ScoreProb
3. liga - CFL B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Jablonec II vs Benátky nad Jizerou

Jablonec II Home · Elo 1,523
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Benátky nad Jizerou Away · Elo 1,511
Fotbalovy stadion Brizky Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Jablonec II win
Jablonec II winPick
53.5%
Draw
20.2%
Benátky nad Jizerou win
26.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.1%
No41.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.2%
Under 2.534.8%

How much we know

Jablonec II history62 matches
Benátky nad Jizerou history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Jablonec II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,523 against 1,511. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.69 goals a game over 62 matches for Jablonec II, against 1.57 over 61 for Benátky nad Jizerou.

  • Defences are close

    Jablonec II concede 1.65 a game, Benátky nad Jizerou 1.77.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Jablonec II matches, against 61% for Benátky nad Jizerou. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jablonec II
Benátky nad Jizerou
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1523.5
ELO
1511.1
62
ELO · Matches
61
1523.5
Current Team ELO
1511.1
1511.1
Current Opponent ELO
1523.5
12.39
Current ELO Difference
-12.39
0.52
Expected score
0.48
62
History Matches
61
0.02
Residual Mean
0.01
51.20
Overperformance
50.48
0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
2.00
2.60
Goals for per game
2.60
0.40
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.80
2.70
Goals for per game
2.30
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
1.79
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.62
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.08
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.92
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.45
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
61
1.42
PPG
1.21
40.3%
Win rate
31.1%
21.0%
Draw rate
27.9%
38.7%
Loss rate
41.0%
85.5%
Over 1.5 rate
83.6%
62.9%
Over 2.5 rate
60.7%
41.9%
Over 3.5 rate
47.5%
1.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.91
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
32
1.67
PPG
1.22
50.0%
Win rate
34.4%
16.7%
Draw rate
18.8%
33.3%
Loss rate
46.9%
90.0%
Over 1.5 rate
84.4%
73.3%
Over 2.5 rate
65.6%
46.7%
Over 3.5 rate
53.1%
2.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.15
30
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.69
Goals for per game
1.57
82.3%
Scoring rate
75.4%
62.9%
BTTS rate
59.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.69
90.0%
Scoring rate
71.9%
63.3%
BTTS rate
62.5%
3.00
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
62
History Matches
61
1.69
Goals Mean
1.57
1.33
Goals Std
1.27
82.3%
Scored 1+ rate
75.4%
51.6%
Scored 2+ rate
49.2%
21.0%
Scored 3+ rate
23.0%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.69
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.65
Goals against per game
1.77
80.6%
Conceding rate
78.7%
1.80
Goals against per game
2.09
73.3%
Conceding rate
87.5%
0.33
Goals against per game
1.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
62
History Matches
61
1.65
Conceded Mean
1.77
1.32
Conceded Std
1.41
53.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.7%
19.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.7%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
2.09
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.3%
17.7%
Failed-to-score rate
24.6%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.1%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.3%
17.7%
Failed-to-score rate
24.6%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.1%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
21.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
61
0.97
Result entropy
0.99
1.94
Goal Difference Std
1.91
3.41
Stability score
1.24
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
60
23
Lead Matches
17
69.6%
Lead Win Rate
76.5%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.82
21
Trailing Matches
17
33.3%
Non-loss rate
23.5%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
5.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.70
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
0.85
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.95
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
83.76
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
29
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.41
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
26
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.43
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
2
2.33
PPG
0.50
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
3
Current Competition Matches
2
2.33
Current Competition PPG
0.50
2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
5
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.53
Portability PPG Std
0.24
1.11
Portability PPG Range
0.56
48.69
Portability Score
67.46
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO12.39
PPG0.21
GF0.12
GA-0.13
PPG1.83
PPG0.45
PPG0.60
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate14.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.12
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate6.8%
Scored 2+ rate2.4%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.31
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.18
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.13
Conceded Std-0.09
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate-0.07
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.29
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.16
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score2.16
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.85
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate9.8%
Trailing Win Rate8.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG1.83
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.17
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.29
Portability PPG Range0.55
Portability Score-18.77
Rest days-6.72
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.33
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.41
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.18
Current Team ELO12.39
Current Opponent ELO-12.39
Current ELO Difference24.79
Expected score0.04
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jablonec II

W
Pardubice II1–2Jablonec II1 Nov · away
Pick: Jablonec II 42% · hit
W
Jablonec II4–1Teplice II25 Oct · home
Pick: Jablonec II 60% · hit
W
Čáslav2–3Jablonec II18 Oct · away
Pick: Jablonec II 57% · hit
D
Sokol Zápy1–1Jablonec II30 Aug · away
Pick: Sokol Zápy 62% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Benátky nad Jizerou

D
Benátky nad Jizerou0–0Sokol Zápy1 Nov · home
Pick: Sokol Zápy 60% · missed
D
Velké Hamry3–3Benátky nad Jizerou24 Oct · away
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 49% · missed
D
Benátky nad Jizerou0–0Neratovice-Byškovice18 Oct · home
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 55% · missed
D
Baník Souš1–1Benátky nad Jizerou14 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Souš 55% · missed
D
Benátky nad Jizerou3–3Chrudim4 Oct · home
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 46% · missed

About this match

Jablonec II and Benátky nad Jizerou meet in 3. liga - CFL B on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. The match is played at Fotbalovy stadion Brizky. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Jablonec II win 53.5%, draw 20.2%, Benátky nad Jizerou win 26.3%. The pick is Jablonec II win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.2%. Both teams to score: 58.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.