ScoreProb
Liga Leumit Israel Round 13 2026

Hapoel Rishon LeZion vs Hapoel Ra'anana

Hapoel Rishon LeZion Home · Elo 1,492
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hapoel Ra'anana Away · Elo 1,524
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion win
Hapoel Rishon LeZion winPick
38.1%
Draw
28.4%
Hapoel Ra'anana win
33.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.8%
No51.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%

How much we know

Hapoel Rishon LeZion history57 matches
Hapoel Ra'anana history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Hapoel Rishon LeZion are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hapoel Ra'anana are rated 31 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,524 against 1,492. On rating alone Hapoel Ra'anana would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Hapoel Rishon LeZion score more

    1.40 goals a game over 57 matches for Hapoel Rishon LeZion, against 1.16 over 57 for Hapoel Ra'anana.

  • Hapoel Ra'anana concede fewer

    Hapoel Rishon LeZion concede 1.40 a game, Hapoel Ra'anana 1.11.

  • Hapoel Rishon LeZion games more often go over 2.5 goals

    51% of Hapoel Rishon LeZion matches, against 40% for Hapoel Ra'anana. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Ra'anana@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1492.5
ELO
1523.6
57
ELO · Matches
57
1492.5
Current Team ELO
1523.6
1523.6
Current Opponent ELO
1492.5
-31.16
Current ELO Difference
31.16
0.46
Expected score
0.54
57
History Matches
57
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
49.42
Overperformance
51.63
-0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.20
1.40
Goals for per game
2.40
2.20
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
1.90
1.10
Goals for per game
1.80
2.40
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.33
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.69
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.17
Overall performance9 signals
90
57
Matches
57
1.37
PPG
1.44
36.8%
Win rate
38.6%
26.3%
Draw rate
28.1%
36.8%
Loss rate
33.3%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
50.9%
Over 2.5 rate
40.4%
26.3%
Over 3.5 rate
17.5%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.46
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
28
1.43
PPG
1.64
39.3%
Win rate
46.4%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
35.7%
Loss rate
28.6%
82.1%
Over 1.5 rate
57.1%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
28.6%
35.7%
Over 3.5 rate
10.7%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.46
28
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.40
Goals for per game
1.16
75.4%
Scoring rate
70.2%
63.2%
BTTS rate
45.6%
1.57
Goals for per game
1.11
78.6%
Scoring rate
60.7%
64.3%
BTTS rate
28.6%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
57
History Matches
57
1.40
Goals Mean
1.16
1.30
Goals Std
0.97
75.4%
Scored 1+ rate
70.2%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
36.8%
21.1%
Scored 3+ rate
7.0%
1.57
Venue Goals Mean
1.11
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.40
Goals against per game
1.11
82.5%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.39
Goals against per game
0.82
78.6%
Conceding rate
53.6%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
57
History Matches
57
1.40
Conceded Mean
1.11
1.12
Conceded Std
1.04
40.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.8%
8.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.3%
1.39
Venue Conceded Mean
0.82
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.5%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
24.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
21.4%
Clean-sheet rate
46.4%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
39.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
17.5%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
24.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.8%
21.4%
Clean-sheet rate
46.4%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
39.3%
17.5%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
57
History Matches
57
0.99
Result entropy
0.99
1.83
Goal Difference Std
1.46
1.05
Stability score
0.76
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
57
Eligible Matches
57
14
Lead Matches
14
78.6%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.83
17
Trailing Matches
13
5.9%
Non-loss rate
15.4%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
15.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
73.88
Rest days
74.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
39
Normal Rest History Matches
42
1.38
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.38
15
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.42
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.50
5
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.06
Portability PPG Std
0.02
0.11
Portability PPG Range
0.06
89.83
Portability Score
95.49
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
57
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-31.16
PPG-0.07
GF0.25
GA0.30
PPG0.00
PPG-0.21
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.25
Goals Std0.33
Scored 1+ rate5.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate14.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.50
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.08
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Conceded 2+ rate10.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean0.57
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.69
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.37
Stability score0.29
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.84
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.10
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range0.06
Portability Score-5.66
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.00
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.05
Current Team ELO-31.16
Current Opponent ELO31.16
Current ELO Difference-62.32
Expected score-0.09
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.37

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hapoel Rishon LeZion

D
Hapoel Acre2–2Hapoel Rishon LeZion30 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 45% · missed
W
Dimona2–3Hapoel Rishon LeZion26 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 40% · hit
L
Hapoel Rishon LeZion0–3Hapoel Kfar Shalem23 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 51% · missed
D
Maccabi Bnei Raina1–1Hapoel Rishon LeZion19 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 41% · missed
W
Hapoel Rishon LeZion3–0Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa12 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Rishon LeZion 52% · hit

Hapoel Ra'anana

W
Hapoel Ra'anana3–2Kiryat Yam SC2 Nov · home
Pick: Hapoel Ra'anana 47% · hit
W
Hapoel Acre0–1Hapoel Ra'anana23 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Ra'anana 38% · hit
D
Hapoel Ra'anana1–1Bnei Yehuda19 Oct · home
Pick: Bnei Yehuda 44% · missed
L
Hapoel Kfar Shalem2–1Hapoel Ra'anana12 Oct · away
Pick: Hapoel Ra'anana 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hapoel Rishon LeZion and Hapoel Ra'anana meet in Liga Leumit on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Hapoel Rishon LeZion win 38.1%, draw 28.4%, Hapoel Ra'anana win 33.5%. The pick is Hapoel Rishon LeZion win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.2%. Both teams to score: 48.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.