FC Seoul vs Viettel
FC Seoul
Full time
3–0
Half time 0–0
Wed 4 Nov · 10:00 UTC
Viettel
What we said before kickoff Result: FC Seoul win
FC Seoul winPick Result
60.1%
Draw
19.2%
Viettel win
20.7%
How our picks did
Based on the final score. It joins the public record at the next nightly settlement.
Match result
Our pickFC Seoul win · 60.1%
What happenedFC Seoul win · we gave it 60.1%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 55.2%
What happenedOver · 3 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 54.8%
What happenedNo · 3–0
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: FC Seoul win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
60%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 1.7
on average A pick at 60% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Timeline
Newest at the bottom
SubstitutionKim Jin-Su off · Choi Jun on
46' SubstitutionL. Ruiz off · P. Klimala on
46' SubstitutionHwang Do-Yun off · J. Son on
58' GoalMoon Seon-Min · assist J. Son
68' 73'
Yellow cardK. Nguyen Hoang
76'
SubstitutionKhuat Van Khang off · Pham Trung Hieu on
76'
SubstitutionDao Van Nam off · Dinh Viet Tu on
77'
SubstitutionAndre Luiz off · N. T. Doan on
GoalAnderson Oliveira
79' 82'
SubstitutionRibamar off · D. Vu Thanh on
85'
SubstitutionK. Nguyen Hoang off · R. Gordon on
SubstitutionAnderson Oliveira off · Jeong Hyeon-Woo on
86' Own goalLucas
90' SubstitutionH. Babec off · Park Seong-hun on
90+2' Lineups
FC Seoul 4-1-4-1 · Viettel 3-4-3
26Jong-Beom 22Jin-Su 37Antonio 4Sang-Min 66Soo-Il 6Babec 10Oliveira 18Young-Wook 41Do-Yoon 27Seon-Min 11Ruiz 1Caruso 20Nam 15Lucas 2Colonna 11Khang 5Luiz 7Natã 14Curuá 9Ribamar 95Brandão 22Khanh
Substitutes · FC Seoul · Coach Kim Gi-Dong
- 19Cheon Seong-Hoon
- 16Choi Jun
- 17Ahn Jae-Min
- 14Hyeon-Woo Jeong
- 24Min-Jun Kim
- 9P. Klimala
- 20Lee Han-Do
- 1Lim Jun-Sub
- 88Park Jang Han-Gyeol
- 40Park Seong-Hun
- 42J. Son
- 71Yun Ki-Wook
Substitutes · Viettel · Coach Guilherme Almeida
- 33Phí Minh Long
- 16Phạm Trung Hiếu
- 28Nguyễn Văn Việt II
- 88T. Nguyen
- 89Le Quoc Nhat Nam
- 8Nguyen Huu Thang
- 13R. Gordon
- 34Doan Ngoc Tan
- 18V. T. Nguyen
- 66D Vũ Thành
Match stats
FC Seoul left, Viettel right
Both teams to score
Yes54.8%
No45.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
How much we know
FC Seoul history77 matches
Viettel history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Lineups publishedThis prediction does not use lineups.
- Kickoff4 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full time: 3–0Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.1%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why FC Seoul are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Viettel are rated 33 Elo points higher
Elo 1,621 against 1,588. On rating alone Viettel would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.47 goals a game over 77 matches for FC Seoul, against 1.58 over 48 for Viettel.
