralimni Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Enosis win 42.3%, draw 25.1%, Doxa win 32.6%. The pick is Enosis win. Over 2.5 goals: 52.7%. Both teams to score: 48.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.