ScoreProb
NB II Hungary Round 13 2026

Kecskeméti TE vs Nagykanizsai ULE

Kecskeméti TE Home · Elo 1,557
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Nagykanizsai ULE Away · Elo 1,617
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kecskeméti TE win
Kecskeméti TE winPick
54.7%
Draw
18.7%
Nagykanizsai ULE win
26.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.6%
No41.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.3%
Under 2.539.7%

How much we know

Kecskeméti TE history60 matches
Nagykanizsai ULE history56 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Kecskeméti TE are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Nagykanizsai ULE are rated 59 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,617 against 1,557. On rating alone Nagykanizsai ULE would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Nagykanizsai ULE score more

    1.58 goals a game over 60 matches for Kecskeméti TE, against 2.11 over 56 for Nagykanizsai ULE.

  • Nagykanizsai ULE concede fewer

    Kecskeméti TE concede 1.47 a game, Nagykanizsai ULE 0.96.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of Kecskeméti TE matches, against 63% for Nagykanizsai ULE. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kecskeméti TE
Nagykanizsai ULE
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1557.4
ELO
1616.5
60
ELO · Matches
56
1557.4
Current Team ELO
1616.5
1616.5
Current Opponent ELO
1557.4
-59.16
Current ELO Difference
59.16
0.42
Expected score
0.58
60
History Matches
56
0.05
Residual Mean
0.10
53.40
Overperformance
57.18
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.60
1.80
Goals for per game
0.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.90
Goals against per game
1.10
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.89
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.04
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
56
1.48
PPG
2.05
41.7%
Win rate
60.7%
23.3%
Draw rate
23.2%
35.0%
Loss rate
16.1%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
61.7%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
35.0%
Over 3.5 rate
39.3%
1.91
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
29
1.83
PPG
1.86
51.7%
Win rate
51.7%
27.6%
Draw rate
31.0%
20.7%
Loss rate
17.2%
82.8%
Over 1.5 rate
79.3%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
37.9%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.29
29
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.58
Goals for per game
2.11
80.0%
Scoring rate
87.5%
61.7%
BTTS rate
58.9%
1.93
Goals for per game
1.97
86.2%
Scoring rate
82.8%
58.6%
BTTS rate
58.6%
1.80
Goals for per game
0.80
100.0%
Scoring rate
40.0%
80.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
60
History Matches
56
1.58
Goals Mean
2.11
1.28
Goals Std
1.74
80.0%
Scored 1+ rate
87.5%
45.0%
Scored 2+ rate
57.1%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
30.4%
1.93
Venue Goals Mean
1.97
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.47
Goals against per game
0.96
76.7%
Conceding rate
64.3%
1.10
Goals against per game
1.07
69.0%
Conceding rate
65.5%
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
60
History Matches
56
1.47
Conceded Mean
0.96
1.30
Conceded Std
0.98
41.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
23.2%
15.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
5.4%
1.10
Venue Conceded Mean
1.07
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
17.2%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
60.0%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
17.2%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
56
0.98
Result entropy
0.85
1.91
Goal Difference Std
2.17
2.44
Stability score
14.82
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
56
16
Lead Matches
22
68.8%
Lead Win Rate
86.4%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.89
17
Trailing Matches
10
17.6%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
30.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.67
First Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.13
0.83
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.94
Rest days
76.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
35
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.08
23
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.05
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.60
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
80.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.98
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.60
0.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.80
5
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.76
1.13
Portability PPG Range
2.02
52.72
Portability Score
39.65
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
56
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-59.16
PPG-0.57
GF-0.52
GA0.50
PPG1.40
PPG-0.03
PPG1.40
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate7.5%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches4
Goals Mean-0.52
Goals Std-0.46
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.12
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.22
History Matches4
Conceded Mean0.50
Conceded Std0.32
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate18.5%
Conceded 3+ rate9.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.03
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.43
History Matches4
Result entropy0.12
Goal Difference Std-0.26
Stability score-12.38
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.01
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate-0.18
Lead Points Retention-0.12
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.22
Trailing Win Rate-0.24
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean-0.32
First Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.40
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.40
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.31
Portability PPG Range-0.89
Portability Score13.07
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.92
Current Team ELO-59.16
Current Opponent ELO59.16
Current ELO Difference-118.3
Expected score-0.17
History Matches4
Residual Mean-0.05
Overperformance-3.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kecskeméti TE

W
Diosgyori VTK1–3Kecskeméti TE2 Nov · away
Pick: Kecskeméti TE 42% · hit
W
Tiszaújváros0–4Kecskeméti TE28 Oct · away
Pick: Kecskeméti TE 48% · hit
W
Kecskeméti TE5–2Karcag SE24 Oct · home
Pick: Kecskeméti TE 50% · hit
L
Mezokovesd-zsory3–1Kecskeméti TE17 Oct · away
Pick: Mezokovesd-zsory 38% · hit
W
Kecskeméti TE3–0Kozarmisleny FC29 Aug · home
Pick: Kecskeméti TE 59% · hit

Nagykanizsai ULE

W
Nagykanizsai ULE1–0Szeged 20111 Nov · home
Pick: Nagykanizsai ULE 52% · hit
L
Kazincbarcikai2–1Nagykanizsai ULE24 Oct · away
Pick: Kazincbarcikai 48% · hit
L
Nagykanizsai ULE0–3Kozarmisleny FC17 Oct · home
Pick: Nagykanizsai ULE 57% · missed
L
Nagykanizsai ULE1–2Tiszakecske FC29 Aug · home
Pick: Nagykanizsai ULE 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kecskeméti TE and Nagykanizsai ULE meet in NB II on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kecskeméti TE win 54.7%, draw 18.7%, Nagykanizsai ULE win 26.6%. The pick is Kecskeméti TE win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.3%. Both teams to score: 58.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.