-
Viettel concede fewer
FC Seoul concede 1.22 a game, Viettel 1.08.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
51% of FC Seoul matches, against 48% for Viettel. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FC Seoul
Viettel
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1588.0
ELO
1620.6
77
ELO · Matches
48
1588.0
Current Team ELO
1620.6
1620.6
Current Opponent ELO
1588.0
-32.58
Current ELO Difference
32.58
0.45
Expected score
0.55
77
History Matches
48
0.06
Residual Mean
0.12
54.43
Overperformance
58.79
0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.60
2.40
Goals for per game
1.20
0.40
Goals against per game
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.90
1.90
Goals for per game
1.40
0.90
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
2.21
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.66
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.34
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals 90
77
Matches
48
1.49
PPG
1.88
40.3%
Win rate
52.1%
28.6%
Draw rate
31.3%
31.2%
Loss rate
16.7%
67.5%
Over 1.5 rate
79.2%
50.6%
Over 2.5 rate
47.9%
31.2%
Over 3.5 rate
27.1%
1.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
Venue performance10 signals 100
38
Matches
24
1.47
PPG
1.33
39.5%
Win rate
29.2%
28.9%
Draw rate
45.8%
31.6%
Loss rate
25.0%
68.4%
Over 1.5 rate
95.8%
57.9%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
39.5%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
38
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.47
Goals for per game
1.58
75.3%
Scoring rate
97.9%
55.8%
BTTS rate
60.4%
1.63
Goals for per game
1.54
78.9%
Scoring rate
100.0%
57.9%
BTTS rate
87.5%
77
History Matches
48
1.47
Goals Mean
1.58
1.36
Goals Std
0.91
75.3%
Scored 1+ rate
97.9%
37.7%
Scored 2+ rate
45.8%
20.8%
Scored 3+ rate
8.3%
1.63
Venue Goals Mean
1.54
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.22
Goals against per game
1.08
67.5%
Conceding rate
62.5%
1.32
Goals against per game
1.54
68.4%
Conceding rate
87.5%
77
History Matches
48
1.22
Conceded Mean
1.08
1.29
Conceded Std
1.10
33.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
31.3%
11.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.4%
1.32
Venue Conceded Mean
1.54
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
32.5%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
24.7%
Failed-to-score rate
2.1%
31.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
32.5%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
24.7%
Failed-to-score rate
2.1%
31.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
32.5%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
77
History Matches
48
0.99
Result entropy
0.91
1.74
Goal Difference Std
1.51
1.00
Stability score
8.81
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
77
Eligible Matches
48
22
Lead Matches
18
72.7%
Lead Win Rate
77.8%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.85
19
Trailing Matches
12
21.1%
Non-loss rate
58.3%
10.5%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
77
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.60
First Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
0.87
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
70.98
Rest days
146.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.38
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
47
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.73
21
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.43
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
6
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.47
Portability PPG Std
0.19
1.12
Portability PPG Range
0.45
51.30
Portability Score
72.41
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
77
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-32.58
PPG-0.38
GF-0.12
GA0.14
PPG0.14
PPG0.60
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches29
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate22.6%
History Matches14
Clean-sheet rate19.1%
Failed-to-score rate21.1%
History Matches29
Goals Mean-0.12
Goals Std0.45
Scored 1+ rate-0.23
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate12.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.09
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std1.55
History Matches29
Conceded Mean0.14
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate2.5%
Conceded 3+ rate1.3%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.30
History Matches29
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.23
Stability score-7.80
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.09
Eligible Matches29
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.37
Trailing Win Rate2.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches29
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.28
Portability PPG Range0.67
Portability Score-21.11
Rest days-74.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches8
Normal Rest History Matches21
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.16
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.57
Current Team ELO-32.58
Current Opponent ELO32.58
Current ELO Difference-65.17
Expected score-0.09
History Matches29
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-4.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.02
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
FC Seoul
L
FC Seoul0–1Incheon United1 Nov · home
Pick: FC Seoul 53% · missed W
Viettel0–5FC Seoul28 Oct · away
Pick: FC Seoul 43% · hit D
FC Seoul1–1Gangwon FC24 Oct · home
Pick: FC Seoul 46% · missed D
FC Seoul2–2Gimcheon Sangmu FC18 Oct · home
Pick: FC Seoul 58% · missed L
Melbourne Victory3–0FC Seoul14 Oct · away
Pick: FC Seoul 50% · missed Viettel
L
Nam Dinh3–1Viettel31 Oct · away
Pick: Nam Dinh 55% · hit L
Viettel0–5FC Seoul28 Oct · home
Pick: FC Seoul 43% · hit D
Viettel2–2Bắc Ninh23 Oct · home
Pick: Viettel 53% · missed L
Ho Chi Minh1–0Viettel19 Oct · away
Pick: Ho Chi Minh 56% · hit L
Persib Bandung1–0Viettel14 Oct · away
Pick: Persib Bandung 58% · hit Match report
FC Seoul and Viettel finished 3–0 in AFC Champions League Two on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–0 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: FC Seoul win 60.1%, draw 19.2%, Viettel win 20.7%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.