ScoreProb
2. Liga Austria Round 12 2026

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC

FC BW Linz Home · Elo 1,531
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Floridsdorfer AC Away · Elo 1,555
Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: FC BW Linz win
FC BW Linz winPick
55.9%
Draw
22.7%
Floridsdorfer AC win
21.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.0%
No53.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%

How much we know

FC BW Linz history70 matches
Floridsdorfer AC history65 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why FC BW Linz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,531 against 1,555. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.43 goals a game over 70 matches for FC BW Linz, against 1.32 over 65 for Floridsdorfer AC.

  • Floridsdorfer AC concede fewer

    FC BW Linz concede 1.39 a game, Floridsdorfer AC 1.06.

  • FC BW Linz games more often go over 2.5 goals

    57% of FC BW Linz matches, against 42% for Floridsdorfer AC. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC BW Linz
Floridsdorfer AC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1531.3
ELO
1554.9
70
ELO · Matches
65
1531.3
Current Team ELO
1554.9
1554.9
Current Opponent ELO
1531.3
-23.61
Current ELO Difference
23.61
0.47
Expected score
0.53
70
History Matches
65
0.02
Residual Mean
0.04
51.79
Overperformance
52.88
0.34
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.60
2.60
Goals for per game
1.60
0.40
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.50
2.10
Goals for per game
1.50
0.90
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.51
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.81
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.43
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals
90
70
Matches
65
1.16
PPG
1.54
30.0%
Win rate
43.1%
25.7%
Draw rate
24.6%
44.3%
Loss rate
32.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.4%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
41.5%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
34
1.41
PPG
1.68
41.2%
Win rate
47.1%
17.6%
Draw rate
26.5%
41.2%
Loss rate
26.5%
88.2%
Over 1.5 rate
73.5%
67.6%
Over 2.5 rate
38.2%
38.2%
Over 3.5 rate
20.6%
2.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
34
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.43
Goals for per game
1.32
70.0%
Scoring rate
72.3%
51.4%
BTTS rate
41.5%
1.85
Goals for per game
1.38
79.4%
Scoring rate
73.5%
58.8%
BTTS rate
35.3%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
70
History Matches
65
1.43
Goals Mean
1.32
1.33
Goals Std
1.19
70.0%
Scored 1+ rate
72.3%
40.0%
Scored 2+ rate
38.5%
22.9%
Scored 3+ rate
13.8%
1.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.39
Goals against per game
1.06
75.7%
Conceding rate
60.0%
1.47
Goals against per game
0.94
79.4%
Conceding rate
50.0%
0.25
Goals against per game
1.50
25.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
70
History Matches
65
1.39
Conceded Mean
1.06
1.07
Conceded Std
1.14
44.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.2%
15.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.3%
1.47
Venue Conceded Mean
0.94
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.7%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
26.5%
75.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.7%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
26.5%
24.3%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
70
History Matches
65
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
1.87
Goal Difference Std
1.88
2.50
Stability score
2.34
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
69
Eligible Matches
64
15
Lead Matches
25
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.87
27
Trailing Matches
15
25.9%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
3.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
69
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.46
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.45
0.97
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.33
Rest days
77.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
5
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.80
40
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.28
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
25
Long Rest History Matches
28
0.84
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.39
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
3.00
PPG
1.75
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
4
Current Competition Matches
4
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.75
2.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.25
7
Competition Season Count
7
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.71
Portability PPG Std
0.29
2.09
Portability PPG Range
0.80
41.24
Portability Score
62.91
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
70
Clean History Matches
65
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-23.61
PPG-0.38
GF0.11
GA0.32
PPG1.25
PPG-0.26
PPG1.00
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate2.3%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.29
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches5
Goals Mean0.11
Goals Std0.14
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate1.5%
Scored 3+ rate9.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.47
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.71
History Matches5
Conceded Mean0.32
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Conceded 2+ rate15.1%
Conceded 3+ rate3.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.53
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.49
History Matches5
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.00
Stability score0.16
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.59
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches-10
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate12.6%
Trailing Win Rate3.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Second Half Goals For Mean0.38
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.42
Portability PPG Range1.29
Portability Score-21.67
Rest days-0.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.20
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.40
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.55
Current Team ELO-23.61
Current Opponent ELO23.61
Current ELO Difference-47.22
Expected score-0.07
History Matches5
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-1.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.31

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FC BW Linz

W
First Vienna0–6FC BW Linz31 Oct · away
Pick: FC BW Linz 38% · hit
W
Austria Salzburg0–1FC BW Linz23 Oct · away
Pick: Austria Salzburg 40% · missed
W
FC BW Linz4–1FC Liefering17 Oct · home
Pick: FC BW Linz 62% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Floridsdorfer AC

D
Floridsdorfer AC2–2SV Kapfenberg31 Oct · home
Pick: Floridsdorfer AC 60% · missed
L
First Vienna2–0Floridsdorfer AC23 Oct · away
Pick: First Vienna 42% · hit
L
Floridsdorfer AC0–2Admira Wacker17 Oct · home
Pick: Floridsdorfer AC 52% · missed
W
Floridsdorfer AC2–0Wacker Innsbruck29 Aug · home
Pick: Wacker Innsbruck 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FC BW Linz and Floridsdorfer AC meet in 2. Liga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. The match is played at Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: FC BW Linz win 55.9%, draw 22.7%, Floridsdorfer AC win 21.5%. The pick is FC BW Linz win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.7%. Both teams to score: 47.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.