ScoreProb
Indian Super League India Round 5 2026

Inter Kashi vs SC Delhi

Inter Kashi Home · Elo 1,487
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
SC Delhi Away · Elo 1,456
Kalyani Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Inter Kashi win
Inter Kashi winPick
56.3%
Draw
23.0%
SC Delhi win
20.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.4%
No46.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.0%
Under 2.544.0%

How much we know

Inter Kashi history30 matches
SC Delhi history16 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.3%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Inter Kashi are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Inter Kashi are rated 31 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,487 against 1,456. On rating alone Inter Kashi would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Inter Kashi score more

    1.17 goals a game over 30 matches for Inter Kashi, against 1.00 over 16 for SC Delhi.

  • Inter Kashi concede fewer

    Inter Kashi concede 1.40 a game, SC Delhi 1.63.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    57% of Inter Kashi matches, against 56% for SC Delhi. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Inter Kashi
SC Delhi@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1486.6
ELO
1455.6
30
ELO · Matches
16
1486.6
Current Team ELO
1455.6
1455.6
Current Opponent ELO
1486.6
31.02
Current ELO Difference
-31.02
0.54
Expected score
0.46
30
History Matches
16
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.15
47.52
Overperformance
43.40
-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
0.60
0.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.10
0.80
Goals for per game
1.20
1.50
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.89
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.25
Overall performance9 signals
90
30
Matches
16
1.23
PPG
0.75
30.0%
Win rate
12.5%
33.3%
Draw rate
37.5%
36.7%
Loss rate
50.0%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
56.7%
Over 2.5 rate
56.3%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
1.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
Venue performance10 signals
100
12
Matches
9
1.25
PPG
0.56
41.7%
Win rate
11.1%
0.0%
Draw rate
22.2%
58.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
41.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.44
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
12
History Matches
9
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.17
Goals for per game
1.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
62.5%
56.7%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.33
Goals for per game
1.00
75.0%
Scoring rate
55.6%
66.7%
BTTS rate
44.4%
30
History Matches
16
1.17
Goals Mean
1.00
1.04
Goals Std
0.94
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
62.5%
36.7%
Scored 2+ rate
31.3%
13.3%
Scored 3+ rate
6.3%
1.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.40
Goals against per game
1.63
76.7%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.75
Goals against per game
1.89
91.7%
Conceding rate
88.9%
30
History Matches
16
1.40
Conceded Mean
1.63
1.02
Conceded Std
1.27
46.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.3%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.8%
1.75
Venue Conceded Mean
1.89
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
8.3%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
30
History Matches
16
1.00
Result entropy
0.89
1.38
Goal Difference Std
1.62
0.30
Stability score
11.31
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
30
Eligible Matches
16
8
Lead Matches
2
62.5%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.67
8
Trailing Matches
9
12.5%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
30
Halftime Coverage Matches
16
0.47
First Half Goals For Mean
0.31
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.19
0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
169.9
Rest days
169.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
17
Normal Rest History Matches
8
1.41
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.50
11
Long Rest History Matches
6
1.09
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.17
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.61
Portability PPG Std
0.26
1.50
Portability PPG Range
0.51
44.90
Portability Score
66.10
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
30
Clean History Matches
16
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO31.02
PPG0.48
GF0.17
GA-0.23
PPG0.69
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches14
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches14
Goals Mean0.17
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate4.2%
Scored 2+ rate5.4%
Scored 3+ rate7.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches14
Conceded Mean-0.23
Conceded Std-0.25
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches14
Result entropy0.11
Goal Difference Std-0.23
Stability score-11.01
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.06
Eligible Matches14
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate12.5%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches14
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.46
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.36
Portability PPG Range0.99
Portability Score-21.20
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.91
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Current Team ELO31.02
Current Opponent ELO-31.02
Current ELO Difference62.03
Expected score0.09
History Matches14
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance4.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Inter Kashi

L
Inter Kashi1–2Goa1 Nov · home
Pick: Goa 44% · hit
L
Inter Kashi1–5East Bengal II23 Oct · home
Pick: East Bengal II 43% · hit
D
Inter Kashi1–1Odisha17 Oct · home
Pick: Inter Kashi 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

SC Delhi

W
Mumbai City2–3SC Delhi1 Nov · away
Pick: Mumbai City 55% · missed
D
Goa1–1SC Delhi28 Oct · away
Pick: Goa 68% · missed
L
SC Delhi1–2ATK Mohun Bagan16 Oct · home
Pick: ATK Mohun Bagan 49% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Inter Kashi and SC Delhi meet in Indian Super League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. The match is played at Kalyani Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Inter Kashi win 56.3%, draw 23.0%, SC Delhi win 20.7%. The pick is Inter Kashi win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.0%. Both teams to score: 53.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.