ScoreProb
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd Germany NOFV- Sud - 11 2026

FC Frankfurt vs Plauen

FC Frankfurt Home · Elo 1,471
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Plauen Away · Elo 1,533
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Plauen win
FC Frankfurt win
17.5%
Draw
21.2%
Plauen winPick
61.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%

How much we know

FC Frankfurt history3 matches
Plauen history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.3%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Plauen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Plauen are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,533 against 1,471. On rating alone Plauen would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Plauen score more

    1.00 goals a game over 3 matches for FC Frankfurt, against 1.40 over 52 for Plauen.

  • Plauen concede fewer

    FC Frankfurt concede 3.00 a game, Plauen 1.46.

  • FC Frankfurt games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of FC Frankfurt matches, against 56% for Plauen. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC Frankfurt
Plauen
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1471.3
ELO
1533.4
3
ELO · Matches
52
1471.3
Current Team ELO
1533.4
1533.4
Current Opponent ELO
1471.3
-62.09
Current ELO Difference
62.09
0.41
Expected score
0.59
3
History Matches
52
-0.51
Residual Mean
0.03
43.40
Overperformance
52.47
-0.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
3
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.20
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
3.00
Goals against per game
2.40
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
3
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.80
1.00
Goals for per game
2.10
3.00
Goals against per game
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
0.82
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.45
3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.82
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.96
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
0.82
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.20
Overall performance9 signals
90
3
Matches
52
0.00
PPG
1.35
0.0%
Win rate
38.5%
0.0%
Draw rate
19.2%
100.0%
Loss rate
42.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.8%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.8%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.8%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
26
0.00
PPG
1.23
0.0%
Win rate
34.6%
0.0%
Draw rate
19.2%
100.0%
Loss rate
46.2%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
30.8%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.66
1
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
66.7%
Scoring rate
71.2%
66.7%
BTTS rate
53.8%
0.00
Goals for per game
1.38
0.0%
Scoring rate
73.1%
0.0%
BTTS rate
61.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
3
History Matches
52
1.00
Goals Mean
1.40
0.82
Goals Std
1.26
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
71.2%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
40.4%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
19.2%
0.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
3.00
Goals against per game
1.46
100.0%
Conceding rate
80.8%
3.00
Goals against per game
1.69
100.0%
Conceding rate
88.5%
3.50
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3
History Matches
52
3.00
Conceded Mean
1.46
0.82
Conceded Std
1.22
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.3%
66.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.4%
3.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.69
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
3
History Matches
52
0.00
Result entropy
0.95
0.82
Goal Difference Std
1.85
100.0
Stability score
4.56
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
3
Eligible Matches
52
0
Lead Matches
16
—
Lead Win Rate
93.8%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.94
3
Trailing Matches
14
0.0%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
3
Halftime Coverage Matches
52
0.33
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
2.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.02
Rest days
83.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
4
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
1
Normal Rest History Matches
29
0.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.24
1
Long Rest History Matches
18
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.72
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
2
Competition Season Count
4
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.74
—
Portability PPG Range
1.74
—
Portability Score
40.43
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
3
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-62.09
PPG-1.35
GF-0.40
GA1.54
PPG-1.50
PPG-1.23
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-49
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate4.5%
History Matches-25
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate73.1%
History Matches-49
Goals Mean-0.40
Goals Std-0.44
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Goals Mean-1.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.63
History Matches-49
Conceded Mean1.54
Conceded Std-0.40
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Conceded 2+ rate57.7%
Conceded 3+ rate51.3%
Venue Conceded Mean1.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.15
History Matches-49
Result entropy-0.95
Goal Difference Std-1.04
Stability score95.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.61
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.38
Eligible Matches-49
Lead Matches-16
Trailing Matches-11
Non-loss rate-0.14
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches-49
First Half Goals For Mean-0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean1.74
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.20
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest History Matches-28
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.24
Long Rest History Matches-17
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.72
Current Team ELO-62.09
Current Opponent ELO62.09
Current ELO Difference-124.2
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-49
Residual Mean-0.54
Overperformance-9.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.56

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FC Frankfurt

W
Einheit Wernigerode1–4FC Frankfurt31 Oct · away
Pick: Einheit Wernigerode 68% · missed
L
FC Frankfurt1–2VfL Halle24 Oct · home
Pick: VfL Halle 54% · hit
L
Auerbach3–1FC Frankfurt18 Oct · away
Pick: Auerbach 79% · hit
L
FC Frankfurt0–8Union Sandersdorf29 Aug · home
Pick: Union Sandersdorf 64% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Plauen

L
VfL Halle2–0Plauen31 Oct · away
Pick: Plauen 43% · missed
W
Plauen2–0Germania Halberstadt24 Oct · home
Pick: Germania Halberstadt 40% · missed
D
ZFC Meuselwitz2–2Plauen18 Oct · away
Pick: ZFC Meuselwitz 53% · missed
D
Plauen2–2Einheit Wernigerode29 Aug · home
Pick: Plauen 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FC Frankfurt and Plauen meet in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: FC Frankfurt win 17.5%, draw 21.2%, Plauen win 61.3%. The pick is Plauen win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.5%. Both teams to score: 54.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.