FAS vs Inter
Match result probability Model pick: FAS win
FAS winPick
51.4%
Draw
24.4%
Inter win
24.2%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.0%
No47.0%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.554.9%
Under 2.545.1%
How much we know
FAS history77 matches
Inter history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours FAS
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 16 h ahead6 Nov · 08:47 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 00:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre12 Nov · 01:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,392 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,699
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,277
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,777
60–69% Won 63.7% · said 64.4% · n 1,884
70–79% Won 76.4% · said 73.9% · n 589
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.4% · n 166
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (51.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,777 matches.
Why FAS are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
FAS are rated 93 Elo points higher
Elo 1,636 against 1,543. On rating alone FAS would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
-
FAS score far more
1.82 goals a game over 77 matches for FAS, against 1.17 over 52 for Inter.
-
FAS concede fewer
FAS concede 1.00 a game, Inter 1.29.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
52% of FAS matches, against 50% for Inter. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1636.1
ELO
1542.7
77
ELO · Matches
52
1636.1
Current Team ELO
1542.7
1542.7
Current Opponent ELO
1636.1
93.46
Current ELO Difference
-93.46
0.63
Expected score
0.37
77
History Matches
52
0.08
Residual Mean
0.04
56.64
Overperformance
53.04
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.16
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.20
1.40
Goals for per game
1.80
1.00
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.80
1.90
Goals for per game
1.30
0.80
Goals against per game
0.90
60.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.45
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.50
Overall performance9 signals 90
77
Matches
52
1.79
PPG
1.29
51.9%
Win rate
30.8%
23.4%
Draw rate
36.5%
24.7%
Loss rate
32.7%
75.3%
Over 1.5 rate
73.1%
51.9%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.8%
Over 3.5 rate
30.8%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
Venue performance10 signals 100
37
Matches
26
2.08
PPG
1.04
64.9%
Win rate
23.1%
13.5%
Draw rate
34.6%
21.6%
Loss rate
42.3%
78.4%
Over 1.5 rate
69.2%
59.5%
Over 2.5 rate
57.7%
35.1%
Over 3.5 rate
42.3%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.67
37
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.82
Goals for per game
1.17
80.5%
Scoring rate
65.4%
50.6%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.95
Goals for per game
1.08
89.2%
Scoring rate
57.7%
54.1%
BTTS rate
46.2%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.50
83.3%
Scoring rate
66.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
77
History Matches
52
1.82
Goals Mean
1.17
1.55
Goals Std
1.05
80.5%
Scored 1+ rate
65.4%
49.4%
Scored 2+ rate
40.4%
28.6%
Scored 3+ rate
9.6%
1.95
Venue Goals Mean
1.08
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.00
Goals against per game
1.29
64.9%
Conceding rate
69.2%
0.95
Goals against per game
1.54
64.9%
Conceding rate
69.2%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.50
66.7%
Conceding rate
33.3%
77
History Matches
52
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.29
0.95
Conceded Std
1.13
24.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.3%
10.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.5%
0.95
Venue Conceded Mean
1.54
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
35.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
19.5%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
35.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
10.8%
Failed-to-score rate
42.3%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
35.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
19.5%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
35.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
10.8%
Failed-to-score rate
42.3%
35.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
77
History Matches
52
0.93
Result entropy
1.00
1.95
Goal Difference Std
1.56
6.67
Stability score
0.23
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
77
Eligible Matches
52
31
Lead Matches
12
87.1%
Lead Win Rate
58.3%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.67
14
Trailing Matches
13
42.9%
Non-loss rate
38.5%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
77
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
0.96
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
80.96
Rest days
82.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
10
Short Rest History Matches
11
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.55
52
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.81
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.39
14
Long Rest History Matches
12
2.07
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.83
Competition & season17 signals 170
6
Matches
6
1.67
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
50.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.15
6
Current Competition Matches
6
1.67
Current Competition PPG
2.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
5
Competition Season Count
3
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.78
Portability PPG Std
0.42
2.15
Portability PPG Range
0.84
39.08
Portability Score
54.32
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
77
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO93.46
PPG0.50
GF0.65
GA-0.29
PPG-0.33
PPG1.04
PPG-0.80
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches25
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.31
History Matches25
Goals Mean0.65
Goals Std0.50
Scored 1+ rate15.1%
Scored 2+ rate9.0%
Scored 3+ rate19.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.87
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.18
History Matches25
Conceded Mean-0.29
Conceded Std-0.18
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Conceded Mean-0.59
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.08
History Matches25
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.38
Stability score6.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.42
Eligible Matches25
Lead Matches19
Lead Win Rate28.8%
Lead Points Retention0.24
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate4.4%
Trailing Win Rate14.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches25
First Half Goals For Mean0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.33
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.36
Portability PPG Range1.31
Portability Score-15.24
Rest days-1.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Normal Rest History Matches24
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.41
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.24
Current Team ELO93.46
Current Opponent ELO-93.46
Current ELO Difference186.9
Expected score0.26
History Matches25
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.60
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.16
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
FAS
D
Firpo1–1FAS1 Nov · away
Pick: Firpo 52% · missed L
Águila3–1FAS24 Oct · away
Pick: FAS 41% · missed D
FAS0–0Isidro Metapán22 Oct · home
Pick: FAS 50% · missed L
FAS2–3Platense18 Oct · home
Pick: FAS 58% · missed D
FAS1–1Inca Aruba5 Oct · home
Pick: FAS 84% · missed Inter
D
Inter0–0Platense31 Oct · home
Pick: Inter 43% · missed W
Inca Aruba0–2Inter24 Oct · away
Pick: Inter 71% · hit L
Inter1–2Municipal Limeño17 Oct · home
Pick: Inter 47% · missed D
Inter1–1Fuerte San Francisco4 Oct · home
Pick: Inter 55% · missed W
Platense0–3Inter29 Aug · away
Pick: Platense 42% · missed About this match
FAS and Inter meet in Primera Division on Thursday 12 November 2026, kickoff 01:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC: FAS win 51.4%, draw 24.4%, Inter win 24.2%. The pick is FAS win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.9%. Both teams to score: 53.0%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.