ScoreProb
NB II Hungary Round 13 2026

Gyirmot SE vs Tiszakecske FC

Gyirmot SE Home · Elo 1,637
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tiszakecske FC Away · Elo 1,528
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Gyirmot SE win
Gyirmot SE winPick
47.8%
Draw
24.3%
Tiszakecske FC win
27.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.2%
No41.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.5%
Under 2.537.5%

How much we know

Gyirmot SE history60 matches
Tiszakecske FC history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Gyirmot SE are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Gyirmot SE are rated 109 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,637 against 1,528. On rating alone Gyirmot SE would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Gyirmot SE score more

    2.47 goals a game over 60 matches for Gyirmot SE, against 1.69 over 55 for Tiszakecske FC.

  • Gyirmot SE concede fewer

    Gyirmot SE concede 0.97 a game, Tiszakecske FC 1.27.

  • Gyirmot SE games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Gyirmot SE matches, against 47% for Tiszakecske FC. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gyirmot SE
Tiszakecske FC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1636.6
ELO
1527.8
60
ELO · Matches
55
1636.6
Current Team ELO
1527.8
1527.8
Current Opponent ELO
1636.6
108.8
Current ELO Difference
-108.8
0.65
Expected score
0.35
60
History Matches
55
0.13
Residual Mean
0.02
59.72
Overperformance
51.58
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.50
2.10
Goals for per game
1.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.22
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
55
1.98
PPG
1.56
60.0%
Win rate
41.8%
18.3%
Draw rate
30.9%
21.7%
Loss rate
27.3%
81.7%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
65.0%
Over 2.5 rate
47.3%
46.7%
Over 3.5 rate
29.1%
2.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.39
Venue performance10 signals
100
36
Matches
28
1.81
PPG
1.61
52.8%
Win rate
42.9%
22.2%
Draw rate
32.1%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
86.1%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
69.4%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
58.3%
Over 3.5 rate
39.3%
2.60
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.19
36
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.47
Goals for per game
1.69
86.7%
Scoring rate
85.5%
48.3%
BTTS rate
60.0%
2.44
Goals for per game
1.75
83.3%
Scoring rate
85.7%
55.6%
BTTS rate
60.7%
1.80
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
80.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
60
History Matches
55
2.47
Goals Mean
1.69
2.06
Goals Std
1.80
86.7%
Scored 1+ rate
85.5%
60.0%
Scored 2+ rate
36.4%
46.7%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
2.44
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.97
Goals against per game
1.27
60.0%
Conceding rate
70.9%
1.25
Goals against per game
1.32
69.4%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
80.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
60
History Matches
55
0.97
Conceded Mean
1.27
1.03
Conceded Std
1.27
25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.1%
8.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.4%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
1.32
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.1%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
30.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.1%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
30.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
55
0.86
Result entropy
0.98
2.57
Goal Difference Std
2.39
13.63
Stability score
1.53
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
55
31
Lead Matches
16
87.1%
Lead Win Rate
81.3%
0.89
Lead Points Retention
0.88
10
Trailing Matches
20
50.0%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
1.35
First Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.04
0.42
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.02
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
33
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.97
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.80
25
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.92
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.27
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
60.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.17
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.80
0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.80
7
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.70
Portability PPG Std
0.88
1.87
Portability PPG Range
2.38
41.84
Portability Score
36.24
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO108.8
PPG0.42
GF0.78
GA-0.31
PPG0.20
PPG0.20
PPG0.20
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate10.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate2.0%
Failed-to-score rate2.4%
History Matches5
Goals Mean0.78
Goals Std0.26
Scored 1+ rate1.2%
Scored 2+ rate23.6%
Scored 3+ rate26.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.69
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.24
History Matches5
Conceded Mean-0.31
Conceded Std-0.24
Clean-sheet rate10.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-0.07
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.19
History Matches5
Result entropy-0.12
Goal Difference Std0.18
Stability score12.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.60
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches15
Lead Win Rate5.8%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate10.0%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean0.70
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.60
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.18
Portability PPG Range-0.52
Portability Score5.60
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match2.50
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.17
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.65
Current Team ELO108.8
Current Opponent ELO-108.8
Current ELO Difference217.6
Expected score0.30
History Matches5
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance8.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Gyirmot SE

D
Ajka1–1Gyirmot SE31 Oct · away
Pick: Ajka 47% · missed
W
Gyirmot SE3–1Budapest Honved27 Oct · home
Pick: Gyirmot SE 47% · hit
D
Gyirmot SE3–3Soroksar24 Oct · home
Pick: Gyirmot SE 43% · missed
W
Szentlőrinc SE1–2Gyirmot SE18 Oct · away
Pick: Gyirmot SE 37% · hit
L
Mezokovesd-zsory4–2Gyirmot SE29 Aug · away
Pick: Mezokovesd-zsory 38% · hit

Tiszakecske FC

L
Tiszakecske FC0–1Fehérvár FC31 Oct · home
Pick: Tiszakecske FC 49% · missed
D
BVSC2–2Tiszakecske FC24 Oct · away
Pick: Tiszakecske FC 43% · missed
W
Tiszakecske FC1–0Csakvar17 Oct · home
Pick: Tiszakecske FC 57% · hit
W
Nagykanizsai ULE1–2Tiszakecske FC29 Aug · away
Pick: Nagykanizsai ULE 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Gyirmot SE and Tiszakecske FC meet in NB II on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Gyirmot SE win 47.8%, draw 24.3%, Tiszakecske FC win 27.9%. The pick is Gyirmot SE win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.5%. Both teams to score: 58.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.