ScoreProb
K League 2 South Korea Round 32 2026

Gimpo Citizen vs Ansan Greeners

Gimpo Citizen Home · Elo 1,550
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ansan Greeners Away · Elo 1,371
Gimpo Salter Soccer Field Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Gimpo Citizen win
Gimpo Citizen winPick
67.3%
Draw
20.2%
Ansan Greeners win
12.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.8%
No52.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.8%
Under 2.548.2%

How much we know

Gimpo Citizen history67 matches
Ansan Greeners history64 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 22 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 07:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (67.3%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Gimpo Citizen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Gimpo Citizen are rated 179 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,550 against 1,371. On rating alone Gimpo Citizen would be expected to take 74% of the points on offer.

  • Gimpo Citizen score far more

    1.30 goals a game over 67 matches for Gimpo Citizen, against 0.80 over 64 for Ansan Greeners.

  • Gimpo Citizen concede fewer

    Gimpo Citizen concede 0.99 a game, Ansan Greeners 1.64.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    39% of Gimpo Citizen matches, against 42% for Ansan Greeners. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gimpo Citizen
Ansan Greeners
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1550.3
ELO
1371.2
67
ELO · Matches
64
1550.3
Current Team ELO
1371.2
1371.2
Current Opponent ELO
1550.3
179.2
Current ELO Difference
-179.2
0.74
Expected score
0.26
67
History Matches
64
0.03
Residual Mean
-0.09
52.51
Overperformance
43.02
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.00
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
0.60
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.00
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.63
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.20
0.63
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.33
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.72
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
64
1.52
PPG
0.78
38.8%
Win rate
17.2%
35.8%
Draw rate
26.6%
25.4%
Loss rate
56.3%
71.6%
Over 1.5 rate
67.2%
38.8%
Over 2.5 rate
42.2%
17.9%
Over 3.5 rate
29.7%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
30
1.41
PPG
0.93
34.4%
Win rate
20.0%
37.5%
Draw rate
33.3%
28.1%
Loss rate
46.7%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
43.8%
Over 2.5 rate
36.7%
21.9%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
32
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.30
Goals for per game
0.80
77.6%
Scoring rate
56.3%
50.7%
BTTS rate
45.3%
1.38
Goals for per game
0.73
81.3%
Scoring rate
53.3%
59.4%
BTTS rate
36.7%
1.24
Goals for per game
1.05
81.0%
Scoring rate
77.3%
57.1%
BTTS rate
68.2%
67
History Matches
64
1.30
Goals Mean
0.80
1.07
Goals Std
0.89
77.6%
Scored 1+ rate
56.3%
34.3%
Scored 2+ rate
17.2%
13.4%
Scored 3+ rate
4.7%
1.38
Venue Goals Mean
0.73
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.99
Goals against per game
1.64
64.2%
Conceding rate
79.7%
1.06
Goals against per game
1.67
71.9%
Conceding rate
70.0%
1.05
Goals against per game
1.91
71.4%
Conceding rate
90.9%
67
History Matches
64
0.99
Conceded Mean
1.64
0.97
Conceded Std
1.30
23.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.4%
9.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.06
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
35.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.3%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
43.8%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
46.7%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
19.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
35.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.3%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
43.8%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
46.7%
35.8%
Clean-sheet rate
20.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
64
0.99
Result entropy
0.89
1.50
Goal Difference Std
1.56
1.41
Stability score
10.94
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
67
Eligible Matches
64
19
Lead Matches
7
68.4%
Lead Win Rate
57.1%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.57
15
Trailing Matches
26
46.7%
Non-loss rate
26.9%
13.3%
Trailing Win Rate
11.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
67
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.49
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.47
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
79.90
Rest days
76.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
43
Normal Rest History Matches
43
1.60
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.88
19
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.60
Competition & season17 signals
170
21
Matches
22
1.48
PPG
0.86
33.3%
Win rate
22.7%
47.6%
Draw rate
18.2%
19.0%
Loss rate
59.1%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
86.4%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
63.6%
19.0%
Over 3.5 rate
36.4%
1.14
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
21
Current Competition Matches
22
1.48
Current Competition PPG
0.86
0.19
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.86
4
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.64
Portability PPG Std
0.09
1.59
Portability PPG Range
0.17
43.76
Portability Score
85.37
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
64
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO179.2
PPG0.74
GF0.50
GA-0.66
PPG0.61
PPG0.47
PPG1.20
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate15.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.28
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.50
Goals Std0.18
Scored 1+ rate21.4%
Scored 2+ rate17.1%
Scored 3+ rate8.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.64
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.24
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.66
Conceded Std-0.33
Clean-sheet rate15.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.69
History Matches3
Result entropy0.10
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score-9.52
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.32
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches12
Lead Win Rate11.3%
Lead Points Retention0.22
Trailing Matches-11
Non-loss rate19.7%
Trailing Win Rate1.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.16
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.35
Second Half Goals For Mean0.34
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.31
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG0.61
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.05
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.56
Portability PPG Range1.42
Portability Score-41.61
Rest days3.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.72
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.61
Current Team ELO179.2
Current Opponent ELO-179.2
Current ELO Difference358.3
Expected score0.47
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance9.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Gimpo Citizen

L
Asan Mugunghwa5–1Gimpo Citizen31 Oct · away
Pick: Asan Mugunghwa 37% · hit
L
Gimpo Citizen1–2Gimhae City24 Oct · home
Pick: Gimpo Citizen 59% · missed
W
Gimpo Citizen4–1Paju Citizen17 Oct · home
Pick: Gimpo Citizen 56% · hit
L
Gimpo Citizen1–4Suwon Bluewings29 Aug · home
Pick: Suwon Bluewings 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Ansan Greeners

L
Suwon City FC1–0Ansan Greeners1 Nov · away
Pick: Suwon City FC 68% · hit
L
Cheonan City3–1Ansan Greeners25 Oct · away
Pick: Cheonan City 56% · hit
W
Yongin City0–4Ansan Greeners17 Oct · away
Pick: Yongin City 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Gimpo Citizen and Ansan Greeners meet in K League 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 07:30 UTC. The match is played at Gimpo Salter Soccer Field. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Gimpo Citizen win 67.3%, draw 20.2%, Ansan Greeners win 12.4%. The pick is Gimpo Citizen win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.8%. Both teams to score: 47.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.