ScoreProb
Liga Alef Israel South - 10 2026

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon vs Hapoel Herzliya

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon Home · Elo 1,434
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hapoel Herzliya Away · Elo 1,456
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon winPick
43.0%
Draw
24.0%
Hapoel Herzliya win
33.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.0%
No48.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%

How much we know

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon history39 matches
Hapoel Herzliya history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Hapoel Ramat HaSharon are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,434 against 1,456. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Hapoel Herzliya score more

    1.05 goals a game over 39 matches for Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, against 1.18 over 33 for Hapoel Herzliya.

  • Hapoel Herzliya concede fewer

    Hapoel Ramat HaSharon concede 1.97 a game, Hapoel Herzliya 1.61.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    49% of Hapoel Ramat HaSharon matches, against 55% for Hapoel Herzliya. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 27 Feb 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
Hapoel Herzliya
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1433.8
ELO
1456.0
39
ELO · Matches
33
1433.8
Current Team ELO
1456.0
1456.0
Current Opponent ELO
1433.8
-22.14
Current ELO Difference
22.14
0.47
Expected score
0.53
39
History Matches
33
-0.08
Residual Mean
-0.06
44.40
Overperformance
46.02
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.22
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
0.40
1.60
Goals for per game
0.40
2.40
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.60
1.70
Goals for per game
0.70
1.70
Goals against per game
1.70
30.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
0.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.90
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.42
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.61
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
33
0.92
PPG
1.18
23.1%
Win rate
30.3%
23.1%
Draw rate
27.3%
53.8%
Loss rate
42.4%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
72.7%
48.7%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
28.2%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
16
1.16
PPG
1.13
31.6%
Win rate
31.3%
21.1%
Draw rate
18.8%
47.4%
Loss rate
50.0%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
62.5%
52.6%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
21.1%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.66
19
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.05
Goals for per game
1.18
64.1%
Scoring rate
66.7%
51.3%
BTTS rate
54.5%
1.21
Goals for per game
0.94
68.4%
Scoring rate
50.0%
52.6%
BTTS rate
37.5%
39
History Matches
33
1.05
Goals Mean
1.18
1.04
Goals Std
1.29
64.1%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
28.2%
Scored 2+ rate
30.3%
10.3%
Scored 3+ rate
9.1%
1.21
Venue Goals Mean
0.94
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.97
Goals against per game
1.61
82.1%
Conceding rate
81.8%
1.58
Goals against per game
1.50
78.9%
Conceding rate
81.3%
39
History Matches
33
1.97
Conceded Mean
1.61
1.72
Conceded Std
1.28
59.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.4%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.2%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
35.9%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
35.9%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
18.8%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
17.9%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
33
0.92
Result entropy
0.98
2.06
Goal Difference Std
1.92
8.06
Stability score
1.70
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
39
Eligible Matches
33
6
Lead Matches
8
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.72
Lead Points Retention
0.83
16
Trailing Matches
9
18.8%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
6.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
39
Halftime Coverage Matches
33
0.41
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
0.64
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
1.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
253.8
Rest days
253.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
21
Normal Rest History Matches
14
0.62
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.64
14
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.14
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.59
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.25
0.03
Portability PPG Range
0.50
96.89
Portability Score
66.67
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-22.14
PPG-0.26
GF-0.13
GA0.37
PPG0.03
PPG0.00
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate2.6%
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate2.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches6
Goals Mean-0.13
Goals Std-0.25
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate1.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.27
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.26
History Matches6
Conceded Mean0.37
Conceded Std0.44
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Conceded 2+ rate16.6%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean0.08
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.32
History Matches6
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.13
Stability score6.35
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.52
Eligible Matches6
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.11
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate6.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.23
Portability PPG Range-0.47
Portability Score30.22
Rest days0.67
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match2.33
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.02
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Current Team ELO-22.14
Current Opponent ELO22.14
Current ELO Difference-44.29
Expected score-0.06
History Matches6
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.62
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.31

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

D
Maccabi Ashdod1–1Hapoel Ramat HaSharon2 Nov · away
Pick: Maccabi Ashdod 39% · missed
L
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon0–2Dimona23 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 40% · missed
W
Kfar Saba 19280–1Hapoel Ramat HaSharon19 Oct · away
Pick: Kfar Saba 1928 40% · missed
W
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon2–0Bnei Eilat12 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon 63% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hapoel Herzliya

L
Dimona7–0Hapoel Herzliya30 Oct · away
Pick: Dimona 46% · hit
D
Hapoel Sderot2–2Hapoel Herzliya19 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Sderot 35% · missed
L
Hapoel Herzliya0–1Hapoel Azor12 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Herzliya 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon and Hapoel Herzliya meet in Liga Alef on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win 43.0%, draw 24.0%, Hapoel Herzliya win 33.0%. The pick is Hapoel Ramat HaSharon win. Over 2.5 goals: 52.5%. Both teams to score: 52.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.