ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie E Czechia Group E - 15 2026

Hluk vs Tatran Všechovice

Hluk Home · Elo 1,483
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tatran Všechovice Away · Elo 1,577
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Tatran Všechovice win
Hluk win
17.5%
Draw
19.7%
Tatran Všechovice winPick
62.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes69.6%
No30.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.4%
Under 2.525.6%

How much we know

Hluk history5 matches
Tatran Všechovice history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.9%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Tatran Všechovice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Tatran Všechovice are rated 94 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,577 against 1,483. On rating alone Tatran Všechovice would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • Hluk score more

    2.60 goals a game over 5 matches for Hluk, against 2.15 over 46 for Tatran Všechovice.

  • Tatran Všechovice concede fewer

    Hluk concede 2.60 a game, Tatran Všechovice 1.57.

  • Hluk games more often go over 2.5 goals

    80% of Hluk matches, against 67% for Tatran Všechovice. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hluk
Tatran Všechovice
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1483.1
ELO
1577.1
5
ELO · Matches
46
1483.1
Current Team ELO
1577.1
1577.1
Current Opponent ELO
1483.1
-93.98
Current ELO Difference
93.98
0.37
Expected score
0.63
5
History Matches
46
-0.15
Residual Mean
0.08
46.96
Overperformance
55.49
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.20
2.60
Goals for per game
2.80
2.60
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
5
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.90
2.60
Goals for per game
2.40
2.60
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.85
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.67
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
5
Matches
46
1.00
PPG
1.70
20.0%
Win rate
47.8%
40.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
40.0%
Loss rate
26.1%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
93.5%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
67.4%
80.0%
Over 3.5 rate
52.2%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.19
Venue performance10 signals
100
3
Matches
24
1.00
PPG
1.79
33.3%
Win rate
54.2%
0.0%
Draw rate
16.7%
66.7%
Loss rate
29.2%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
2.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.41
3
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.60
Goals for per game
2.15
100.0%
Scoring rate
89.1%
100.0%
BTTS rate
73.9%
2.33
Goals for per game
2.25
100.0%
Scoring rate
83.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
62.5%
2.00
Goals for per game
3.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
5
History Matches
46
2.60
Goals Mean
2.15
1.62
Goals Std
1.57
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
89.1%
60.0%
Scored 2+ rate
54.3%
40.0%
Scored 3+ rate
37.0%
2.33
Venue Goals Mean
2.25
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.60
Goals against per game
1.57
100.0%
Conceding rate
84.8%
2.33
Goals against per game
1.71
100.0%
Conceding rate
79.2%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
5
History Matches
46
2.60
Conceded Mean
1.57
1.50
Conceded Std
1.19
60.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.5%
60.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.6%
2.33
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
10.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
10.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
5
History Matches
46
0.96
Result entropy
0.96
1.67
Goal Difference Std
2.19
3.98
Stability score
4.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
4
Eligible Matches
46
1
Lead Matches
17
0.0%
Lead Win Rate
88.2%
0.33
Lead Points Retention
0.90
2
Trailing Matches
11
0.0%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.98
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
1.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.17
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.92
Rest days
76.20
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
3
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.67
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.96
1
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.37
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.67
3
Competition Season Count
6
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.66
—
Portability PPG Range
1.57
—
Portability Score
43.08
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
5
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-93.98
PPG-0.70
GF0.45
GA1.03
PPG-1.67
PPG-0.79
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-41
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-21
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-41
Goals Mean0.45
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate10.9%
Scored 2+ rate5.7%
Scored 3+ rate3.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches-41
Conceded Mean1.03
Conceded Std0.31
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate16.5%
Conceded 3+ rate40.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.63
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.57
History Matches-41
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.52
Stability score-0.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.35
Eligible Matches-42
Lead Matches-16
Lead Win Rate-0.88
Lead Points Retention-0.57
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate-0.27
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-42
First Half Goals For Mean-0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean0.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.33
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days1.72
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-23
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Long Rest History Matches-18
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.37
Current Team ELO-93.98
Current Opponent ELO93.98
Current ELO Difference-188.0
Expected score-0.26
History Matches-41
Residual Mean-0.23
Overperformance-8.54
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.26

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hluk

L
Slavičín3–1Hluk1 Nov · away
Pick: Slavičín 52% · hit
D
Sokol Lanžhot1–1Hluk18 Oct · away
Pick: Sokol Lanžhot 54% · missed
D
Prostejov B3–3Hluk29 Aug · away
Pick: Hluk 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Tatran Všechovice

W
Tatran Všechovice5–0Břeclav31 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 64% · hit
L
Holešov2–1Tatran Všechovice24 Oct · away
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 47% · missed
W
Tatran Všechovice3–0Brumov18 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 65% · hit
W
Tatran Všechovice2–1Prostejov B4 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 75% · hit
W
Tatran Všechovice2–0SK Krumvir30 Aug · home
Pick: Tatran Všechovice 63% · hit

About this match

Hluk and Tatran Všechovice meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hluk win 17.5%, draw 19.7%, Tatran Všechovice win 62.9%. The pick is Tatran Všechovice win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.4%. Both teams to score: 69.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.