ScoreProb
U18 Premier League - South England 2026

Ipswich Town U18 vs Tottenham Hotspur U18

Ipswich Town U18 Home · Elo 1,422
Wed 4 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tottenham Hotspur U18 Away · Elo 1,581
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Tottenham Hotspur U18 win
Ipswich Town U18 win
6.8%
Draw
10.3%
Tottenham Hotspur U18 winPick
82.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes67.3%
No32.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.583.6%
Under 2.516.4%

How much we know

Ipswich Town U18 history32 matches
Tottenham Hotspur U18 history43 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 7 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 31 Oct · 01:48 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    4 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (82.9%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Tottenham Hotspur U18 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Tottenham Hotspur U18 are rated 159 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,581 against 1,422. On rating alone Tottenham Hotspur U18 would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.

  • Tottenham Hotspur U18 score far more

    1.56 goals a game over 32 matches for Ipswich Town U18, against 2.72 over 43 for Tottenham Hotspur U18.

  • Tottenham Hotspur U18 concede fewer

    Ipswich Town U18 concede 3.19 a game, Tottenham Hotspur U18 1.51.

  • Ipswich Town U18 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    94% of Ipswich Town U18 matches, against 77% for Tottenham Hotspur U18. The model puts this match at 84% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ipswich Town U18
Tottenham Hotspur U18
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1421.8
ELO
1581.2
32
ELO · Matches
43
1421.8
Current Team ELO
1581.2
1581.2
Current Opponent ELO
1421.8
-159.4
Current ELO Difference
159.4
0.29
Expected score
0.71
32
History Matches
43
-0.13
Residual Mean
0.09
42.29
Overperformance
56.23
-0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
2.00
2.40
Goals for per game
4.00
4.60
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.60
PPG
1.70
1.90
Goals for per game
2.90
4.10
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.90
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.97
4.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
2.26
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.41
Overall performance9 signals
90
32
Matches
43
0.84
PPG
1.81
25.0%
Win rate
53.5%
9.4%
Draw rate
20.9%
65.6%
Loss rate
25.6%
96.9%
Over 1.5 rate
90.7%
93.8%
Over 2.5 rate
76.7%
62.5%
Over 3.5 rate
62.8%
2.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
15
Matches
22
1.07
PPG
1.82
33.3%
Win rate
54.5%
6.7%
Draw rate
18.2%
60.0%
Loss rate
27.3%
93.3%
Over 1.5 rate
95.5%
86.7%
Over 2.5 rate
81.8%
46.7%
Over 3.5 rate
68.2%
2.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.69
15
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.56
Goals for per game
2.72
81.3%
Scoring rate
93.0%
68.8%
BTTS rate
65.1%
1.80
Goals for per game
2.95
86.7%
Scoring rate
90.9%
60.0%
BTTS rate
63.6%
2.50
Goals for per game
6.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
32
History Matches
43
1.56
Goals Mean
2.72
1.06
Goals Std
1.80
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
93.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
72.1%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
41.9%
1.80
Venue Goals Mean
2.95
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
3.19
Goals against per game
1.51
87.5%
Conceding rate
69.8%
2.93
Goals against per game
1.59
73.3%
Conceding rate
72.7%
3.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
32
History Matches
43
3.19
Conceded Mean
1.51
2.32
Conceded Std
1.37
71.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.2%
53.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.3%
2.93
Venue Conceded Mean
1.59
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
30.2%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
7.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
9.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
30.2%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
7.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
13.3%
Failed-to-score rate
9.1%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
30.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
32
History Matches
43
0.77
Result entropy
0.92
2.79
Goal Difference Std
2.38
23.09
Stability score
8.00
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
32
Eligible Matches
43
7
Lead Matches
21
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
81.0%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.86
18
Trailing Matches
10
5.6%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.81
First Half Goals For Mean
1.33
1.44
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.40
1.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.13
Rest days
74.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.33
14
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.73
14
Long Rest History Matches
24
0.71
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.88
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
3.00
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
5.00
4
Competition Season Count
5
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.23
—
Portability PPG Range
0.46
—
Portability Score
68.35
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
32
Clean History Matches
43
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-159.4
PPG-0.97
GF-1.16
GA1.68
PPG-1.50
PPG-0.75
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate11.8%
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate4.2%
History Matches-11
Goals Mean-1.16
Goals Std-0.74
Scored 1+ rate-0.12
Scored 2+ rate-0.22
Scored 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Goals Mean-1.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.93
History Matches-11
Conceded Mean1.68
Conceded Std0.95
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate27.7%
Conceded 3+ rate29.9%
Venue Conceded Mean1.34
Recent 10 Conceded Mean2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.46
History Matches-11
Result entropy-0.15
Goal Difference Std0.41
Stability score15.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.23
Eligible Matches-11
Lead Matches-14
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.14
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean0.55
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-5.50
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.73
Long Rest History Matches-10
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.16
Current Team ELO-159.4
Current Opponent ELO159.4
Current ELO Difference-318.9
Expected score-0.43
History Matches-11
Residual Mean-0.22
Overperformance-13.93
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.16

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ipswich Town U18

L
Ipswich Town U181–3Aston Villa U1831 Oct · home
Pick: Aston Villa U18 68% · hit
L
Ipswich Town U182–6Crystal Palace U1817 Oct · home
Pick: Crystal Palace U18 52% · hit
W
Ipswich Town U186–2AFC Bournemouth U1829 Aug · home
Pick: AFC Bournemouth U18 62% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Tottenham Hotspur U18

D
Tottenham Hotspur U182–2West Ham United U1824 Oct · home
Pick: Tottenham Hotspur U18 62% · missed
L
Arsenal U182–1Tottenham Hotspur U1817 Oct · away
Pick: Tottenham Hotspur U18 55% · missed
W
Tottenham Hotspur U188–2Birmingham City U1829 Aug · home
Pick: Tottenham Hotspur U18 86% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Ipswich Town U18 and Tottenham Hotspur U18 meet in U18 Premier League - South on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Ipswich Town U18 win 6.8%, draw 10.3%, Tottenham Hotspur U18 win 82.9%. The pick is Tottenham Hotspur U18 win. Over 2.5 goals: 83.6%. Both teams to score: 67.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.