ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie E Czechia Group E - 15 2026

Kozlovice vs Slavičín

Kozlovice Home · Elo 1,563
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Slavičín Away · Elo 1,482
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kozlovice win
Kozlovice winPick
64.4%
Draw
17.2%
Slavičín win
18.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.8%
No38.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%

How much we know

Kozlovice history54 matches
Slavičín history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (64.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Kozlovice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kozlovice are rated 81 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,563 against 1,482. On rating alone Kozlovice would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Kozlovice score more

    1.94 goals a game over 54 matches for Kozlovice, against 1.44 over 45 for Slavičín.

  • Kozlovice concede fewer

    Kozlovice concede 1.46 a game, Slavičín 1.67.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Kozlovice matches, against 60% for Slavičín. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kozlovice
Slavičín
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1562.7
ELO
1481.6
54
ELO · Matches
45
1562.7
Current Team ELO
1481.6
1481.6
Current Opponent ELO
1562.7
81.11
Current ELO Difference
-81.11
0.61
Expected score
0.39
54
History Matches
45
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.02
54.35
Overperformance
48.83
0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.20
2.40
Goals for per game
2.00
1.20
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
1.60
2.50
Goals for per game
1.90
1.10
Goals against per game
1.70
70.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.80
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
45
1.65
PPG
1.22
44.4%
Win rate
35.6%
31.5%
Draw rate
15.6%
24.1%
Loss rate
48.9%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
59.3%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
51.9%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
22
2.00
PPG
1.23
57.1%
Win rate
36.4%
28.6%
Draw rate
13.6%
14.3%
Loss rate
50.0%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
86.4%
67.9%
Over 2.5 rate
68.2%
64.3%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.07
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
28
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.94
Goals for per game
1.44
81.5%
Scoring rate
86.7%
68.5%
BTTS rate
68.9%
2.39
Goals for per game
1.68
89.3%
Scoring rate
90.9%
78.6%
BTTS rate
77.3%
2.67
Goals for per game
1.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
45
1.94
Goals Mean
1.44
1.60
Goals Std
1.04
81.5%
Scored 1+ rate
86.7%
48.1%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
35.2%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
2.39
Venue Goals Mean
1.68
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.46
Goals against per game
1.67
77.8%
Conceding rate
77.8%
1.54
Goals against per game
1.86
85.7%
Conceding rate
86.4%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
45
1.46
Conceded Mean
1.67
1.38
Conceded Std
1.37
37.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.9%
18.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.4%
1.54
Venue Conceded Mean
1.86
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
18.5%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.6%
10.7%
Failed-to-score rate
9.1%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
18.5%
Failed-to-score rate
13.3%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
13.6%
10.7%
Failed-to-score rate
9.1%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
45
0.97
Result entropy
0.92
2.11
Goal Difference Std
1.70
2.87
Stability score
8.34
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
45
13
Lead Matches
10
92.3%
Lead Win Rate
90.0%
0.95
Lead Points Retention
0.90
12
Trailing Matches
15
50.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
0.89
First Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.80
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
1.06
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.94
Rest days
77.20
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
27
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.74
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
25
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.56
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.22
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
7
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.89
Portability PPG Std
0.41
2.33
Portability PPG Range
1.01
35.84
Portability Score
54.66
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO81.11
PPG0.43
GF0.50
GA-0.20
PPG1.33
PPG0.77
PPG1.00
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate5.2%
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate0.6%
Failed-to-score rate1.6%
History Matches9
Goals Mean0.50
Goals Std0.56
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate14.8%
Scored 3+ rate15.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.71
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.64
History Matches9
Conceded Mean-0.20
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.48
History Matches9
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.42
Stability score-5.47
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.20
Eligible Matches9
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate2.3%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate30.0%
Trailing Win Rate18.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches9
First Half Goals For Mean0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.13
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.33
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.48
Portability PPG Range1.32
Portability Score-18.82
Rest days-0.26
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.46
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.34
Current Team ELO81.11
Current Opponent ELO-81.11
Current ELO Difference162.2
Expected score0.23
History Matches9
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.16

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kozlovice

W
Nové Sady1–2Kozlovice31 Oct · away
Pick: Kozlovice 71% · hit
D
Kozlovice0–0Sokol Lanžhot25 Oct · home
Pick: Kozlovice 63% · missed
L
SK Krumvir3–0Kozlovice17 Oct · away
Pick: SK Krumvir 37% · hit
D
Kozlovice1–1Břeclav4 Oct · home
Pick: Kozlovice 58% · missed
W
Kroměříž II0–1Kozlovice30 Aug · away
Pick: Kozlovice 81% · hit

Slavičín

W
Slavičín3–1Hluk1 Nov · home
Pick: Slavičín 52% · hit
W
Břeclav0–2Slavičín24 Oct · away
Pick: Břeclav 51% · missed
W
Slavičín2–0Holešov18 Oct · home
Pick: Holešov 41% · missed
W
Bzenec3–4Slavičín29 Aug · away
Pick: Bzenec 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kozlovice and Slavičín meet in 4. liga - Divizie E on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Kozlovice win 64.4%, draw 17.2%, Slavičín win 18.4%. The pick is Kozlovice win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.2%. Both teams to score: 61.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.