ScoreProb
Allsvenskan Sweden Round 28 2026

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

IF Brommapojkarna Home · Elo 1,509
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Mjallby AIF Away · Elo 1,618
Grimsta IP, Stockholm Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: IF Brommapojkarna win
IF Brommapojkarna winPick
38.4%
Draw
27.4%
Mjallby AIF win
34.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.1%
No46.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.552.1%
Under 2.547.9%

How much we know

IF Brommapojkarna history72 matches
Mjallby AIF history74 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.4%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why IF Brommapojkarna are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Mjallby AIF are rated 109 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,618 against 1,509. On rating alone Mjallby AIF would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Mjallby AIF score more

    1.40 goals a game over 72 matches for IF Brommapojkarna, against 1.88 over 74 for Mjallby AIF.

  • Mjallby AIF concede fewer

    IF Brommapojkarna concede 1.44 a game, Mjallby AIF 0.96.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    54% of IF Brommapojkarna matches, against 54% for Mjallby AIF. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
IF Brommapojkarna
Mjallby AIF
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1509.4
ELO
1618.0
72
ELO · Matches
74
1509.4
Current Team ELO
1618.0
1618.0
Current Opponent ELO
1509.4
-108.5
Current ELO Difference
108.5
0.35
Expected score
0.65
72
History Matches
74
0.01
Residual Mean
0.08
50.88
Overperformance
56.34
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
0.90
1.40
Goals for per game
1.40
1.50
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.56
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
0.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.22
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.33
Overall performance9 signals
90
72
Matches
74
1.25
PPG
1.96
34.7%
Win rate
58.1%
20.8%
Draw rate
21.6%
44.4%
Loss rate
20.3%
80.6%
Over 1.5 rate
78.4%
54.2%
Over 2.5 rate
54.1%
26.4%
Over 3.5 rate
28.4%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
37
Matches
35
1.24
PPG
1.74
35.1%
Win rate
48.6%
18.9%
Draw rate
28.6%
45.9%
Loss rate
22.9%
75.7%
Over 1.5 rate
77.1%
51.4%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
32.4%
Over 3.5 rate
34.3%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
37
History Matches
35
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.40
Goals for per game
1.88
75.0%
Scoring rate
83.8%
54.2%
BTTS rate
47.3%
1.43
Goals for per game
1.80
78.4%
Scoring rate
80.0%
54.1%
BTTS rate
51.4%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.50
88.9%
Scoring rate
62.5%
77.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
72
History Matches
74
1.40
Goals Mean
1.88
1.24
Goals Std
1.34
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
83.8%
38.9%
Scored 2+ rate
55.4%
18.1%
Scored 3+ rate
32.4%
1.43
Venue Goals Mean
1.80
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.44
Goals against per game
0.96
76.4%
Conceding rate
58.1%
1.46
Goals against per game
1.17
73.0%
Conceding rate
62.9%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.44
88.9%
Conceding rate
75.0%
72
History Matches
74
1.44
Conceded Mean
0.96
1.12
Conceded Std
1.08
47.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
24.3%
15.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.5%
1.46
Venue Conceded Mean
1.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.6%
Clean-sheet rate
41.9%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.2%
27.0%
Clean-sheet rate
37.1%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
23.6%
Clean-sheet rate
41.9%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.2%
27.0%
Clean-sheet rate
37.1%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
23.6%
Clean-sheet rate
41.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
72
History Matches
74
0.96
Result entropy
0.88
1.66
Goal Difference Std
1.73
4.02
Stability score
11.70
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
71
Eligible Matches
74
15
Lead Matches
30
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.86
22
Trailing Matches
12
22.7%
Non-loss rate
58.3%
4.5%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
71
Halftime Coverage Matches
74
0.49
First Half Goals For Mean
0.82
0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.93
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.05
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.57
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
85.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.75
37
Normal Rest History Matches
46
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.96
31
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.42
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.09
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
16
1.33
PPG
1.25
33.3%
Win rate
31.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
31.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
37.5%
94.4%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
72.2%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
18
Current Competition Matches
16
1.33
Current Competition PPG
1.25
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.06
6
Competition Season Count
8
6
Eligible Competition Season Count
7
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.65
1.35
Portability PPG Range
1.71
52.38
Portability Score
43.47
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
72
Clean History Matches
74
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-108.5
PPG-0.71
GF-0.48
GA0.48
PPG0.08
PPG-0.50
PPG0.80
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate8.8%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate1.6%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.48
Goals Std-0.09
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean-0.37
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.76
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.48
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate22.9%
Conceded 3+ rate5.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.29
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.61
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score-7.68
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.11
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-15
Lead Win Rate-0.20
Lead Points Retention-0.17
Trailing Matches10
Non-loss rate-0.36
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Current Competition Matches2
Current Competition PPG0.08
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.06
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.36
Portability Score8.90
Rest days-8.06
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.75
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.71
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Current Team ELO-108.5
Current Opponent ELO108.5
Current ELO Difference-217.1
Expected score-0.30
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-5.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

IF Brommapojkarna

L
Vasteras SK FK1–0IF Brommapojkarna1 Nov · away
Pick: Vasteras SK FK 40% · hit
D
IF Brommapojkarna0–0BK Hacken28 Oct · home
Pick: BK Hacken 38% · missed
W
Kalmar FF0–3IF Brommapojkarna24 Oct · away
Pick: Kalmar FF 40% · missed
L
IF Brommapojkarna0–2Djurgardens IF16 Oct · home
Pick: Djurgardens IF 40% · hit
L
Gais4–0IF Brommapojkarna31 Aug · away
Pick: Gais 45% · hit

Mjallby AIF

D
Mjallby AIF0–0Kalmar FF2 Nov · home
Pick: Mjallby AIF 58% · missed
W
Orgryte IS1–2Mjallby AIF29 Oct · away
Pick: Mjallby AIF 45% · hit
L
Mjallby AIF0–2Hammarby FF25 Oct · home
Pick: Hammarby FF 45% · hit
D
Saburtalo1–1Mjallby AIF22 Oct · away
Pick: Saburtalo 47% · missed
L
Vasteras SK FK1–0Mjallby AIF18 Oct · away
Pick: Mjallby AIF 42% · missed

About this match

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF meet in Allsvenskan on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. The match is played at Grimsta IP, Stockholm. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: IF Brommapojkarna win 38.4%, draw 27.4%, Mjallby AIF win 34.2%. The pick is IF Brommapojkarna win. Over 2.5 goals: 52.1%. Both teams to score: 53.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.