ScoreProb
V.League 1 Vietnam Round 7 2027

Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An

Hai Phong Home · Elo 1,489
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Song Lam Nghe An Away · Elo 1,454
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hai Phong win
Hai Phong winPick
43.3%
Draw
25.8%
Song Lam Nghe An win
30.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.7%
No48.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%

How much we know

Hai Phong history44 matches
Song Lam Nghe An history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Hai Phong are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hai Phong are rated 36 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,489 against 1,454. On rating alone Hai Phong would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Hai Phong score more

    1.32 goals a game over 44 matches for Hai Phong, against 1.09 over 45 for Song Lam Nghe An.

  • Hai Phong concede fewer

    Hai Phong concede 1.20 a game, Song Lam Nghe An 1.56.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    50% of Hai Phong matches, against 49% for Song Lam Nghe An. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 7 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hai Phong
Song Lam Nghe An
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1489.4
ELO
1453.9
44
ELO · Matches
45
1489.4
Current Team ELO
1453.9
1453.9
Current Opponent ELO
1489.4
35.54
Current ELO Difference
-35.54
0.55
Expected score
0.45
44
History Matches
45
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.04
49.41
Overperformance
46.98
-0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.14
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.60
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
0.80
1.10
Goals for per game
0.90
1.30
Goals against per game
1.80
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.54
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.33
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.66
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.30
Overall performance9 signals
90
44
Matches
45
1.41
PPG
1.11
40.9%
Win rate
28.9%
18.2%
Draw rate
24.4%
40.9%
Loss rate
46.7%
72.7%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
48.9%
22.7%
Over 3.5 rate
24.4%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.45
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
21
2.04
PPG
0.86
60.9%
Win rate
19.0%
21.7%
Draw rate
28.6%
17.4%
Loss rate
52.4%
78.3%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
56.5%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
14.3%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
23
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.32
Goals for per game
1.09
70.5%
Scoring rate
77.8%
47.7%
BTTS rate
62.2%
1.83
Goals for per game
0.86
87.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
52.2%
BTTS rate
52.4%
44
History Matches
45
1.32
Goals Mean
1.09
1.14
Goals Std
0.86
70.5%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
40.9%
Scored 2+ rate
22.2%
15.9%
Scored 3+ rate
6.7%
1.83
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.20
Goals against per game
1.56
70.5%
Conceding rate
82.2%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.52
56.5%
Conceding rate
81.0%
44
History Matches
45
1.20
Conceded Mean
1.56
0.94
Conceded Std
1.18
43.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.2%
6.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.4%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.52
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
29.5%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
29.5%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
29.5%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
29.5%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
29.5%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
44
History Matches
45
0.95
Result entropy
0.96
1.48
Goal Difference Std
1.45
5.22
Stability score
3.63
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
45
14
Lead Matches
8
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
37.5%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
0.54
12
Trailing Matches
14
16.7%
Non-loss rate
21.4%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
0.61
First Half Goals For Mean
0.42
0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
153.0
Rest days
153.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
16
Long Rest History Matches
17
0.94
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.29
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.28
Portability PPG Std
0.43
0.57
Portability PPG Range
0.96
63.73
Portability Score
53.61
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
44
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO35.54
PPG0.30
GF0.23
GA-0.35
PPG1.19
PPG0.20
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate11.8%
Failed-to-score rate7.3%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate24.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std0.28
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate18.7%
Scored 3+ rate9.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.97
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.76
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean-0.35
Conceded Std-0.24
Clean-sheet rate11.8%
Conceded 2+ rate1.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.18
Venue Conceded Mean-0.52
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.32
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.03
Stability score1.59
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.36
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate33.9%
Lead Points Retention0.20
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate9.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.32
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.15
Portability PPG Range-0.39
Portability Score10.11
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.55
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.36
Current Team ELO35.54
Current Opponent ELO-35.54
Current ELO Difference71.08
Expected score0.10
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance2.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hai Phong

W
Hai Phong1–0Bình Phước31 Oct · home
Pick: Hai Phong 42% · hit
L
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh2–1Hai Phong24 Oct · away
Pick: Hai Phong 34% · missed
W
Da Nang1–5Hai Phong17 Oct · away
Pick: Da Nang 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Song Lam Nghe An

D
Song Lam Nghe An1–1Công An Nhân Dân31 Oct · home
Pick: Công An Nhân Dân 59% · missed
W
Hoang Anh Gia Lai0–2Song Lam Nghe An23 Oct · away
Pick: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 38% · missed
D
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh2–2Song Lam Nghe An17 Oct · away
Pick: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 36% · missed
W
Lam Dong0–2Song Lam Nghe An6 Oct · away
Pick: Lam Dong 34% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hai Phong and Song Lam Nghe An meet in V.League 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hai Phong win 43.3%, draw 25.8%, Song Lam Nghe An win 30.9%. The pick is Hai Phong win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.0%. Both teams to score: 51.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.