ScoreProb
U19 Bundesliga Germany Preliminary 2026

Heidenheim U19 vs Sandhausen U19

Heidenheim U19 Home · Elo 1,587
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sandhausen U19 Away · Elo 1,463
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Heidenheim U19 win
Heidenheim U19 winPick
79.0%
Draw
11.4%
Sandhausen U19 win
9.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.1%
No44.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.583.4%
Under 2.516.6%

How much we know

Heidenheim U19 history41 matches
Sandhausen U19 history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (79.0%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Heidenheim U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Heidenheim U19 are rated 124 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,587 against 1,463. On rating alone Heidenheim U19 would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.07 goals a game over 41 matches for Heidenheim U19, against 1.90 over 40 for Sandhausen U19.

  • Heidenheim U19 concede fewer

    Heidenheim U19 concede 1.34 a game, Sandhausen U19 2.33.

  • Sandhausen U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    54% of Heidenheim U19 matches, against 80% for Sandhausen U19. The model puts this match at 83% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Heidenheim U19
Sandhausen U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1586.9
ELO
1463.3
41
ELO · Matches
40
1586.9
Current Team ELO
1463.3
1463.3
Current Opponent ELO
1586.9
123.6
Current ELO Difference
-123.6
0.67
Expected score
0.33
41
History Matches
40
0.10
Residual Mean
-0.04
56.65
Overperformance
47.25
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
3.00
PPG
0.60
3.20
Goals for per game
1.40
0.40
Goals against per game
3.80
100.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.50
2.00
Goals for per game
2.10
0.90
Goals against per game
2.70
60.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.51
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.70
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.00
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
2.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
41
Matches
40
1.76
PPG
1.28
53.7%
Win rate
40.0%
14.6%
Draw rate
7.5%
31.7%
Loss rate
52.5%
78.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
53.7%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
46.3%
Over 3.5 rate
67.5%
2.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.66
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
19
2.00
PPG
1.16
63.2%
Win rate
36.8%
10.5%
Draw rate
5.3%
26.3%
Loss rate
57.9%
78.9%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
63.2%
Over 2.5 rate
84.2%
52.6%
Over 3.5 rate
68.4%
2.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.74
19
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.07
Goals for per game
1.90
80.5%
Scoring rate
77.5%
53.7%
BTTS rate
62.5%
2.53
Goals for per game
1.63
84.2%
Scoring rate
73.7%
63.2%
BTTS rate
57.9%
3.75
Goals for per game
1.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
41
History Matches
40
2.07
Goals Mean
1.90
1.84
Goals Std
1.41
80.5%
Scored 1+ rate
77.5%
51.2%
Scored 2+ rate
60.0%
36.6%
Scored 3+ rate
35.0%
2.53
Venue Goals Mean
1.63
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.34
Goals against per game
2.33
70.7%
Conceding rate
85.0%
1.32
Goals against per game
2.58
78.9%
Conceding rate
84.2%
0.50
Goals against per game
3.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
41
History Matches
40
1.34
Conceded Mean
2.33
1.12
Conceded Std
1.85
43.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.0%
17.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
37.5%
1.32
Venue Conceded Mean
2.58
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
19.5%
Failed-to-score rate
22.5%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
19.5%
Failed-to-score rate
22.5%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
15.8%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
41
History Matches
40
0.89
Result entropy
0.82
2.21
Goal Difference Std
2.66
10.84
Stability score
18.16
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
41
Eligible Matches
40
15
Lead Matches
15
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.91
9
Trailing Matches
16
22.2%
Non-loss rate
6.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
0.88
First Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.13
1.20
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.04
Rest days
76.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
15
Normal Rest History Matches
14
1.80
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.93
24
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.58
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
3.00
PPG
0.75
100.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
1.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.59
4
Current Competition Matches
4
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.75
3.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.75
5
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.81
Portability PPG Std
0.32
2.22
Portability PPG Range
0.75
38.07
Portability Score
61.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
41
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO123.6
PPG0.48
GF0.17
GA-0.98
PPG2.25
PPG0.84
PPG2.40
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate14.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.17
Goals Std0.43
Scored 1+ rate3.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.09
Scored 3+ rate1.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.89
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.38
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.98
Conceded Std-0.73
Clean-sheet rate14.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.16
Conceded 3+ rate-0.20
Venue Conceded Mean-1.26
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.06
History Matches1
Result entropy0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.45
Stability score-7.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.57
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate6.7%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate16.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.42
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.50
Portability PPG Range1.47
Portability Score-23.08
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.87
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.17
Current Team ELO123.6
Current Opponent ELO-123.6
Current ELO Difference247.2
Expected score0.34
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.14
Overperformance9.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Heidenheim U19

W
Stuttgarter K'rs U191–4Heidenheim U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Heidenheim U19 73% · hit
W
Heidenheim U197–0Ulm U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Heidenheim U19 78% · hit
D
Karlsruher SC U192–2Heidenheim U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Heidenheim U19 52% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Sandhausen U19

L
Hoffenheim U199–0Sandhausen U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Hoffenheim U19 80% · hit
L
Sandhausen U191–4Freiburg U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Freiburg U19 62% · hit
D
Stuttgarter K'rs U195–5Sandhausen U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Sandhausen U19 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Heidenheim U19 and Sandhausen U19 meet in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Heidenheim U19 win 79.0%, draw 11.4%, Sandhausen U19 win 9.6%. The pick is Heidenheim U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 83.4%. Both teams to score: 55.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.